Joined: 02 Mar 2009
Posts: 5798 votes: 3
Posted: Tue Mar 05, 2013 9:03 am Post subject: poll shows redford's PCs losing ground to wildrose inalberta
( the alberta pc's seem to poll alot worse when there in government vs when there is an election , another interesting observation is there was no mention of alberta liberals at all in this poll they seem to have disappeared )
Poll shows Redford's PCs sliding south
9:59 pm, March 4th, 2013
DAMIEN WOOD | QMI AGENCY
CALGARY -- A provincial election tomorrow might tell a different tale than an election a year ago, if a recent poll is to be believed.
Numbers released Monday by pollster ThinkHQ show Premier Alison Redford's approval rating has tanked 25 points since August, leaving her with a 33% approval rating.
Her government's approval sits at 29%.
Poll numbers also show 38% of 1,214 Albertans surveyed Feb. 12-16 would support the Wildrose party, compared to 26% who would still back the Tories.
The numbers show an about-face from the results of the 2012 election, when the Wildrose led opinion polls going in, but after all the ballots were tallied, the Tories won with 44% of the popular vote and 61 seats versus the Wildrose's 34.3% and 17 seats.
Marc Henry, ThinkHQ president, called this erosion of support a subtle one -- gradual when tracked over the year Redford has reined thus far, starting at the left end of the spectrum with what he called "temporary Tories."
"They have a really tough time in session -- when they go into session their poll numbers start dipping," he said.
The numbers are also far from an accurate picture of how next provincial election -- three years from now -- will pan out, however.
Henry said polls are interesting to look at but don't really mean a lot.
"What happens between elections is parking your vote with someone else -- it's a risk-free way of registering dissent," he said.
"It basically says (the Tories) need to change trajectory."
The 38-26% divide is an average of Alberta as a whole.
Larger gaps between the two parties' approvals exist in rural areas, where ThinkHQ's poll show the Wildrose at 61% and the Tories at 24%.
Calgary shows 36-27% in favour of the Wildrose, Edmonton 27-24% in favour of the Wildrose and smaller urban areas 38-27% in favour of the Wildrose.
Edmonton also shows the NDP sitting between the Wildrose and Tories -- all other areas showed anything not conservative sitting significantly lower.
The margin for error in the poll numbers is 2.8% in either direction.
You cannot post new topics in this forum You cannot reply to topics in this forum You cannot edit your posts in this forum You cannot delete your posts in this forum You cannot vote in polls in this forum You cannot attach files in this forum You cannot download files in this forum
poll shows redford's PCs losing ground to wildrose inalberta