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PostPosted: Fri Jan 11, 2019 11:03 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

looking thru the 3 by elections some more

it appears the outcome in Outremont is more or less a given , its shocking the ndp have managed to not lose a single seat to the liberals already this term considering there troubles ( either thru by elections or defections ) there long overdue for the inevitable

the race in Burnaby South is obviously highly competitive and the race everyone is watching for the next 40 or so days until we know who wins

as for York Simcoe it appears to be the sleeper of the 3 , it wasn't a battleground riding in 2015 and hasn't been one since 2004 election

but something about its location and the candidates tells me its going to be a competitive by election although cpc is likely to hold the riding in the end

the conservatives for some reason have not nominated a well known candidate for the riding unlikely the provincial pc's did . they held a nomination meeting and somehow a virtually unknown candidate ( Scot Davidson ) came out as the winner

I think they should of considered offering the riding to Lois Brown as a way to get her back into parliament and bring a well known female cpc mp into the house , she's from Newmarket and this riding starts just north of that city , it seem like a logical place for her to run and a safer seat than Newmarket Aurora where she plans to run again in 2019

the liberals and ndp have not found star candidates either , it seems that 2015 liberal candidate Shaun Tanaka will run again

the seat is also in a true battleground area if you look at the ridings to the north and south , a lot of intense races in 2015 and likely 2019 . liberal ridings like King Vaughan / Markham Stouffville are just south and cpc ridings like Barrie Springwater Oro Medonte ( won by less than 100 votes ) just north , also the riding of Leona Alleslev former liberal turned cpc mp is just south

with so many intense races , both parties would love to have some momentum going into the actual election in this region of the province

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PostPosted: Fri Jan 11, 2019 5:21 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

( a pollster reveals that Singh was unpopular among Chinese voters in his riding and that could make to hard for him to win the riding )

Turnout will be deciding factor in Burnaby South byelection: pollster

By Marco Vigliotti. Published on Jan 11, 2019 2:02pm

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh talks to reporters in Ottawa on May 9, 2018. iPolitics/Matthew Usherwood

Jagmeet Singh’s bid to represent Metro Vancouver in the House of Commons will ultimately come down to who shows up at the polls in next month’s vote, says pollster Quito Maggi.

The race in Burnaby South is expected to be the closest of the three byelections set for Feb. 25, with all major parties having a shot at taking the riding.

Maggi says the Liberals are the slight favourites at the onset of the campaign, though Singh’s talent for getting out the vote makes it hard to count out the NDP leader.

However, Singh stands at a disadvantage because of his unpopularity with the riding’s sizable Chinese population, he said.

When his company, Mainstreet Research, last polled the riding in early November, the NDP was trailing in third, behind the Conservatives and first-place Liberals, Maggi said. The difference between first and third was just under 10 percentage points.

Considering the riding’s large Chinese population, Maggi said Mainstreet asked all polling questions in English, Cantonese and Mandarin. The 2016 census pegged the Chinese population of Burnaby South at 40 per cent.

But while Singh was leading, or in a close three-way race, with English respondents, he was a “distant third” among those who responded in Cantonese and Mandarin, said Maggi, Mainstreet’s president and CEO.

“It’s going to come down to turnout among the Chinese population,” he said, noting the Conservatives were in first place among Cantonese and Mandarin respondents.

Singh is running in the riding against corporate lawyer Jay Shin of the Conservative Party, small business owner Karen Wang from the Liberal Party (who ran for the provincial Grits in the 2017 B.C. election), and evangelist TV personality Laura-Lynn Tyler Thompson of the People’s Party of Canada.

The Green Party is not fielding a candidate as a “leader’s courtesy” to Singh, according to Leader Elizabeth May.

In nominating a Chinese candidate, the Liberals will make “things tough” for Singh, Maggi said, though turnout, and the composition of those who show up, will determine who wins. Byelections, he said, generally draw about 50 per cent of voters who showed up for the general election.

Maggi said the race will hinge on what team has the best “ground game” and organization, which may favour Singh. He described the NDP leader as a “machine” at getting out the vote, pointing to his come-from-behind victory in the 2014 Ontario provincial election. In that race, Maggi said Mainstreet polls had Singh losing his Brampton riding by five points, but he wound up winning by seven.

He also said the Tories stand a good chance of winning the riding because of their popularity with Chinese voters, which polling shows largely and strongly oppose cannabis legalization.

But while Burnaby South is expected to be close, Maggi said he believes the Liberals will easily win back the Montreal riding of Outremont in next month’s vote, after more than a decade of NDP representation.

Outremont is a small dunk for the Liberals,” he said.

The riding was seen as a Liberal bastion for decades before Thomas Mulcair pulled it into the NDP fold in a 2007 byelection. Mulcair won re-election three times before resigning this summer to accept a teaching position.

Mulcair, the NDP’s leader from 2012 to 2017, grabbed 44 per cent of the vote in the last election.

Rachel Bendayan is once again running for the Liberals in Outremont, after coming within 10 points of Mulcair in the 2015 race. After the election, she served as chief of staff to Bardish Chagger when the latter was minister of Small Business and Tourism.

Maggi said polling by Mainstreet three to four months ago suggested a “runaway win” for the Liberals.

Julia Sanchez will try to hold the seat for the NDP, while Jasmine Louras will represent the Tories. Green Party deputy leader Daniel Green will also run in the riding.

In the other race, Maggi said he believes the southern Ontario riding of York—Simcoe will be a closer fight than many anticipate.

A Conservative stronghold in the periphery of the Greater Toronto Area, the riding had been held for the past 14 years by Harper-era House leader Peter Van Loan. He resigned last fall.

Van Loan got 50 per cent of the vote in 2015, beating Liberal Shaun Tanaka, who received 36 per cent, and the NDP’s Sylvia Gerl, who got 10 per cent.

In February’s byelection, Tanaka, a university geography professor, will run against business owner Scot Davidson of the Conservatives and workers’-rights advocate Jessa McLean of the NDP.

Maggi described Tanaka as someone who is “very popular locally,” and credited her with making the 2015 race closer than it had been in recent elections. He said the Liberals “might be able to pull off” the upset because of Tanaka’s popularity and the weakness of the federal NDP.

The NDP, Maggi said, hasn’t polled above 12 or 13 per cent in a Mainstreet survey in more than a year. He also noted that the party saw a 50 per cent drop in support in December’s byelection in Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes, though cautioned that the NDP has historically never performed well in eastern Ontario.

But if this trend of falling NDP support continues, Maggi said expect York—Simcoe to be the “possible Liberal surprise” of the night.


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PostPosted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 9:32 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

January 13, 2019 7:49 pm Updated: January 14, 2019 1:42 am

Campaigns hit high gear in Burnaby South, where NDP leader seeks a seat

By Simon Little
Online Journalist Global News

With the race officially underway in the Burnaby South byelection, the major party candidates are wasting no time in kicking their campaigns into high gear.

NDP leader Jagmeet Singh, who is hoping to finally win a seat in Parliament more than a year after winning his party’s top job, was joined by a former party icon as he opened his campaign office on Sunday.

“I was in Parliament when the Liberals killed social housing in the ’90s,” former MP Svend Robinson told the assembled party faithful, hammering on one of Singh’s core campaign themes.

“How many units of seniors’ housing have been built in Burnaby by Liberals and Conservatives? None.”

Singh, for his part, sought to differentiate himself from the other major parties in a riding that has traditionally voted NDP.

“Will a Liberal backbencher actually do something to make sure there’s medication coverage for all? Will a Conservative member stand up in the House of Commons and push for a solution to housing?” he asked supporters.

“Will either the Liberals or the Conservatives push for real action on climate change? They’re too busy continuing to subsidize fossil fuel companies and buying pipelines.”

But while Burnaby South has traditionally been painted bright orange, the race will be by no means a slam dunk for the NDP.

Former NDP MP Kennedy Stewart, who vacated the seat to become mayor of Vancouver, only won by about 500 votes in the 2015 election.

The Liberals, who came second in that riding, plan to mount a stiff challenge and have wasted no time in pointing out that Singh hails from Ontario and lacks roots in the riding.

“I landed in Burnaby South 20 years ago. I raised my family in Burnaby South,” said Liberal candidate and daycare operator Karen Wang at her campaign office launch.

“I have two young children and I set up my business in Burnaby South.”

Wang, too, is promising an investment in housing and health care.

And she will have her own work cut out for her, campaigning in a riding where pipeline politics are always front and centre — while running to sit in a Liberal government that spent $4.5 billion buying the Trans Mountain Pipeline.

“I know some people have this concern, and right now my opinion is when we grow the economy at the same time we protect our environment, it will be balanced,” she told Global News.

“I’m with the party’s policy. At the same time, I respect people’s opinions in the community,” she added.

Conservative candidate Jay Shin, a business lawyer and political neophyte, has been pounding the pavement and knocking on doors and says the people he’s hearing from want fiscal restraint.

“They feel like they’re taxed to death. The response I’m getting is the NDP’s socialist policy of high taxes and spending doesn’t work,” he said.

“People talk about what we went through in the ’90s when we had the NDP government here in the province; we became a have-not province.”

Shin says he recognizes that he’ll have an uphill battle winning in a riding that’s historically voted left of centre but that he’s ready for the challenge — and optimistic about his challenges.

“Maybe I’m an underdog, but that’s fine,” he said.

“But really, I think it’s time for a change. I sense that when I speak with people. We have a new mayor here because they felt that the NDP city council here wasn’t working for them.”

The federal Green Party has opted not to run a candidate, extending so-called “leader’s courtesy” to Singh.

Maxime Bernier’s new People’s Party of Canada has nominated former Christian broadcaster and anti-SOGI activist Laura-Lynn Tyler Thompson.

Burnaby South goes to the polls on Feb. 25.


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PostPosted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 9:34 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Jagmeet Singh on Tory opponent: 'Maybe he should go back to law school'

Conservative candidate Jay Shin said Singh was 'keeping criminals out of jail' during his days as a criminal defence lawyer

Kelvin Gawley / Burnaby Now
January 13, 2019 10:27 AM

Jagmeet Singh, the NDP leader running in a Feb. 25 Burnaby South byelection, pictured in the riding.

Photograph By Kelvin Gawley

NDP leader Jagmeet Singh suggested his Burnaby South opponent, lawyer Jay Shin, had forgotten a basic principle of Canadian law after the Tory said Singh was “keeping criminals out of jail” in his days as a criminal defence lawyer.

Shin issued a press release accusing Singh of being soft on crime. The release came within hours of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announcing on Wednesday that there would be a byelection in Burnaby South and two other ridings on Feb. 25.

“While Jagmeet Singh has spent his pre-political career as a criminal defence lawyer keeping criminals out of jail, I have spent my legal career building Canadian businesses that create jobs and promote international trade,” wrote Shin, a business lawyer who has facilitated foreign investment in B.C.

Singh said Shin’s comments demonstrated a “short-sighted view of what our justice system is.” He said defence lawyers play a vital role in criminal proceedings.

“That’s just the fundamentals of our justice system,” Singh said. “Maybe he (Shin) should go back to law school and double check what the basics of the criminal justice system are.”

Shin later told the NOW he wasn’t trying to discredit defence lawyers.

“They play an important role; everybody has a right to defence,” Shin said. “What I’m saying is he played that role: as a criminal lawyer, he defended criminals. That’s all I’m saying.”

Shin’s press release also said the NDP “go easy on criminals and have actively endorsed illegal immigration into our country.”

Shin cited the NDP’s insistence on referring to border crossings at non-official entry points as “irregular” rather than “illegal.” He said the distinction between the two words is irrelevant but the NDP’s word choice amounts to “promoting illegal immigration.”

Singh called the Conservatives’ rhetoric on the issue “inflammatory.” He said some provinces are underfunded to deal with the influx of asylum seekers crossing into Canada from the U.S.

In August, the Canadian Press’ Baloney Meter examined the issue of asylum seekers crossing the border. It found that roughly one-third of people making refugee claims in Canada do so after making a non-official crossings but rated Conservative leader Andrew Scheer’s description of the situation as a “crisis” as “full of baloney.”

Shin’s press release also went after the NDP’s economic policies, saying “they want to raise taxes and shut the economic engine that drives Canada forward.”

Singh said the opposite is true.

“We want to spur the economic engine,” he said. “We want to make investments that will actually make the economic engine more effective, more efficient.”

The NDP leader said his plan to implement a national pharmacare plan providing medication coverage for all Canadians would become a competitive advantage for businesses.

But Shin wasn’t convinced.

“Where does that money come from? It comes from taxes,” Shin said. “The NDP's socialist policies (don’t) work.”


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PostPosted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 11:08 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

WARREN: What the upcoming byelections will mean for the general election

Jim Warren

January 12, 2019

January 12, 2019 6:00 PM EST

Filed Under:

Toronto SUN ›
Opinion ›
Columnists ›

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced three byelections in Quebec, Ontario and British Columbia this past week.

Normally, I would argue that byelections are not a good indicator of general election success. But the results in each of these three ridings will dramatically impact the 2019 federal election.

The three byelections being held are in the ridings of Burnaby South in B.C., Outremont in Quebec and York–Simcoe in Ontario. Voters go to the polls on Feb. 25.


NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh is hoping the voters of Burnaby South want a potential prime minister to be their local representative.

Singh has had to sit on the sidelines on Parliament Hill since becoming the NDP leader as he did not have a seat in the House of Commons.

The NDP has floundered under his leadership in public opinion polling. It hasn’t been successful at fundraising and there are many rumours of dissent in the NDP caucus over Singh’s leadership.

He hopes a byelection victory will be the shot in the arm he needs to create some positive momentum in 2019.

Running for the Liberals against Singh is businesswoman Karen Wang. The Tories are running lawyer Jay Shin. The Green Party has decided not to run a candidate against Singh to respect the “leader’s courtesy.”

Maxime Bernier’s People’s Party of Canada has decided to run controversial media personality Laura-Lynn Tyler Thompson.

What if Jagmeet Singh loses this byelection? That’s the big question facing federal political strategists from all parties. Can he survive as party leader? Will he still run in the fall general election?

My sense is the Liberals are looking forward to facing the NDP led by Singh in the 2019 election. Liberals fortunes could be as much at stake as Singh’s personal future.


Outremont was held by former NDP leader Tom Mulcair. The NDP’s performance in this riding will be a good indicator of how Quebecers view Singh and therefore it is another big test of his leadership.

Mulcair actually took shots at Singh this week saying that if he lost in Burnaby South he should not lead the party in the general election.

Julia Sanchez is the NDP candidate, Jasmine Louras is the Conservative candidate, and Rachel Bendayan is the Liberal. And Daniel Green, the deputy leader of the Greens, is running for his party.

It will also be interesting to see how many votes Maxime Bernier’s party can pick up, although it has yet to select a candidate.


The riding will most likely remain Conservative. It is a Tory bastion held formerly by Peter Van Loan.

What I find most interesting about the Liberals calling a byelection in this riding is that they did so without having a candidate.

When you are the government, you completely control the timing of the byelection. Is the Liberal failure to have a candidate in place months before a reflection of its general election readiness?

Why not make it as difficult as possible for Andrew Scheer by running a strong and established Liberal candidate? Instead the Liberals’ nomination meeting was held this weekend.

Scot Davidson will run for Scheer while Jessa McLean is the NDP candidate.

Byelections normally do not serve as an indicator of future performance or success.

Instead, this time these three byelections could provide critical pieces of puzzle for general election success in 2019 and who could be the next prime minister of Canada.

Jim Warren is former Liberal strategist who worked for Toronto Mayor Mel Lastman and Ontario Premier Dalton McGuinty.


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PostPosted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 2:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

( elections Canada has also released the spending limits , which seem to be around $100,000 - $130,000 . if this were the US the parties would spend way more .

but in Canada they have to be more careful where they spend the money . especially in Burnaby South such an important race , they need to make sure the money is spent wisely )

Preliminary Election Expenses Limits Are Now Available Online

Limits Apply to Registered Political Parties, Candidates and Third Parties in the Federal By Elections in Burnaby South, Outremont and York–Simcoe

News Release

Gatineau, Monday, January 14, 2019

•The Chief Electoral Officer has released the preliminary election expenses limits for political parties and candidates and the election advertising expenses limits for third parties for the federal by-elections in the electoral districts of Burnaby South (British Columbia), Outremont (Quebec) and York–Simcoe (Ontario).

◦View the preliminary election expenses limits for political parties with a candidate in Burnaby South, Outremont and York–Simcoe.

◦View the preliminary election expenses limits for candidates in Burnaby South, Outremont and York–Simcoe.

◦View the limits on election advertising expenses incurred by third parties in Burnaby South, Outremont and York–Simcoe.

•The final election expenses limits for parties and candidates will be available on Monday, February 18, 2019.
•Election expenses limits for political parties and for candidates, as well as the election advertising limit for third parties, are established in accordance with the Canada Elections Act.

Elections Canada is an independent, non-partisan agency that reports directly to Parliament.

Elections Canada Media Relations

Subscribe to our news service at elections.ca.


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PostPosted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 4:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

( the liberals are running the same candidate as 2015 , no word yet on People's or green candidates .

despite her increasing the liberal vote in 2015 , I think it will be harder to get liberals out for the by election . in the other 4 which have occurred since 2015 in Ontario . the liberal % of the vote dropped in all of them )

Shaun Tanaka gets Liberal nod to run in York-Simcoe federal byelection

East Gwillimbury resident takes second run at seat after losing to Conservative Peter Van Loan in 2015 federal election

News 11:31 AM by Heidi Riedner  Georgina Advocate|

Shaun Tanaka

York-Simcoe Liberal Party candidate Shaun Tanaka tweeted out a photo of her team setting up her byelection campaign office in Keswick Jan. 10. - Photo: Twitter

Liberals in York-Simcoe have once again nominated East Gwillimbury’s Shaun Tanaka as the official 'Team Trudeau' candidate in the upcoming federal byelection slated for Feb. 25.

“Shaun Tanaka knocked on thousands of doors as the Liberal candidate for York-Simcoe in 2015, and we are very proud to welcome her to Team Trudeau once again for this important byelection,” said Suzanne Cowan, President of the Liberal Party of Canada.

“Shaun’s deep roots in York-Simcoe give her a unique understanding of her community’s priorities and challenges, and I know she will never stop working hard to strengthen the middle class and continue growing our economy.”

The university professor and mother of two has dedicated many years of volunteer service to organizations such as the Sharon Temple Museum Society and the East Gwillimbury Public Library, along with the National Association of Japanese Canadians and the Maytree Foundation – a charitable organization committed to reducing poverty and inequality in Canada.

Tanaka has spent the past decade as a geography professor, both at Queen’s University and the University of Toronto, in addition to operating a successful business with her husband, Sean.

“York-Simcoe needs a strong local voice in government who will stand up for the priorities and needs of our community,” Tanaka said.

“I’ll be working hard to earn every single vote, so together we can strengthen our middle class, grow our local economy, and offer real help to families.”

Long considered a Tory stronghold, the York-Simcoe riding has been held for the past 14 years by Conservative MP and former cabinet minister Peter Van Loan, who retired from politics last September.

In the last federal election, Van Loan garnered 50 per cent of the vote, beating Liberal Shaun Tanaka, who received 36 per cent, and the NDP’s Sylvia Gerl, who got 10 per cent.

Despite the fact Tanaka lagged behind Van Loan by more than 6,000 votes, she did manage to increase the Liberal vote in the riding by 400 per cent.

In the upcoming February byelection, Tanaka is running against business owner Scot Davidson of the Conservatives and workers’ rights advocate Jessa McLean of the NDP.


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PostPosted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 4:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

PPC's Laura-Lynn Tyler Thompson confident new party can make an impact in Burnaby South

Former school trustee candidate says she won't be campaigning on gender identity issues

Kelvin Gawley / Burnaby Now
January 14, 2019 11:56 AM

Laura-Lynn Tyler Thompson

Laura-Lynn Tyler Thompson is the People's Party of Canada candidate in Burnaby South.

Photograph By Contributed

Laura-Lynn Tyler Thompson isn’t planning to stand on a soapbox and give a rousing speech as supporters cheer and TV cameras look on.

Unlike her NDP and Liberal opponents in Burnaby South, who hosted such campaign kickoffs this weekend, the People’s Party of Canada (PPC) candidate says her new party’s campaign will rely on more on-the-ground campaigning.

“I think there has to be a strategy that's kind of unique because we're so brand new,” Thompson said.

The Christian TV host will be among the first candidates to face voters under the PPC banner since the party was formed by former Conservative Maxime Bernier. She will be facing NDP leader Jagmeet Singh, Liberal Karen Wang and Conservative Jay Shin in the Feb. 25 byelection to replace former NDP MP and current Vancouver Mayor Kennedy Stewart. (The Green Party is not running a candidate in the byelection and the NOW is not aware of any other candidates.)

Thompson said she has been working 15 to 18 hours a day putting her campaign together, but she’s confident her message of small government and personal responsibility will connect with voters.

“Being a new, fledgling party, we've been in the process of getting everything ready but it is coming together,” she said.

Thompson, a New Westminster resident, ran unsuccessfully for Burnaby school board in October. She came in 11th of 13 candidates running for seven trustee chairs.

This time, however, Thompson won’t be campaigning on the key issue of her school board run – what she calls an ideology of gender fluidity. She has been an ardent opponent of B.C. school resources meant to help teachers teach about sexual orientation and gender identity.

Bernier has said his party will not address gender identity issues in its platform.

“It is important – and he's made that very clear to me – that I have to really reflect the party platform,” Thompson said.

She said it won’t be hard for her to bite her tongue on the issue, as she is in agreement with the PPC stances, including on issues such as fiscal responsibility and immigration.

Thompson said she shares Bernier’s view that Canada may be at risk of becoming too diverse. She said the country needs to accept the differences of others “and yet have a cohesiveness here in Canada.”

Thompson said she wasn’t worried about that message’s ability to stick in a diverse riding where the majority of residents are immigrants. She said she has been able to connect with people from different backgrounds who share similar “traditional values” such as loving family and religion.

Asked what the top local issues are, Thompson mentioned housing first. She did not identify any specific policy solutions to housing affordability but said she would champion the issue.

“What has to happen is there has to be some brainstorming around the issues,” she said. “There has to be an assessment of what’s going on and then coming up with actual solutions.”


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PostPosted: Tue Jan 15, 2019 9:31 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

For NDP's Jagmeet Singh, the pressure rises as the votes draw closer

The Canadian Press
January 14, 2019 03:28 PM

OTTAWA — Critics of NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh say his performance in a weekend TV interview is a sign he may not be prepared for the challenges of the election year ahead.

His supporters shrugged it off as an inconsequential moment that only those within the "Ottawa bubble" actually care about.

During an appearance on the political show CTV Question Period, Singh appeared to be unaware of a news story that made a lot of headlines last week.

Singh was asked how he would respond, if elected prime minister, to the recent statement by China's Canadian ambassador Lu Shaye, that Canada and its Western allies' calls for the release of two Canadians detained in China is rooted in "white supremacy."

"Sorry, who accused who of white supremacy?" Singh asked his interviewer. He later told the Toronto Star he didn't hear the initial question. Host Evan Solomon repeated it in full and asked how Singh would have responded if he were prime minister.

"I don't know if there is any evidence of that suggestion," Singh said, then quickly pivoted to talking about U.S. President Donald Trump.

The performance spawned a social-media backlash from NDP supporters and foes alike.

Karl Belanger, the NDP's former national director, said Singh's response to the China question is not a big problem on its own, but he believes these kinds of things can add up. Whether he didn't hear the question properly or he wasn't fully briefed, Belanger thinks Singh should have been able to handle it better.

"Frankly, it's not helpful to have answered the way he answered because it feeds into a narrative that Jagmeet Singh is not ready to play at the same level as the other main party leaders," Belanger said.

Singh, elected the NDP leader about 15 months ago, is in the political fight of his life as he seeks to win a seat in the House of Commons for the first time. He is currently devoting almost all his time to that campaign ahead of the Feb. 25 vote but has said even if he doesn't win he will continue to lead the party into next fall's general election.

British Columbia NDP MP Peter Julian, who has been canvassing the riding alongside his leader, said Burnaby voters like Singh because, compared to the candidates from other parties, he has a lot to say on the issues that are most important to people in the riding, like housing affordability, the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion and education.

"We're certainly seeing, both with the phone calls we're making and the door to door, very strong support," said Julian, who insisted he's heard absolutely nothing about Singh's response on the China question.

"It's just not something that people are talking about in Burnaby South and that's, I think, indicative as well of the difference between the kind of issues that are talked about in the Ottawa bubble and the types of issues that people are actually talking about."

Belanger said Singh absolutely has to win the byelection.

"Failure is not an option. Despite what some might say, he must win if he wants to remain leader and lead the NDP in the next general election," he said.

Nationally the NDP is at around 16-per-cent support in polls, which supporters argue is good by historical standards.

One party insider, who spoke on condition of anonymity, acknowledged there's pressure on Singh, but said there were times in the NDP's history when it would have "kill(ed) to be hovering around 16 per cent."

However the NDP hasn't polled that low in an election since 2004, when it won just 19 seats, fewer than half the 44 seats won in 2015.

The insider said the party expects more people to tune in as the October general election gets closer. They're also confident Singh is going to take the Burnaby South seat, which NDP candidate Kennedy Stewart won by just over 500 votes in the 2015 election. Singh is running against Liberal candidate Karen Wang and Conservative hopeful Jay Shin. The Greens have decided not to field a candidate.


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PostPosted: Tue Jan 15, 2019 10:15 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

( lots of big talk from Bernier about these 3 by elections but still not even word on possible PPC candidates in Outremont or York Simcoe . and the main 3 parties are already nominated in all 3 ridings and opening campaign offices .

although were still missing a BQ candidate for Outremont and a green candidate for York Simcoe )

Upcoming by-elections a test for fledgling PPC: Bernier

Bernier says his new political party has already defied critics by establishing riding associations in all 338 federal constituencies.

Alex MacPherson, Saskatoon StarPhoenix
Updated: January 14, 2019

People's Party of Canada leader Maxime Bernier speaks to a Greater Saskatoon Chamber of Commerce lunch on Monday, Jan. 14, 2019. Saskatoon

Maxime Bernier says he believes a growing desire for “bold changes” will drive support for his fledgling political party, a theory that will be put to the test in three federal by-elections next month.

The People’s Party of Canada founder, who is in Saskatchewan to drum up support ahead of the October federal election, said he expects his candidates to do well, but he won’t know for sure until the ballots are counted.

“Yes, it is a test. It is a test because we just started the party four months ago,” Bernier said after speaking to around 50 people at a Greater Saskatoon Chamber of Commerce lunch on Monday.

“People, they don’t know the name of our party. They cannot say, ‘Oh, the People’s Party of Canada.’ My name recognition is very good, but we need to improve the party’s name recognition — that’s our challenge.”

Starting a new political party is not an easy task. It took the Green Party of Canada 28 years to win a seat in the House of Commons; the western populist Reform Party needed six years to get an MP elected.

Bernier acknowledged the challenge of starting from scratch, but said the PPC — which he founded after splitting from the Andrew Scheer-led Conservative Party of Canada — has already proved naysayers wrong.

“Everybody was saying in the beginning, when we launched the party, that we won’t be ready, we won’t be able to have a riding association in every riding — and we did it. We did it in three months,” he said.

Last week, the PPC — which claims 33,000 members nationwide — unveiled its first byelection candidates; Bernier said the remaining candidates are expected to be named this week.

Saskatchewan voters will have to wait until spring, however, to learn who will run for the not-yet-registered party in the province. Bernier said he expects to unveil a slate of candidates before the end of May.

Candidates with name recognition are likely to be important for the PPC, which has approached multiple Saskatchewan politicians and business leaders about the prospect of running in 2019.

While few names are available, Conservative MP Brad Trost — who lost his nomination race last year — told The StarPhoenix he is “not in any way seriously” considering joining with his CPC leadership race rival.

While Bernier’s speech drew a smaller crowd than a typical Chamber of Commerce lunch, those who did show up appeared receptive to the Quebec MP’s thoughts on streamlining pipeline approvals, and his jabs at Scheer and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.

In his speech, Bernier blasted the governing Liberals for failing to use their powers at the risk of offending important voting blocks, and the Conservatives for failing to speak out against the government for the same reason.

The Chamber of Commerce is expected to invite all of the leaders of federal political parties to speak at its events ahead of the election, which is set for Oct. 21. Bernier is set to speak to the Regina and District Chamber of Commerce on Tuesday.


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PostPosted: Tue Jan 15, 2019 11:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

( a lawyer from Toronto , Robert Geurts has just been named the PPC candidate in York Simcoe )

Media release - The People’s Party of Canada Nominates Prominent Toronto Lawyer for York-Simcoe By-Election

Today, Clinton Desveaux, Executive Director for Maxime Bernier’s People’s Party of Canada, announced the nomination of Robert Geurts as candidate for the York-Simcoe by-election. He will represent the PPC in its first electoral fight in Ontario since the party was officially launched on September 14, 2018.

January 15, 2019

/ News
/ Media release - The People’s Party of Canada Nominates Prominent Toronto Lawyer for York-Simcoe By-Election

PPC HQ, Gatineau, January 15, 2019 — Today, Clinton Desveaux, Executive Director for Maxime Bernier’s People’s Party of Canada, announced the nomination of Robert Geurts as candidate for the York-Simcoe by-election. He will represent the PPC in its first electoral fight in Ontario since the party was officially launched on September 14, 2018.

More information about the candidate:

Robert Geurts began his long and distinguished legal career as a senior criminal prosecuting attorney for the Attorney General of Ontario. Since 2001 he has been a successful trial defense lawyer within the Ontario Bar. He has put criminals behind bars as well as defended their innocence. This has given him unique perspectives into how to defend your best interests when it is you who are the accused.

Mr. Geurts is a recognized expert in his field, having lectured and taught widely on various subjects related to criminal law. During his 20-year career, he has been an instructor for the Ontario Bar Admissions Program, and a University lecturer in criminal law within the Justice Studies Program at Ryerson University. He also lectured at the Rogers School of Business until 2007.

Robert Geurts specialized in Constitutional Law at the Faculty of Law, Queen’s University, receiving his LL.M at Cornell University, NY. He also received a Masters of Arts concentrating in Constitutional Politics at the University of Toronto.


“The people of York-Simcoe never saw the benefits of real reform from Peter Van Loan or from the Conservative and Liberals governments during the past 14 years. Both were more interested in distributing corporate welfare and serving special interest groups such as the dairy cartel instead of the moms and dads in York-Simcoe.

I am truly proud to represent the People’s Party. Maxime Bernier has shown courage and is championing greater fairness for all. He is defending the middle class as we fight the decline of the average Canadian's buying power. His leadership should inspire all Canadians.” – Robert Geurts, Candidate

“Robert is a prominent criminal lawyer and recognized legal expert. The People’s Party is already attracting outstanding candidates from various walks of life. Our party has only existed for four months, but we are deadly serious about putting up a real fight. I am really proud that we have such a principled and experienced candidate in York-Simcoe.” — Maxime Bernier, PPC leader


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PostPosted: Tue Jan 15, 2019 5:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

( a surprise mainstreet poll has singh leading in Burnaby South although there is still a lot of undecided and the PPC candidate is perhaps doing better than expected , the poll also shows a closer race among Chinese voters )

Singh Leading In Burnaby South By-Election

January 15, 2019|Mainstreet Research|British Columbia, Featured, Uncategorized

15 January 2019 (Toronto, ON) – NDP leader Jagmeet Singh is out to a sizeable lead in the by-election in Burnaby South, but still faces obstacles in winning his seat.

“We have found significant shifts among the electorate since the by-election has been called,” said Quito Maggi, President and CEO of Mainstreet Research. “Voters in Burnaby South are now facing an imminent choice in the by-election among all the nominated candidates.”

Among decided and leaning voters, Jagmeet Singh has 38.8% support while Liberal candidate Karen Wang has 26.3% support. Conservative candidate Jay Shin has 22% and the People’s Party candidate Laura-Lynn Tyler Thompson has 8.7%.

740 voters in Burnaby South were surveyed between January 8th and 10th. The margin of error on this survey is +/- 3.6% and is accurate 19 times out of 20.

But Maggi cautions that these findings do not necessarily mean that it will be clear sailing for Singh in the by-election.

“Our previous polling in Burnaby South – which used party leaders’ names – had a lower undecided rate than this most recent survey,” he continued. “We also find that it is Liberal candidate Karen Wang – not Jagmeet Singh – that leads the leaning vote.”

“This indicates that there is a strong amount of voter volatility at this juncture in the election.”

Singh is in a competitive fight among Mandarin and Cantonese voters, which is further evidence that there may be more turns in the by-election.

“What is however clear is that the People’s Party at this stage has significant support and is likely peeling support away from the Conservatives,’ concluded Maggi. “If the People’s Party is still this strong coming into election day, the Conservatives will have no chance of winning.”



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PostPosted: Tue Jan 15, 2019 9:11 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

( I don't know what to make of the poll , but its from mainstreet and they haven't always been right but it perhaps gives us some insight into the race there )

POLL: Jagmeet Singh Leads In Burnaby South, People’s Party At 8.7%

NewsSpencerFernando January 15, 20191

Jagmeet Singh Speech

The Liberals and Conservatives are in 2nd and 3rd place respectively.

Jagmeet Singh’s bid to get a seat in the House of Commons – and salvage his moribund leadership – is off to a decent start.

According to a new Mainstreet Research Poll of Burnaby South residents for the upcoming by-election, Singh has a solid lead:

Jagmeet Singh (NDP) – 38.8%

Karen Wang (Liberal) – 26.3%

Jay Shin (Conservative) – 22%

Laura-Lynn Tyler Thompson (People’s Party) – 8.7%

The NDP had narrowly won the riding in the last election, and the by-election is seen as Jagmeet Singh’s last hope to resurrect his political fortunes, which have been in freefall as his performance as NDP leader is widely panned.

The numbers for the People’s Party are also notable, and are quite different from the 1-2% the party has been getting in most national polls.

If the People’s Party is able to finish anywhere near 8.7%, and if the Conservatives finish far behind the NDP and Liberals, it will certainly set off some serious panic within the upper echelons of the Conservative Party, raising further fears of potential vote-splitting on the right/centre-right. However, the Liberals are also polling down from their 2015 result, which could mean the People’s Party is pulling votes from both disgruntled former Conservatives and Liberals.

That said, it remains to be seen whether the NDP or People’s Party have the infrastructure to turn potential votes into actual votes, when compared to the more seasoned and powerful political machines of the Conservatives and Liberals.


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PostPosted: Tue Jan 15, 2019 9:22 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

NDP puts off winter caucus meeting to focus on Singh's byelection campaign

'All of this hinges on what happens in Burnaby,' says one MP

Hannah Thibedeau · CBC News · Posted: Jan 15, 2019 5:22 PM ET | Last Updated: 3 hours ago

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh, left, places a sign on supporter Paul Pelletreau's lawn while door knocking for his byelection campaign, in Burnaby, B.C., Saturday. Singh is expected to get some help from his caucus on the campaign trail before Parliament resumes later this month. (Darryl Dyck/Canadian Press)


The NDP has postponed its winter caucus meeting to free up MPs to help leader Jagmeet SIngh campaign in the Burnaby South byelection, CBC News has learned.

The party retreat, traditionally held before the resumption of Parliament in late January, will instead be held in March or early April, a party official told CBC News.

It is customary for the three main parties to gather ahead of each parliamentary sitting to plan strategy. The Liberals and Conservatives are holding their meetings in Ottawa on the weekend of Jan. 26-27.

The meetings are seen as particularly important this time around as parties are trying to fine tune their strategies and focus their message for this election year.

But the NDP has a more imminent concern: getting its leader into the House of Commons.

Singh is running in a byelection to fill the vacant Burnaby South seat in B.C., one of three byelections called by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau earlier this month. Singh has been without a seat since he was elected leader in October 2017.

"Since (Singh) is focusing on his byelection in Burnaby South, and some MPs are focusing on helping our candidates in the three by-elections throughout the country, we have postponed our strategic discussions to the next few weeks," said NDP caucus chair Matthew Dubé.

As another NDP MP put it, "is time better spent here (Ottawa) for a couple of days gazing into the next eight months or on the doorsteps over the next two weeks."

"Most, if not all, of the B.C. caucus and others will be going out to help out Jagmeet," the MP said. "All of this hinges on what happens in Burnaby."

At the outset, it looked like Singh would have an uphill climb in Burnaby South. A poll in the fall put the NDP in third place in the riding. But a new survey published Tuesday by the same polling firm found Singh ahead of the Liberal and Conservative candidates.

Still, Singh shouldn't take anything for granted. Riding-level polling, particularly in byelections and in diverse ridings like Burnaby South, has a mixed track record.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has also called byelections for the Ontario riding of York-Simcoe and Montreal's Outremont, which was vacated in the summer by Singh's predecessor, Tom Mulcair.

The byelections will be held Feb. 25.


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PostPosted: Wed Jan 16, 2019 9:41 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

( most of the campaign in Outremont so far seems to be focused on putting up posters on public street signs in the riding as its mostly apartments so very few would place one on there lawn

the ndp signs , feature a picture of the candidate , her name and ndp very small in the top .

the cpc signs , feature a picture of the candidate , her name and conservative small on the bottom

the liberal signs , feature a picture of the candidate , her name and team trudeau , is also a second sign the features a picture of her with trudeau

no sign of Green , BQ or People's signage based on the posts I could find on twitter )

Alexandre Boulerice‏Verified account @alexboulerice · 12h12 hours ago

Salut ⁦@MathieuTraversy⁩ ! En passant, ça grouille de orange #NPD dans #Outremont! À bientôt. #polcan

Translated from French by Microsoft

Hi ⁦ @MathieuTraversy ⁩, guys. By the way, it's crawling with orange #NPD #Outremont! See you again. #polcan

Yaakov Pollak‏ @Yanky_Pollak · 7h7 hours ago

What a great night to put up posters #Outremont #cndpoli #byelection

Rachel Bendayan‏Verified account @RachelBendayan · Jan 14

Mission “pancartes” accomplie! T-42, here are some photos of hope and hard work in the freezing cold #Outremont #TeamTrudeau #polcan #cdnpoli
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3 Federal By Elections on February 25

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