Posted: Mon Mar 28, 2011 3:13 pm Post subject: The End of Japan?
This is something we ought to look at seriously.
It is looking like we have multiple meltdowns at the Fukushima reactor installation.
The information is a close secret in the hands of the Japanese government, not a group known for their garrulous openness. They are minimizing the incident, understandably. We ought to look at this part of the story as instructive. Would the media be any different here, in such an emergency? How do we know?
I have tried to piece together the exposure needed to have health effects. The radiation is cumulative. 1 sievert is where people get nausea, and feel awful. These people recover, but need treatment.
But you can be getting a trickle of bearable radiation for awhile, without feeling sick. It's usually measured in mSv, ie 1/1000th of a sievert. So, if you're getting 40 mSv an hour, around the clock, you're getting a full seivert every day. They also have ÁSv, micro sieverts. These are 1/1000th of a mSv.
When you get to 5 sieverts total, there are going to be serious effects, usually involving spleen and lymph nodes, but also baby mutations, and the like.
That said, this gentleman is very conscientious and some understanding of the science involved, and this is the meaning he sees in the omens ...
It's supposedly going to take at least a hundred years before the radiation levels subside enough before the fuel rods can even be removed. As it is the teams being sent in to plug a leak in the basement are not even able to approach the leak to plug due to dangerously high levels of radiation. Even the suggestion that a Chernobyl-type military operation where several thousand members of the military should begin the encasing of the reactor by having each member applying an arm-load/bucket load worth of concrete don't really sound feasible.
Meanwhile more of it ends up in the oceans, the food, the ground, the etc.
Sendai wasn't a major economic centre in Japan anyways. Tokyo is still going strong and the south of the country was unaffected by the recent disasters. People have made many false predictions in past about Japan. If there is a country that has the chance to bounce back from a major disaster like this, it is Japan.
Some foreign affairs for a change. Almost every night I listen to John Batchelor of 770 AM American Talk Radio station and often he has Gordon Chang on as a guest to talk about Japan. I tend to agree with potan, Japan will continue, regardless of the horrible accident.
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