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PostPosted: Fri May 04, 2018 12:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bugs wrote:

Besides, who says you are right about the imbalance of enthusiasm? By my calculus, the Democrats have gone from denial to anger, and should now be entering the stage of resignation as a result of $ucce$$ with Korea and China.

I hope I am wrong;
The US President has exceeded nearly every expectation I could have had on taxation and trade.

A stronger presence in both houses would allow for more to be done quicker.

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PostPosted: Mon May 07, 2018 7:46 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

GOP outsider Blankenship emerges as factor in West Virginia Senate race, ahead of 4 state primaries Tuesday

Joseph Weber By Joseph Weber | Fox News

Blankenship dismisses prison sentence as 'fake prosecution'

Republican Senate hopeful and former Massey Energy CEO says the government blamed coal miners for not doing their jobs.

Candidates in West Virginia, Ohio, Indiana and North Carolina made closing arguments this weekend ahead of key primaries Tuesday -- showing in many ways how Republican hopefuls are aligning behind President Trump while Democrats move to the left in more divided paths that threaten to undermine the party.

Ahead of West Virginia’s GOP primary Tuesday to unseat Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin, each of the top three candidates has claimed to be the closest in ideology to Trump. Meanwhile, Don Blankenship has taken direct aim at Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell -- calling him “Cocaine Mitch.” Blankenship apparently has tried to link McConnell to a 2014 news report about drugs purportedly found on a ship owned by his in-laws.

Blankenship also has accused McConnell of creating jobs for "Chinapeople" and said his "China family" has given him millions of dollars. McConnell's wife is Trump's transportation secretary, Elaine Chao, who was born in Taiwan. Her father, entrepreneur and philanthropist James S.C. Chao, was born in China.

The leading GOP candidates are state Attorney General Patrick Morrisey and Rep. Evan Jenkins. They have until recently largely ignored Blankenship -- a former coal industry executive who served a year in prison in connection with the Upper Big Branch Mine explosion in West Virginia in 2010 that killed 29 workers.


Dennis Kucinich, left, and Richard Cordray are top candidates in the Ohio Democratic primary for governor.

But this weekend, Morrisey started using “robo-calls” to potential voters saying: “Convicted criminal Don Blankenship didn’t vote for President Trump and is a resident of Nevada, where he must report to his parole officer.”

On Sunday, Morrisey moved to have Blankenship disqualified from the primary for failing to submit a financial disclosure, in violation of election law and perhaps of his probation.

Blankenship’s campaign said the candidate has already spoken to his probation officer, who wasn’t concerned about the financial disclosure.

Washington Republicans have said they thought the Manchin seat was very winnable, based in part on Trump having won the state in 2016 over Democrat Hillary Clinton by 42 percentage points.

The GOP candidates in Ohio have been pushing for change. “I’m tired of the career politicians we have in Washington. That’s why I’m running,” Mike Gibbons, a Republican businessman and first-time candidate trying to unseat Ohio Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown, told Fox News’ “America’s News HQ” on Saturday.

Such talk likely sounds familiar, considering Trump, a Republican, won the 2016 White House race as a successful businessman and first-time candidate vowing to “drain the swamp” of career politicians in Washington.

Trump has, however, endorsed Ohio Rep. Jim Renacci. And the president on Saturday included the four-term congressman in a public event in Cleveland.

"He’ll be fantastic,” Trump said of Renacci. "We need his vote very badly."

Massachusetts Democratic Sen. Elizabeth Warren, a champion of her party's "progressive" wing, is backing Richard Cordray for Ohio governor.

Gibbons, a fundraising co-chairman in Ohio for the 2016 Trump presidential campaign, also told Fox News that the largest personal donation he ever gave to a candidate went to Trump.

Trump won each of the four states holding primaries Tuesday.

In Indiana, Republicans are set to pick from three candidates who have spent much of the race praising Trump and bashing each other, in a bid to unseat Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly.

In attempts to appeal to Trump voters, they’ve adopted the president's harsh immigration rhetoric and penchant for personal insults. The candidates have even channeled Trump by assigning derisive nicknames to one another: “Lyin’ ”Todd Rokita, Luke “Missing” Messer and “Tax Hike” Mike Braun.

Ohio also has a Democratic and Republican primary to replace term-limited GOP Gov. John Kasich.

In the GOP primary, state Attorney General Mike DeWine has a double-digit lead over Lt. Gov. Mary Taylor. Both are Trump-agenda supporters.

The top Democrats in the Ohio governor’s race are former Rep. Dennis Kucinich and Richard Cordray, a former state attorney general and onetime Consumer Financial Protection Bureau director.

Kucinich is backed by Our Revolution, the self-described “next step in the Bernie Sanders' movement.” Cordray is being endorsed by Massachusetts Democratic Sen. Elizabeth Warren, who helped start the federal protection bureau.

Warren is a potential 2020 presidential candidate whose efforts to regulate Wall Street have made her a champion of the party’s “progressive” wing.

Sanders, an Independent Vermont senator, ran for president in 2016 as a Democrat. The self-described Democratic socialist is weighing a potential 2020 bid and would very likely compete with Warren for the Democratic Party’s most liberal wing.

Cordray on Saturday downplayed the Warren-Sanders narrative and suggested he was more concerned about connecting with voters, citing his “kitchen table” platform aiming to address concerns such as jobs and health care.

“I don’t think it represents any big split,” he told Fox News. “We’re presenting a case to voters in Ohio.”

Polls have shown the race essentially tied or Cordray having a slight lead. Race handicappers, including the nonpartisan Cook Political Report, have rated the general election contest “lean Republican,” which means the GOP has a slight edge.

Trump won Ohio in 2016 by 8 percentage points, and the state has had a Republican governor for roughly 23 of the past 27 years.

"The far left and the far right always think they are going to dominate these elections," said John Weaver, a Trump critic and top strategist to Kasich. "You may think it's wise in a primary to handuff yourself to the president. But when the ship goes down, you may not be able to get the cuffs off."

Still, primary candidates historically must appeal strongly to their bases to win, before they often try presenting more moderate platforms to win over general election voters.

In North Carolina, GOP Rep. Robert Pittenger faces a primary challenger who almost upset him two years ago. Pittenger features Trump prominently in his campaign. Challenger Mark Harris, a prominent Charlotte pastor, has tried to turn the table, saying Pittenger is a creature of Washington who refuses to help Trump "drain that swamp."

The leading Democrat for the seat is Marine veteran Dan McCready, who has raised almost $2 million, slightly more than Harris and Pittenger combined, in a district Trump won by about 12 percentage points.

Democrats must flip about two dozen Republican-held seats to reclaim a House majority, and they must do it with Republican-run legislatures having drawn many districts to the GOP's advantage.


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PostPosted: Mon May 07, 2018 10:04 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Don Blankenship would be a unique choice for the GOP in a winnable riding.
A West Virginia version of Christine O'Donnell.

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PostPosted: Wed May 09, 2018 9:33 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Voters in both parties snub fringe candidates as they look toward November

By Lukas Mikelionis | Fox News

Morrisey beats Jenkins, Blankenship in West Virginia

State Attorney General Patrick Morrisey wins GOP primary for U.S. Senate in West Virginia; Peter Doocy reports.

Tuesday's GOP primary results showed both Republicans and Democrats moving toward the center as voters look ahead to this fall's midterm elections.

Republicans are looking to increase the party's Senate majority and maintain control of the House, while Democrats snubbed progressive candidates in favor of moderates -- including one who backed Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton in 2016.

Businessman wins Indiana GOP Senate primary; Mike Tobin reports.

Mike Braun to face Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly in Indiana

Patrick Morrisey, West Virginia's attorney general, came out the winner of the state's contentious GOP Senate primary, defeating controversial former coal executive Don Blankenship.

In Indiana's GOP Senate primary, businessman Mike Braun, who mostly self-funded his campaign, won against U.S. Reps. Luke Messer and Todd Rokita.

Jim Renacci won the GOP Senate primary in Ohio.

The Ohio results were attributed to the influence of President Trump, who endorsed Renacci over businessman Mike Gibbons.

Trump also made a last-minute appeal to West Virginia voters to reject Blankenship in a bid to avoid the repeat of December's Senate race in Alabama, where Democrat Doug Jones turned the deep-red state blue -- for the first time in decades.

"To the great people of West Virginia we have, together, a really great chance to keep making a big difference. Problem is, Don Blankenship, currently running for Senate, can’t win the General Election in your State...No way! Remember Alabama. Vote Rep. Jenkins or A.G. Morrisey" Trump tweeted Monday.

But Tuesday's results also seemed to vindicate Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., the subject of multiple personal attacks during the primaries. Blankenship branded McConnell "Cocaine Mitch" and referring to his Asian-American in-laws as "his China family."

The McConnell team could not hide its glee after the results. They taunted Blankenship with a photo of a smiling McConnell, with the caption reading, "Thanks for playing, Don."

McConnell has long sought to put the Republican house in order before the midterms, admitting that the party faces some tough fights in November.

Congressman Jim Renacci will face off against incumbent Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown; Ellison Barber reports from Ohio.

"This is going to be a challenging election year,” McConnell told Kentucky Today in April. “We know the wind is going to be in our face. We don’t know whether it’s going to be a Category 3, 4 or 5.”

But as Republicans show signs of getting serious and choosing candidates that can appeal beyond the Trump voters, Democrats on Tuesday -- much to the chagrin of the progressive base -- favored blue-collar, middle-of-the-road candidates.

In West Virginia's 3rd District, state Sen. Richard Ojeda clinched the victory in the Democratic primary. The win was a defeat for progressive supporters of the party, as Ojeda famously said he backed Trump over Clinton in 2016, the Washington Post reported.

Democrat Richard Cordray, meanwhile, was declared the party's nominee for Ohio governor after he defeated former congressman and ex-Cleveland Mayor Dennis Kucinich.

Kucinich had criticized Cordray as a "Republican-lite" candidate who was too moderate on key issues concerning most Democrats, and was once backed by the National Rifle Association (NRA). Kucinich ran on a platform of single-payer health care, gun control and criminal justice reform.

But Cordray, who once ran the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau under President Barack Obama, fought back and pointed out that Kucinich accepted $20,000 from a group with links to Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.

“Kucinich bothered me because of the whole Assad thing,” voter Robert Halpin, 57, told the Post. “I didn’t like Cordray because of the NRA. But in the end, weighing it, I don’t like Assad more [than I don’t like the NRA], so I went with Cordray.”

In Indiana's 2nd District, former Republican and health care executive Mel Hall cruised to victory against candidates advocating for universal health care.

Moderate Democrats also won Tuesday in two North Carolina districts, defeating far-left challengers.


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PostPosted: Mon May 14, 2018 8:09 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

( the democrats seem unsure what to do ? now that trumps approval numbers are improving , one has to wonder if not for the Mueller Russia probe might trump even be into positive numbers ? )

Trump's rising approval rating scrambles Dems' midterm strategy

Alex Pappas By Alex Pappas | Fox News

As President Trump’s approval numbers slope upwards, Democrats appear to be losing confidence in the idea they can win back control of Congress just by riding the wave of anti-Trump sentiment.

Last week, the president’s approval in the Real Clear Politics polling average reached its highest point in 14 months, with 44 percent approving of his job performance and 52 percent dissapproving. That eight point gap is the smallest since March 2017, three months after Trump won the presidential election.

“It is definitely moving in our direction, and I think we defy history in these midterms,” New York Rep. Elise Stefanik, the recruitment chairman for the National Republican Congressional Committee, said Monday on Fox News’ “The Daily Briefing with Dana Perino.”

Historically, the party of the incumbent president loses seats in midterm elections. Republicans hold a slim 51-49 advantage in the Senate. Democrats need to win 24 seats to flip the House.

West Virginia GOP Senate candidate Patrick Morrisey reacts to his primary win for U.S. Senate in West Virginia and offers insight on his campaign against Senator Joe Manchin.

But Democrats admit it's no given they will win back a majority, admitting the political landscape has shifted.

“I think anyone who was proclaiming victory a couple of months ago was premature,” Michigan Rep. Daniel Kildee of Michigan, who is on the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee leadership team, told the Washington Post. “I think the president’s standing obviously has some impact.”

Fox News’ most recent polling shows Trump with a 44 percent approval rating, with 53 percent disapproving. That’s an improvement from October, for example, when 38 percent of those approved, and 57 percent disapproved.

In some toss-up Senate races, Trump is quite popular, something Democrats openly acknowledge. In West Virginia’s recent Republican Senate primary, the top three candidates battled each other by arguing they were more committed to enacting the president’s agenda than the others.

Speaking to the Washington Post, incumbent West Virginia Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin expressed hope that Trump won’t stump much for Republican nominee Patrick Morrisey: “The more he can stay out of West Virginia and direct his energies elsewhere would be helpful.”

Trump touts accomplishments, debuts 2020 slogan in Indiana

Trump’s numbers have improved, as the economy has been thriving and the president has been boasting of the tax reform bill he signed into law late last year. Trump has also seen success abroad, as significant gains have been made in decimating ISIS and the president prepares for a summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un on denuclearization.

Still, the president remains hampered with Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s probe looking into Russia’s attempted interference in the 2016 election. Some Democrats have pushed for trying to impeach Trump, should their party win back control of the House in November.

During a rally last week after Indiana wrapped up a divisive Republican Senate primary, the president praised a lengthy ticket of House and Senate candidates by name and predicted Democrats would dismantle his agenda if they regained control of Congress.

"You have to work every day between now and November to elect more Republicans so that we can continue to make America great again," Trump said, referencing his 2016 campaign slogan.


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PostPosted: Thu May 17, 2018 12:35 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

With Primaries starting to wrap up and the shape of various elections finally becoming more clear we starting to see some results of head to head battles;

Two of the TCTC States (To Close to Call) have both the Democrat and GOP candidates now in place and polling has been conducted post primaries in both states.


Has Mike Braun ahead within the MoE of Joe Donnelly

West Virginia:

Has Patrick Morrisey ahead of Joe Manchin within the MoE

There may be something to this turning tide of the Presidents Popularity,
Granted its very early.

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PostPosted: Thu May 17, 2018 3:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

It's probable that there are more people intending to vote for the Trump-led Republicans than will say so to a pollster.

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PostPosted: Thu May 17, 2018 3:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bugs wrote:
It's probable that there are more people intending to vote for the Trump-led Republicans than will say so to a pollster.

That's a very good point;
Many pollsters are repackaging the "Shy Tory Factor" as the "Shy Trump Voter Factor"

Indiana and to a lesser extent West Virginia should be seats the GOP would be targeting given the PVI factor breaks GOP as much as it does.

If there is a small block (even 1-2%) of "Shy" voters it could be a very strong night for the GOP by way of the Senate.

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PostPosted: Tue May 22, 2018 1:49 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

GOP Surges to 2018 Generic Ballot Lead in New Reuters Poll
Guy Benson |Posted: May 22, 2018 10:45 AM

Oh My: GOP Surges to 2018 Generic Ballot Lead in New Reuters Poll

As Cortney mentioned yesterday, a new CBS News poll shows yet another uptick in Americans' economic optimism, with 64 percent of voters describing the US economy has 'very' or 'somewhat' good, and even more -- 68 percent -- giving partial or "a great deal" of credit to President Trump. That same survey of likely voters also measured a variant of the generic Congressional ballot, confirming the still-tightening trajectory of that election year metric:

Guy Benson

CBS poll: 45% of likely voters prefer Democrats win this year, while 43% favor Republicans (D+2). It's not a pure generic ballot question, but it's close. Same poll shows 68% crediting Trump somewhat or a great deal for the economy, about which most Americans are optimistic.

9:38 AM - May 21, 2018
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It's a strange way to ask the question, but when you add up the options, it's a topline Democratic lead of just two points. This is exactly why the party is growing anxious about its slipping fortunes. My typical cautionary note about how quickly the winds can shift, as well as this analysis of the Trump-era off-year and special election results, still remain firmly in place -- but there's a reason why sharp election-watchers are beginning to grow more skeptical of the Democrats' ability to win back the House (and are increasingly confident of the GOP's likelihood of retaining the Senate). UPDATE: Oh my:

Chris Kahn
Say good-bye to the D-advantage in the generic ballot. Our latest Reuters/Ipsos poll shows that registered voters as likely to support Republicans as Democrats. @ReutersPolitics https://bit.ly/2LlzrlJ

2:49 PM - May 21, 2018
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That was yesterday. Today? The GOP is up six points in this series. Color me a bit skeptical, and these numbers will bounce around regardless, but Republicans haven't led on this question in any major in roughly two years, so it's worth flagging. What explains this see-saw back toward Republicans? As someone once said, it's the economy, stupid:

STEW 🇺🇸🐶 ⚾️
Gallup: 67% of Americas believe that now is a good time to find a quality job in the U.S., the highest % in 17 years of Gallup polling. Optimism about the availability of good jobs has grown by 25 percentage points since Donald Trump was elected president.http://bit.ly/2kbJnC3

6:25 AM - May 21, 2018

Optimism About Availability of Good Jobs Hits New Heights
Optimism about the U.S. job market is at a 17-year high, with 67% of Americans saying now is a good time to find a quality job.

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If you're keeping track at home, we've hit a 11-year high, a 13-year high, and a 17-year high on overall or economic national outlook in three distinct polls published over the last week or so. That said, it would be insane for Republicans to feel even remotely assured that their majorities will remain intact after November. Improved polling and stronger presidential approval numbers are undoubtedly significant data points, but those strides could be mitigated or wiped out by a strong Democratic intensity gap (via Axios):

A new NBC News/WSJ poll reveals that 66% of Democrats have a "high level of interest" in this fall's midterm elections — compared to 49% of Republicans. Flashback: This is a mirror image of Republican enthusiasm ahead of the 2010 midterms, which resulted in a Tea Party sweep in Congress. At that time, the same NBC/WSJ poll showed that 66% of Republicans had a "high level of interest" compared to 49% of Democrats. [....]

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PostPosted: Thu May 24, 2018 11:55 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Democrats' 'blue wave' in doubt as generic ballot lead dries up

Adam Shaw By Adam Shaw | Fox News

Pelosi insists that tax cuts didn't help average Americans

Will the Democrats' messaging on the economy hurt them during the midterms? Fox Business Network's Charles Payne reacts.

Back in January, Democrats confidently predicted a "blue wave" would wipe out Republican control of Congress in this year's midterms -- as polls showed a massive lead for the party in the so-called generic ballot.

This forecast is looking less certain as that lead shrinks by the week, with one poll even showing Republicans on top.

The "generic" ballot asks voters which party they plan to support, without getting into specific candidates. As recently as April, a Reuters poll showed Democrats with a 13-point lead. Some Democrats cited various surveys, including a CNN poll in December that showed an 18-point lead, as proof that they'd at least claim the House in November.

But that lead has all but disappeared, with Reuters' latest poll showing a slight Republican edge of less than 2 percent. The trend is reflected in other polls. A CNN poll this month showed the Democratic lead at just 3 percent, down from 16 percent in February.

The change in attitude comes as the economy continues to do well and as Democratic leaders struggle to corral their members into focusing on a message that goes beyond anti-Trump rhetoric and Russia.

The results of recent primaries where liberal candidates beat moderate rivals have also changed the general election landscape. Fox News' Power Rankings updated ratings this week to reflect a Republican advantage in several races.


House Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi, for her part, has urged the liberal flank of her party to move away from impeachment talk and focus instead on economic issues that affect everyday Americans -- a move that has led to backlash from some quarters.

“It comes down to an economic message,” Pelosi said in an interview this month. “The financial instability of American families is something that needs to be addressed."

Should Democrats change their midterm strategy? Strategists Ned Ryun and Richard Goodstein debate on 'Fox & Friends First.'

Pelosi also said this month that she would work to roll back the Trump tax cuts if they retake Congress, a statement Republicans have cited as proof that Democrats want to raise taxes.

"Now you’ve heard it straight from Nancy Pelosi’s mouth: if Democrats take back the House and she’s reinstalled as Speaker, your taxes will go up," a National Republican Congressional Committee spokesman said in a statement.

On Monday, the Democrats unveiled a plan to highlight alleged corruption in the Trump administration.


“Instead of delivering on his promise to drain the swamp, President Trump has become the swamp,” Pelosi said, according to The Washington Post.

But as Democrats try to sharpen their message, leaders also have to deal with a brewing civil war.

Pollster and Fox News contributor Doug Schoen pointed to Tuesday’s primary contests that he says show how progressives are overwhelmingly beating more moderate primary opponents.

“Overall, Tuesday’s results prove that the problematic trend of far-left progressives winning Democratic primaries over moderate centrists continues, showing that the party is more divided than ever,” he wrote. “It is time to move forward with a plan that unifies, rather than divides the party, or squander the opportunity to retake either chamber of Congress in November.”

In the meantime, Rep. Lieu -- who predicted the megatsumani in December -- is taking a different approach, and is now downplaying the generic ballot as a means to forecast the November race.

“Do folks still think the national generic ballot means anything?" he asked. “It’s the individual districts that matter. And in those districts, Democrats are crushing it.”


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PostPosted: Mon May 28, 2018 2:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The shift is pretty significant;

Originally the five primary pollsters has upwards of 12 seats as "Flip" that they could agree on. The number today is far lower at 5 seats:

Arizona 2
Florida 27
New Jersey 2
Pennsylvania 5
Pennsylvania 6

And for the first time have the GOP flipping a Democrat seat in the Pennsylvania 14th

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PostPosted: Tue May 29, 2018 7:55 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

( another republican congressman is not running for re election )

Virginia Rep. Tom Garrett won't seek re-election to get treatment for alcoholism

By Sophie Tatum, Ashley Killough and Ryan Nobles, CNN

Updated 5:31 AM ET, Tue May 29, 2018

(CNN) — Rep. Tom Garrett of Virginia said Monday he won't run for re-election this year because he wants to seek treatment for alcoholism, becoming the 44th Republican in the House to retire ahead of the 2018 elections.

Garrett, a member of the conservative House Freedom Caucus, announced his decision in a video statement, in which he also made the announcement that he's an alcoholic.

"Here's one area where I haven't been honest. The tragedy is that any person Republican, Democrat or independent, who's known me for any period of time and has any integrity knows two things: I am a good man, and I am an alcoholic," Garrett said in the video. "This is the hardest statement that I have ever publicly made, by far. It's also the truth"

"With this in mind, not for fear of losing or for lack of love for our great nation, today I am announcing that I will not seek re-election. Sometimes winning means knowing where your priorities should be."

Garrett, who previously worked as an attorney, was elected to Congress in 2016 to represent Virginia's 5th District, which covers Charlottesville and other parts of central Virginia.

He also abruptly parted ways with his chief of staff last week, which was first reported by Politico.

Garrett is newly married with an infant daughter. He faced heavy criticism in the wake of last August's Charlottesville white supremacist rally when a picture surfaced on Facebook of him and one of the event's organizers, Jason Kessler.

Despite his association with Kessler (Garrett claimed he did not know about Kessler's background at the time of the photo), Garrett was among a group of Charlottesville-based politicians who forcefully denounced the rhetoric of the neo-Nazi groups that participated.

Garrett's decision will set off a scramble to determine a Republican nominee to replace him. The congressman already earned the GOP nomination at the end of March, so, according to Virginia law, his replacement is up to the purview of the Republican Party of Virginia. Virginia's GOP gives the party's congressional committee the authority to pick the replacement nominee. The committee could use whatever system they deem necessary to pick that replacement.

Republicans will want to move fast. Democrats already have a nominee in Leslie Cockburn, who has raised more than $700,000. Meanwhile, several GOP names have already been floated as potential candidates, including Del. Nick Fretias, currently the establishment pick for the GOP nomination for US Senate in the race against incumbent Democratic Sen. Tim Kaine.

Fretias is locked in a divisive primary with the former Virginia Trump campaign chair Corey Stewart. Fretias' winning the nomination is far from a sure bet and even if he secures the GOP nomination, he would be considered a heavy underdog to Kaine.

Frietas doesn't live in the district, but that's not a requirement for a federal election. His Senate campaign spokeswoman confirmed he still intends to run.

"Delegate Freitas is running for US Senate," Laura Meyers said.

In addition to Fretias, Del. Rob Bell's name has been floated, as has Albemarle Commonwealth's Attorney Robert Tracci and businessman Denver Riggleman


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PostPosted: Wed Jun 06, 2018 7:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

( in some good news for the republicans , there will actually be a republican candidate for governor , sure to boost GOP turnout in the blue state )

California's key primaries: Trump-backed John Cox outpaces Villaraigosa for governor, Feinstein takes top spot in Senate contest

Gregg Re By Gregg Re | Fox News

Cox, Newsom advance to California governor race

Griff Jenkins has the details.

Republican John Cox has secured a spot on the ballot to face Democratic Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom in the California gubernatorial election in November, boosted by a late endorsement from President Trump and voter discontent over liberal state policies.

Fox News projects that Cox will advance to the general election in the race for governor, outpacing a former Democratic mayor for the No. 2 spot on the ballot. The state's jungle primary system allows the top two finishers to advance regardless of party.

The result is disappointing for Democratic former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa, who was widely considered the most viable potential challenger to Newsom in November's general election in the extremely liberal state.

Democrats' hopes of retaking Congress in November and mounting a national challenge to President Trump's agenda hang in the balance, meanwhile, as ballots continue to be counted in several key House races in California and seven other states with primaries Tuesday.

Trump said in a May tweet that Cox will "Make California Great Again," rallying the state's conservative base around the businessman and saying he could solve California's "high crime, high tax problems."

"This is only the first step to turning around this state and taking back California for all Californians," Cox told supporters in San Diego.

Fox News also projects that Sen. Dianne Feinstein will place first in the state's jungle primary -- a widely expected result. She will likely face ultra-progressive State Sen. Kevin de Leon in November, who delivered remarks early Wednesday strongly suggesting that he will be the runner-up.

"This is only the first step to turning around this state and taking back California for all Californians."
- GOP gubernatorial candidate John Cox
The state's key House races, though, are still too close to call. The winners and losers in California's most competitive races could take days to sort out given the state's unique election laws.

There were some results in from the House races early Wednesday. Republican Rep. Mimi Walters easily advanced to the November election in her Orange County district that has been targeted by Democrats. The second spot remained up for grabs.

And to the north, House intelligence committee chairman Devin Nunes, a Republican, qualified for the general election ballot as well. Nunes is a polarizing figure in national politics given his support for Trump in one of the many investigations into Russian meddling in the 2016 election.

Democrats need to flip 23 Republican-controlled to retake the House from the GOP in November. Out of California's 53 House seats, Republicans hold 14 -- and seven of those GOP-held districts backed Hillary Clinton in 2016.

That makes the Golden State center stage for what Democrats are hoping is a major anti-Trump wave in November.

In several races, either Republicans or Democrats face the very real prospect of being denied a place on the ballot in the general election.


That's because of California's nonpartisan, open "jungle primary" system, which advances the top two vote-getting candidates to the general election -- regardless of their party affiliation.

The risk is particularly high for Democrats, who are riding a wave of anti-Trump enthusiasm in California. So many Democrats are running in three of the House races that they might split the vote to such an extent that two Republicans end up with the most ballots.

That result would lock Democrats out of competing in the general election in some of the most vulnerable Republican districts, a kind of embarrassing political "own goal" that would highlight the quirks and perils of California's unique primary procedure.

Seven other states held primaries on Tuesday, including New Jersey, Alabama, Mississippi, New Mexico, South Dakota, Iowa and Montana. Click here for results from those key races.

The Associated Press

Calif. gubernatorial candidate Gavin Newsom is projected to finish in one of the top spots in the state's jungle primary. (AP)

More on California's closest races:

The governor's race

Newsom, a liberal establishment Democrat who previously served as mayor of San Francisco, will win one of the two spots in the jungle primary and therefore will advance to the November ballot, Fox News can project.

Republican businessman Cox will face him. But Newsom is the clear favorite in November's statewide contest, given California's overwhelmingly liberal electorate.

Some Democrats cried foul earlier this month after Newsom ran ads that reminded voters of Cox's connections with Trump and the NRA, saying the frontrunner was implicitly trying to rally conservatives to the polls to ensure Cox beat Villaraigosa for the second spot on the ballot.

Peter Doocy explains the system.

The House races

One of the most hotly contested races is in the 48th Congressional District, which includes Newport Beach and Laguna Beach. Hillary Clinton narrowly won the district in 2016. Republican Rep. Dana Rohrabacher, who has held the safe seat without serious challenge for decades, faces eight Democrats and fierce competition from GOP rival Scott Baugh.

So many Democrats are running for the seat that none may end up getting the votes needed to appear on the ballot in November.


A similar situation might play out in California's 49th District, where a broad array of candidates is vying for the seat vacated by retiring GOP Rep. Darrell Issa. Eight Republican candidates are in the running, along with four Democrats who are neck-and-neck. The sheer number of entrants in the race could lock out either the GOP or the Democrats in November. Hillary Clinton also won here in 2016, by a margin of a little over seven points.

Another closely watched race was the effort by four Democrats to unseat incumbent Republican Rep. Walters in the 45th District in Orange County, which no Democrat has ever represented but that also supported Clinton in 2016. Walters voted to repeal ObamaCare, which has become a hot-button issue in the increasingly liberal district. On Tuesday, Walters easily advanced to the November election. The second spot remains up for grabs.

Important GOP-held seats with incumbents facing challenges are the 50th District, where Rep. Duncan Hunter is under investigation for misuse of campaign funds; the 10th District held by Rep. Jeff Denham; the 21st District, where Hillary Clinton won convincingly, that is currently occupied by David Valadao; and the 25th District, where Rep. Steve Knight is facing several challengers.

Ed Royce, who was first elected to Congress in 1992 and chairs the House Foreign Affairs Committee, announced his retirement earlier this year. He will vacate his 39th District seat, and several Republican and Democratic candidates are competing to replace him. That setup, again, raises the possibility of one party being knocked entirely out of the November contest.

Sen. Dianne Feinstein, D-Calif.

Incumbent Sen. Dianne Feinstein cruised to victory in Tuesday's California primary, taking the top spot. (AP)

The Senate race

Sen. Dianne Feinstein, D-Calif., will place first in the jungle primary, Fox News projects, even though the California Democratic Party pointedly declined to endorse her in February.

The majority of the votes from delegates at the party's annual convention went to State Sen. Kevin de Leon, Feinstein's progressive challenger who served as the former president pro tempore of the California Senate. Republican James P. Bradley, another hopeful in the primary, is not expected to make it to November's contest.

At 84 years old, Feinstein is the oldest senator in the U.S., and California's increasingly liberal demographics raised concerns during the campaign that even Feinstein may be too moderate for the state's new progressive wing. But her strong party backing, financial position and name recognition have offset those potential stumbling blocks.

In remarks early Wednesday, Kevin de Leon didn't claim the second-place spot, but strongly suggested he'll be facing Feinstein in November.

"A majority of Californians want new leadership in Washington,' he said. "In November, voters will have the opportunity to send a message to Washington, and around the world that the system is broken, the status quo is failing, and the future is now."


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PostPosted: Wed Jun 06, 2018 7:02 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Montana Republicans tap Rosendale to take on vulnerable Democratic Sen. Tester

Ryan Gaydos By Ryan Gaydos | Fox News

Montana State Auditor Matthew Rosendale won the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate on Tuesday in the race to challenge the vulnerable Democratic incumbent Jon Tester in November.

Rosendale, 57, pulled out the victory over three other candidates in the GOP primary. The Senate hopeful has support from deep-pocketed Republican donors who seek to deny Tester a third term.

“The battle of the ox has finally begun, tonight we are one step closer to defeating Jon tester,” Rosendale said. “This is not a victory speech we have to earn that we have to go through to November and that’s when we will come back and give the victory speech.”

The upcoming race between Rosendale and Tester is expected to be under a contentious spotlight. President Trump vowed to make Tester pay for sinking his nominee to lead the Department of Veterans Affairs. Trump’s remarks brought an influx of cash to fill Rosendale’s coffers for his campaign.

“I’ll fight for more freedom and prosperity for all Montana, we need to send trump some conservative reinforcing that will end the liberal constriction,” Rosendale said.

Montana Democrats have been facing a strong Republican challenge in recent years as the GOP has increasingly gained a foothold into Big Sky Country. Two years ago, GOP candidates won every statewide race except the governor’s office.

Tester, who is already feeling the heat from Rosendale, didn’t receive a majority of the votes in his election victories in 2006 and 2012. He also face a challenge from the Green Party that could steal some of the votes he would need to lock in a win come November.

The Montana Democratic Party has sued to try to disqualify the Green Party from the ballot.

Trump won Montana with about 56 percent of the vote in 2016. In comparison, 2008 Republican nominee John McCain garnered about 50 percent.


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PostPosted: Thu Jun 07, 2018 7:50 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

( Newt Gingrich is now predicting the republicans do better than expected in November , for several reasons , first off the economy is booming , but also the democrats are being taken over by far left radicals in many states and not running on a moderate plan . California is also going to make things interesting with a competitive governor race and higher GOP turnout In a blue state )

Newt Gingrich: The red wave is growing

Newt GingrichOPINION By Newt Gingrich | Fox News

Newt Gingrich: There will be a red wave this fall

On 'Fox & Friends,' former House speaker says Comey and McCabe are in deep trouble and that now is the time to take on welfare reform.

Over the past few days, four building blocks have fallen into place that strengthen the case for a red wave of Republican victories in the November midterm elections, wiping out Democratic hopes for a blue wave.

Three of these building blocks are Republican-favoring political developments in what would normally be considered safe, blue states.

First, New Jersey’s U.S. Sen. Bob Menendez is a Democrat who has been deeply weakened by charges of corruption. He was tried in a long, highly-publicized trial that ended in mistrial. The government decided not to prosecute again, but the news reports about the case had already shed light on some of Menendez’s actions, which were pretty indefensible.

Then the Senate Ethics Committee admonished Menendez in April for serious corruption allegations. The result is that on Tuesday, a relatively unknown Democrat – who did not raise enough money to meet the $5,000 threshold for reporting campaign funds –earned 37.84 percent in the Democratic primary as a protest against Menendez.

Bob Hugin, a former pharmaceutical executive, is the Republican nominee and will run a well-funded campaign. At a minimum, this puts New Jersey in play for Republicans and will draw millions of Democratic dollars away from other races to defend Menendez. At a maximum, the Democrats will lose the seat. If they lose New Jersey, there is no possibility they can win control of the Senate.

Second, the California primary put Republican John Cox in the general election for governor running against Democratic Lt. Gov. (and former mayor of San Francisco) Gavin Newsom.

The difference in statewide Republican turnout with a GOP candidate on the ballot for governor has been estimated at 23 percent. This turnout will make the governor’s race competitive and could be the difference between winning and losing a number of House seats.

In addition to the disaster of a massive gasoline tax increase and California’s sanctuary policies that protect MS-13 gang members, Newsom’s promise to raise both income and property taxes and his proposal to have government take over all health care combine to make California Democrats more vulnerable than they have been in a quarter century.

Third, Minnesota Democrats went crazy last Saturday, and their state convention was taken over by the hard left (yes, there are Minnesota activists to the left of the already liberal state’s Democratic Party). The result was that the repudiated Attorney General decided to run for governor in the primary. That created a vacuum that ultra-left-wing Rep. Keith Ellison decided he would try to fill.

This combination of personality-driven bitterness and ideological extremism has suddenly made Minnesota Democrats vulnerable. Long-time Minnesota analyst Barry Casselman has written shrewdly that former Republican Gov. Tim Pawlenty is now likely to be the next governor and that two Democratic House seats are now likely to go Republican (making the possibility of a Democratic House this fall more unlikely).

Casselman has also written that if the chaos continues and the Democratic Party becomes both more radical and more splintered, even U.S. Sen. Tina Smith – who was appointed to replace Al Franken – could suddenly be in trouble.

All of this chaos will help Republicans and drain even more Democratic resources into a state they thought would be easy to keep.

The fourth building block that strengthens the case for a red wave in November is the growing and undeniable strength of the economy.

As I explain in my new book, “Trump’s America,” which was released this week, the real achievements of the Trump administration have been masked by the hostility and bitterness of the elite media that insist on focusing on trivial matters and ignoring big stories.

However, after the most recent jobs numbers were released last Friday, even the liberal New York Times was compelled to publish an article with the headline, “We Ran Out of Words to Describe How Good the Jobs Numbers Are.”

When we have the lowest black unemployment on record in America, something big is happening.

When there are more job openings than job seekers in America, something big is happening.

When the Federal Reserve is estimating second quarter American economic growth at well over 4 percent (a Reagan era number and more than twice the growth rate of the economy under President Obama) something big is happening.

Americans are beginning to conclude that their lives are getting better, and that President Trump and Republican leadership are a part of that phenomenon.

The result has been a collapse of the Democratic advantage in the generic ballot from a double-digit lead in December to some polls now showing Republicans on top. This is an enormous shift.

I will keep reporting on election patterns as they unfold, but as of now, I feel pretty good about my assertion that we are more likely to see a red wave than a blue wave on Election Day Nov. 6.

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2018 - US Midterm Elections

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