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cosmostein





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PostPosted: Wed Mar 06, 2019 11:25 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

What tends to get lost in all this discussion about Ontario, Quebec and Western Canada is the importance of Atlantic Canada to the Liberal Majority.

The LPC won all 32 seats in Atlantic Canada;
Adding 19 seats at the expense of the NDP and CPC, their majority is 14 seats.

The numbers now look similar to the numbers we saw in Atlantic Canada in 2004 with the Liberals still largely ahead but the CPC and NDP took 10 seats, if it gets close to 2006 where the LPC was still ahead but by not as much it grew to 12 seats.

The Liberals can't afford double digit losses in Atlantic Canada especially with the potential losses in rural and suburban Ontario and Western Canada.
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PostPosted: Wed Mar 06, 2019 12:27 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

cosmostein wrote:
What tends to get lost in all this discussion about Ontario, Quebec and Western Canada is the importance of Atlantic Canada to the Liberal Majority.

The LPC won all 32 seats in Atlantic Canada;
Adding 19 seats at the expense of the NDP and CPC, their majority is 14 seats.

The numbers now look similar to the numbers we saw in Atlantic Canada in 2004 with the Liberals still largely ahead but the CPC and NDP took 10 seats, if it gets close to 2006 where the LPC was still ahead but by not as much it grew to 12 seats.

The Liberals can't afford double digit losses in Atlantic Canada especially with the potential losses in rural and suburban Ontario and Western Canada.



although one big difference between now and 2004 is that back then the ndp and cpc already had some existing seats in atlantic Canada . its a lot easier to get incumbents re elected out there then beat them

it will be very difficult for the ndp to win back seats out east especially without any former mp's running again , there only possible options might be Halifax , Sackville Preston and St John's East but all 3 have liberal incumbents

the 5 open ridings are more likely to become cpc targets than ndp one , 3 of the 5 open ridings have voted cpc at least twice since 2004 , the other 2 have been cpc targets in the past Sydney almost voted cpc in 2011 and Kings Hants had always been pc before Brison switched to liberal


but either way highly unlikely the liberals sweep atlantic Canada this year , especially New Brunswick and Nova Scotia ( where at least 4 liberal mp's aren't running again )
Bugs





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PostPosted: Wed Mar 06, 2019 4:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

With a lower participation rate, as well as the stigma of these events -- surely as damaging as the Duffy Trial was for Harper -- it's hard to see a majority government in our immediate future. The campaign is going to be vital.

Scheer is staying in the background, as perhaps he should. But he's so unbelievably bad at campaigning. Look at this interview ...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=btT081tkBZg (4:39)

Find me one interesting sound-bite in Scheer's performance! He sputters around, with a lot of "ums" and "ers", and backtracks, taking another run at what he wants to say ... he does that a lot.

It's just so hard to react to his call for Trudeau's resignation as if this is an attempt to rally the public ... The public looks past him, paying no attention.

Beyond that, he gives me no reason to vote for the Conservative. At best, he points to reasons not to vote for Trudeau. But what's the difference between the two? Scheer has his own 'different' carbon plan. He won't cut the baby bonus. Why is he not a more competent Trudeau?

That's my thinking. Scheer is winning on the basis of being the only sane alternative. It's another Hobson's choice. George Smitherman or Rob Ford? Singh or Scheer?
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 07, 2019 8:55 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bugs wrote:
This is where the campaign comes in. The impact of these events will dissipate, to some extent, and a lot of people will lose interest in politics, but others will be looking for someone else that they can vote for.

Look at how fast the NDP emerged in Quebec! How much of that due to Jack's work in Quebec in the previous campaigns? The polls didn't catch it until midway through the campaign. The polls are a rear-view mirror, so when it showed up, it was too late.

At this point, the polls are catching an immediate reaction to the scandal, but at voting time, people will look at their choices side-by-side, and decide.

You might think we Ontarians are a thick lot if we don't see the similarities with the McGuinty government. It's a Gerald Bull operation. Say no more.



that's the problem the conservatives face , it all comes down to the campaign , but how can they possibly force an early election ?


I'm not sure there is anything they can do , although some extra time to finalise candidates and a campaign platform isn't necessary a bad thing


its doubtful the liberals would lose a confidence vote , unless a large number of mp's rebelled . and then you'd still need the ndp to vote for an early election ( when they have no money , many many mp's not even running and a weak leader who just won a seat in the house and desperately wants some face time in Ottawa )


although I imagine the Green party , Bloc Quebecois and People's Party would be ok with an early election before the fall
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 07, 2019 11:03 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

They can't force an elec4tion without the Liberal party splitting.

I have just watched Trudeau's 8:30 am press conference. given as he got out of town for an urgent meeting in Iqaluit, Nunavut, where he is scheduled to deliver an apology to Inuit for the federal government’s management of tuberculosis in the Arctic from the 1940s to the 1960s. (You think I am kidding?) He will also, no doubt, drop off a few $millions.

He has his priorities right.

The press conference was an insipid assertion of his own innocence -- without evidence -- and an attribution of the problem to his lack of sensitivity to the deteriorating "trust" between himself and JWR. Ugh.
cosmostein





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PostPosted: Thu Mar 07, 2019 3:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bugs wrote:


I have just watched Trudeau's 8:30 am press conference. given as he got out of town for an urgent meeting in Iqaluit, Nunavut, where he is scheduled to deliver an apology to Inuit for the federal government’s management of tuberculosis in the Arctic from the 1940s to the 1960s. (You think I am kidding?) He will also, no doubt, drop off a few $millions.


I understand the logic on paper of having a press conference in the early hours;
But whoever is advising the PMO on optics is doing no one any benefit by having a press conference pertaining to a matter heavily involving a BC MP @ around 6AM PST.
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 07, 2019 6:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I didn't think any of that 'charm' worked on me, but it must have because he seems to be the poster boy for "Loser". I thought I was on to him because of the Gerald Bull connection. The three nannies, the extravagant trip to Paris to sign the global warming accord, the cover of the Rolling Stone ... It fit all my 'narratives' with the surprising exception of his grandiosity, perhaps not a fault of Dalton McGuinty.

But he struck me as the faceplate of a political machine, and he would be provided with training wheels.

But now I see him floundering around at his press conference, and I see how hopelessly dumb he seems, with his empty boilerplate platitudes, worse than that, like a cartoon, a one-dimensional character that can't respond. He has to say he is almost perfect, as an image ... he is a perfect screen to project all the qualities that the black arts of advertising and marketing wish to project.

As an image ... hard to beat! But He's trying to get out of town as fast as he can. ... no humility, no ability to see where the errors lay, just a cowardly empty suit running away from his responsibilities.
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PostPosted: Fri Mar 08, 2019 12:23 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Abacus Data CEO discusses impact of SNC Lavalin case

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FyrvRCRUu4A (9 minutes)

This is some good old-fashioned video journalism, where they assess the impact through three weeks of rolling polls, Total sample size = 300 per day. it ended before the Philpott resignation occurred.

Snapshot
* Trudeau has lost the approval of 11% of the whole electorate. Now 46% of Canadians evaluate him negatively\
* The Conservatives now enjoy a 6 point lead over the Liberals.
* Quebec has not reacted much
RCO





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PostPosted: Fri Mar 08, 2019 8:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

POLITICS
03/07/2019 16:15 EST | Updated 14 hours ago


Scheer Doesn't Want Early Election, Despite Claiming Trudeau’s Government Has ‘Ground To A Complete Halt’

Canadians are expected to head to the polls on Oct. 21.



Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer isn't itching for an early election, despite claiming that the "government of Canada has ground to a complete halt."

The Tory leader, who a week ago charged that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau had "lost the moral authority to govern" and must resign, reiterated those demands in Toronto Thursday.

Yet, Scheer also conceded there is little he can do about the matter.


"If (Trudeau) doesn't do the right thing and step aside, Canadians will determine his fate this fall," Scheer said, referring to the Oct. 21 election.

Scheer spoke to reporters hours after Trudeau addressed the SNC-Lavalin controversy that has cost him two cabinet ministers and his most trusted adviser in just a month.

Trudeau denied inappropriate pressure was placed on his former attorney general Jody Wilson-Raybould to offer SNC-Lavalin a remediation deal that would let the Quebec engineering giant avoid a criminal trial on bribery and corruption charges.

The prime minister offered no apologies to Wilson-Raybould, but conceded he should have been aware about an "erosion of trust" between her and his office.

Scheer said he stands by his call for the prime minister to quit because "the real Justin Trudeau" is someone who "can't manage his office, let alone the affairs of a great nation."

He urged Liberal MPs to "speak truth to power" — a reference to Wilson-Raybould's infamous statement after she was removed as attorney general — and send a signal that Trudeau "is not entitled to be the prime minister of Canada."

https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2019/03/07/andrew-scheer-early-election_a_23687111/
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PostPosted: Fri Mar 08, 2019 11:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The title of the above article seems a little misleading;

Its not that Scheer doesn't want an early election its that he seemingly understands how Parliament works and that the opposition in a majority government cannot bring down the government prior to the election.
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 14, 2019 1:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

( some new polls , campaign research )



Éric Grenier‏Verified account @EricGrenierCBC · 41m41 minutes ago



New data from Campaign Research (Mar. 7-10): 36% CON (-1 since Feb. 11), 30% LIB (-2), 16% NDP (+2), 10% GRN (+3), 4% BQ (-1), 2% PPC (-1)
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 14, 2019 1:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

( Leger - Quebec only )

Poll: Trudeau skinned by SNC-Lavalin

Conservatives benefit Quebec from disastrous crisis management by Prime Minister


SNC-Lavalin: a disturbing survey for Justin Trudeau


Guillaume St-Pierre

Wednesday, March 13, 2019 17:39

UPDATE Thursday, 14 March 2019 01:00

OTTAWA | The catastrophic management of the SNC-Lavalin affair by Justin Trudeau erodes the federal Liberals' lead in voting intentions in Quebec for the benefit of the Conservative Party on the eve of federal elections.

According to a probe conducted by Leger on behalf of the Journal, the Liberal Party has decreased by 4% since the beginning of the controversy, obtaining 35% of the voting intentions in the Belle Province. It is the conservatives of Andrew Scheer who seem to benefit, they who climb 5% to 26%.

Even if the Liberals still lead in Quebec, their retreat does not bode well for the party in this election year. The Prime Minister's troops are counting on gains in the province to offset inevitable losses elsewhere in the country.

"If he does not consolidate his support in Quebec, Trudeau loses power," says the president and founder of Léger, Jean


Mismanagement

For the analyst, there is no doubt that the SNC-Lavalin affair hurts the federal Liberals. According to the probe, Quebeckers judge very severely the management of the controversy by the prime minister. As many as 69% believe that Mr. Trudeau has mismanaged the worst crisis in his government.

Mr. Trudeau has been dragging SNC-Lavalin into trouble since it erupted on February 7. A report in The Globe and Mail alleged that the Prime Minister and his entourage have been politically interfering with former resigning minister Jody Wilson-Raybould to convince her to help the engineering firm avoid a criminal trial.

The former Minister of Justice then said in an overwhelming testimony that she was the target of pressure to decide in favor of the Quebec multinational. Mr. Trudeau strongly denied this version arguing that the interactions with Ms. Wilson-Raybould were merely discussions between colleagues.

minority

This new portrait of the voting intentions is all the harder for the Liberals than the victory seemed to them acquired just a few months ago, the pollster noted. If elections were held today, it's a safe bet that the next federal government would be a minority, believes Mr. Léger.

The decline in Liberal support in Quebec follows the same trend seen elsewhere in the country for some time now.

"The only solid place for Trudeau is Quebec. And even here, it starts to collapse, "says Mr. Léger.

Worse still for the Liberals: the decline in their popularity in the province is accompanied by a desire for more and more change in the population. A majority (51%) of Quebeckers now contemplate a change of regime in Ottawa, according to the probe.

With 26% of voting intentions, the Conservatives can hope to make gains in Quebec. "They are in what is called the pay zone," says Mr. Léger.


But their leader Andrew Scheer remains an enigma for many Quebeckers. Only 16% of them see him as the best prime minister, far behind Mr. Trudeau (28%).


Of note, all leaders are less popular than their party. "They all pull their training down, it's quite unique," said Mr. Léger. There is really a leadership problem here. "

METHODOLOGY

The probe was conducted online from March 8 to 11, 2019, among 1014 Quebecers. Its margin of error is 3.08%, 19 times out of 20.


Federal voting intentions in Quebec

If a federal election were held today, which party would you vote for?


LIBERAL PARTY OF CANADA

Justin Trudeau

◾ Today | 35%

◾ February 2, 2019 | 39%

CONSERVATIVE PARTY OF CANADA

Andrew Scheer

◾ Today | 26%

◾ February 2, 2019 | 21%

QUÉBEC BLOCK OF YVES


Yves

◾ Today | 17%

◾ February 2, 2019 | 21%

GREEN PARTY OF CANADA BY ELIZABETH MAY

Elizabeth May

◾ Today | 9%

◾ February 2, 2019 | 5%


NEW DEMOCRATIC PARTY OF CANADA BY JAGMEET SINGH

Jagmeet Singh

◾ Today | 7%

◾ February 2, 2019 | 8%

POPULAR PARTY OF CANADA BY MAXIME BERNIER

Maxime Bernier Archive Photo, QMI Agency

Maxime Bernier

◾ Today | 4%

◾ February 2, 2019 | 6%

In your opinion, which of the federal political party leaders would make Canada's best prime minister?

◾ Jagmeet Singh | 3%

◾ Maxime Bernier | 5%

◾ Elizabeth May | 6%

◾ Andrew Scheer | 16%

◾ Justin Trudeau | 28%

Do you believe that Justin Trudeau has fulfilled his election promises of the 2015 election?

◾ A small part | 54%

◾ A majority | 25%

◾ All its promises | 1%

◾ None | 5%

◾ Do not know / refusal | 14%

Crisis and controversy

As for the "SNC

IT'S DIFFICULT TO MAKE A HEAD

Who do you tend to believe in the conflict over the controversy surrounding SNC-Lavalin?

◾ Jody Wilson-Raybould | 39%

◾ Justin Trudeau | 25%

◾ Do not know | 36%

TRUDEAU IS THE ARTISAN OF HIS OWN WRONG

In your opinion, did Prime Minister Justin Trudeau manage or mismanage the controversy around SNC-Lavalin?

◾ Well managed | 11%

◾ Badly managed | 68%

TRUDEAU MUST STAY

As a result of the controversy surrounding SNC-Lavalin, do you believe that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau should resign or stay in office?

◾ Stay in office | 50%

◾ To resign | 29%

THERE IS QUÉBEC

Do you think that the fact that SNC-Lavalin is a company headquartered in Quebec has a positive impact, a negative impact or does not have an impact on the way in which English Canada reacts to this controversy?

◾ Has a positive impact | 6%

◾ Has a negative impact | 55%

◾ Has no impact | 19%

YOU MUST GRANT AN AGREEMENT TO SNC-LAVALIN

In your opinion, is it better for the Government of Canada--

◾ to sue SNC-Lavalin for the risk of the company closing? | 21%

◾ negotiates a significant fine that SNC-Lavalin will pay to protect jobs and expertise? | 59%

Former Justice Minister Jody Wilson-Raybould testified on February 27 before the Standing Committee on Justice and Human Rights in Ottawa.

Archive Photo, QMI Agency

Former Justice Minister Jody Wilson-Raybould testified on February 27 before the Standing Committee on Justice and Human Rights in Ottawa.

Quebeckers want to save SNC

A strong majority of Quebeckers want to avoid a criminal trial at SNC-Lavalin to protect jobs, an opinion diametrically opposed to that expressed by other Canadians.

"Quebecers are overwhelmingly in favor of an amicable agreement with SNC


Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has been on the grill since last month's allegations of political interference in his office.

Mr. Trudeau's entourage reportedly urged resigning minister Jody Wilson

According to a probe, no less than 59% of Quebecers believe that the federal government must impose a significant fine on SNC-Lavalin in order to avoid a criminal trial for fraud and corruption. Interestingly, Anglo-Quebecers also rank a majority (51%) behind the firm.

If Quebeckers are in majority behind Mr. Trudeau on the merits, they strongly criticize his management of the crisis.

Conversely, in the rest of Canada, the press and public opinion are raging against the Quebec multinational. A poll released in early March by the Globe and Mail indicated that 55% of Canadians wanted SNC-Lavalin to stand trial.


If found guilty, the company could be removed from federal public contracts for 10 years, threatening its very existence, according to its leaders.


Quebec bashing ?

According to a majority of respondents, the strong negative reaction of English Canada to the controversy surrounding this case hides a form of Quebec bashing , said Mr. Léger.

"Quebeckers say that SNC In English Canada, we do not understand that Quebeckers want to save SNC-Lavalin. "


The Bloc crashes again

The honeymoon with the new Bloc Québécois leader Yves

After a good recovery at the beginning of the year, the Bloc's support has again fallen below the 20% mark. It seems that the party is unable to take advantage of the SNC-Lavalin affair to snatch votes from the Liberals.


"Because of this debate, they are in darkness. They return to a threshold of 17%, "says Jean


The Bloc, however, was sitting shoulder-to-shoulder with the Conservatives a few days before the controversy broke out. Like the NDP, the Bloc must also deal with the rise of the Greens.


The endangered NDP

The New Democratic Party of Jagmeet Singh is heading straight for extinction in Quebec if it does not raise the bar.


The left-wing formation only harvests 7% of voting intentions in the province. In the 2015 elections, the party garnered 25% of the vote in the province, which allowed it to elect 16 MPs.


Today, the NDP is coming to terms with the Greens, whose growth across the country is undeniable. The party was surprised last month by by-elections.


"At the federal level, the environment will become a major issue in the upcoming elections," predicts Léger president Jean In 2015, the Greens had collected a meager 2% in Quebec.


https://www.journaldemontreal.com/sondage-leger--limpact-de-laffaire-snc-lavalin-au-quebec
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 14, 2019 1:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The data for the Campaign Poll is here if anyone is interested;
https://www.campaignresearch.ca/single-post/2019/03/13/Prime-Ministers-approval-rating-plunges-in-wake-of-SNC-Lavalin-Affair

They broke out the GTA and the CPC is ahead by 13 points;
That alone wipes out the current margin the LPC has for their current majority.

The LPC and NDP are close enough to each other in BC that splits could lead to CPC candidates winning with less than 32% of the vote in the riding

Atlantic Canada is also interesting;
Assuming the LPC is way ahead in NFLD and PEI the fact that the CPC is close likely means picks up in New Brunswick and Nova Scotia.
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 14, 2019 3:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Once again, the most effective of the Conservative Party leadership circle -- is Pierre Poilievre ...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6E7pxS1GKAI (3.45 minutes)

I don't mean to denigrate Andrew, but why can't he do something the same? Is it because YouTube is beneath him? Is it because he's afraid to get ahead of the polls? How different is this effete beanpole from the other one?

The trouble with Poilievre is that he is doing what the Leader of the Opposition ought to be doing. He does it with some irony and focus, and he knows what he is talking about. He confronts the boilerplate, and while he doesn't break through, he at least highlights it. (Anyone who watches question period will feel the arrogance.)

That's the hole that Andrew should be filling. That's an image of a strong leader trying to grapple with the problem.

As I said before, this works (to some degree) with the professionals and managers ... though this timid lot generally are subject to political vetos from their wives. They aren't fit warriors to go up against the Social Justice Party. Whatever position these people are in, they are "locked in".

We need spokespeople who can relate to the masses. The Tim Horton voter, as Harper used to conceive of them. And these people don't lead the little lectures that Poilievre is so good at. They want to hear it in the form of a joke. Better, an ongoing series of jokes that really hit home. The cover-up artists vrs the hoser jokes.

We want to get the "Apathy Party" on our side.

=================================================

I contend that you can't lead by looking in a rear-view mirror. Not in politics. I understand that many people lead orderly lives, which is good. But the rules of this orderly world don't necessarily apply to politics. That stability and prosperity of everyday life has to be protected, which means there has to be an arena where a free-style competitive struggle over the future takes place. It's necessary because our world is changing fast. Settled patterns don't last as long as lifespans do.

That arena is politics. And it's a fight over the reins that lead to the civil service.

We need a leader that know the people he represents well enough to know how they'll react to this -- and that leader should help form public opinion, not follow it. Why? Because the public is a herd. It reacts emotionally, at first ... and it comes down where it does by responding one way or another to rallying cries. Otherwise, it can only gauge what is happening through Government News.

Look at how much of the current coverage is a discussion amongst columnists about how to shut this story down, as if it were something that they have to accept. Doesn't everybody know that JWR leaked this story to start it? How else could the facts get out? Who would have predicted such a thing before it happened?

In a political world like that, we need a leader that knows how Canadians will react, and expresses it in the moment! It's the moment before the 'narratives' have been created, and where there is ample opportunity to affect the outcome.

Particularly when there's half a $billion on the table for journalism that the goverment judges to be 'constructive'.

We need an attack team. We need to use YouTube and other non-Government news news. We need to go after the people who do the work. We need to start making the people who want all this change justify themselves. We need to make the mainstream media deal with what we are saying.
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PostPosted: Fri Mar 15, 2019 8:04 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

( not a poll but might help to explain some of the cpc strategy in the regions around Montreal )

Conservatives hopeful about prospects in Laval and North Shore regions

Quebec pointman Deltell outlines CPC strategy for October federal election

March 6, 2019


Conservatives hopeful about prospects in Laval and North Shore regions Martin C. Barry

The Conservative Party of Canada hopes to score breakthroughs in Laval and Lower Laurentian ridings, says Gérard Deltell, the CPC’s pointman for Quebec.

Tories courting Quebec

In an interview last week with Newsfirst Multimedia, Deltell, who represents the riding of Louis-Saint-Laurent near Quebec City, and who was accompanied by CPC candidates François Desrochers from Mirabel and Maikel Mikhael from Rivière-des-Mille-Îles, outlined some of the Conservative Party’s campaign strategy.

In a press release issued by the Conservative Party, Deltell calls CPC leader Andrew Scheer “a Francophile and strong believer in the values of Quebec. We’ve felt an incredible momentum of renewal within the party, particularly as it relates to new candidates and new member from all regions of Quebec.”

Trudeau singled out

Based on the CPC’s press statement as well as the interview with Newsfirst Multimedia, it would seem a significant part of the Conservative election plan will depend heavily on disparaging Justin Trudeau. “Quebeckers are fed up with Justin Trudeau, and his lack of understanding towards the bills average people have to pay,” Deltell said in the statement.

“Many Quebec families are worried about making ends meet at the end of the month, and the Liberal government isn’t helping them get by let alone get ahead. Justin Trudeau has ignored the massive deficits he’s been building, and higher deficits now, are even higher taxes later.”

Aiming at trade agreement

While the Liberal government’s dramatic struggle to hastily renegotiate a free trade agreement with the Trump administration in the U.S. dominated news headlines for much of last year, the Conservatives are blaming the Liberals for concessions made to the U.S. at the expense of Canadian farmers.

“Farmers were among the first to pay for Trudeau’s poor performance on the international stage, and he flatly sacrificed it in the NAFTA negotiations,” said Desrochers, a former ADQ MNA for Mirabel. “This government’s first priorities have been to legalize cannabis, to buy a pipeline, and to build up more than 72 billion dollars in deficits, for which we see absolutely no concrete results,” added Mikhael.

Trying to rebuild support

“We are the only party to recognize the Quebec nation, to give more power to the Quebec government to better manage its immigration and to negotiate the single tax levied in Quebec as desired by the Legault government,” Mikhael noted. “That’s how we defend the interests of Quebec.”

Although the Progressive Conservatives managed to win and hold onto several ridings in Laval and on the North Shore for a time during the 1980s and early 1990s, the party has had little success since then, consistently being beaten at the polls by voter support for the Bloc Québécois, the NDP and the Liberals.

Deltell was asked by Newsfirst Multimedia about the factors he believes might favour the CPC scoring a breakthrough in October on the North Shore and in Laval. In his response, he returned to the theme of questioning Justin Trudeau’s leadership.

Income tax election pledge

Conservatives hopeful about prospects in Laval and North Shore regions
Gérard Deltell, the CPC’s pointman for Quebec with Newsfirst Multimedia journalist Martin C. Barry answering important topics on Canadian politics.

“If you talk about the 90s, this is a brand new game – to talk 35 years later about where we are today,” he said. “The question the people will have to address, the valid question, will be do you want to continue with Justin Trudeau. Because if you don’t want to continue with Justin Trudeau, the Conservatives are there to have a serious government.”

Deltell said an important election pledge the Conservative Party is making to Quebec voters before the Oct. 1 election date is to revise federal income tax laws and regulations in order to facilitate the creation of a new tax system that would see Quebecers filing only one tax return in the future, instead of two as is now the case.

Doing away with dual tax

“As you know Quebecers are the only people in Canada who must produce two income tax reports,” he said. “This is totally unacceptable. We are the only party that has stated the fact that it will be done. And we are the only party that can do that. Of course, we have other issues to address.

“When we see all the mess created by Justin Trudeau himself, with his implication in the situation like we have with the former attorney-general who was demoted because she suffered much pressure, people don’t like that. The only way to do anything about this government is to vote for Andrew Scheer’s Conservatives.”

Quebec on board, he says

Although it was Quebec originally which had sought and obtained the unique right as a Canadian province to levy and collect personal income tax apart from the federal income tax system, the Conservatives, according to Deltell, are certain that the current Quebec government will agree to a single income tax system.

He noted that just a few days after the Conservative Party’s announcement of its support for the measure in May last year, the Quebec National Assembly unanimously passed a motion endorsing the position. “So the provincial level parties are following our initiative, not the reverse,” said Deltell. “[Premier] Legault clearly said he wanted that. Even the Liberals said that. And so we will move forward with that.”

Will conservatives be split?

In 2016, less than a year after he was first elected to the House of Commons, Deltell speculated in a Globe and Mail profile article while gazing forward to the 2019 election: “The worst thing that could happen in the coming process is for us to have a Reform candidate and an Alliance candidate and a Progressive Conservative candidate.”

Since then, former Conservative cabinet minister Maxime Bernier split from the Tories to start his People’s Party of Canada, which leans even further to the right than the CPC. Deltell was asked what he thought of the Conservative Party’s chances now, given this new development.

“What we have seen since he decided to go it alone is that he is still alone,” said Deltell, referring to Bernier. “I mean, no members of Parliament have decided to follow him, and no high or ranking party people have decided to follow him. This is the reality. And at the end of the day people will decide.”


https://www.lavalnews.ca/conservatives-hopeful-prospects/
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