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RCO





Joined: 02 Mar 2009
Posts: 6287
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Location: Ontario

PostPosted: Thu Feb 25, 2010 8:40 am    Post subject: Iggy loses another Ontario candidate ( Haliburton Kawartha ) Reply with quote

Federal Liberal candidate for Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock calls it quits
Posted By REG WATSON/Examiner Night Editor
Posted 1 day ago


BOBCAYGEON Veteran City of Kawartha Lakes Councillor Pat Warren announced Tuesday she is stepping down as the federal Liberal candidate for the Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock riding and will instead seek another term as the councillor for Ward 13.

She said she plans to file papers soon to stand for re-election in the Oct. 25 municipal election.


The riding is currently held by Conservative MP Barry Devolin but Liberal MPP Rick Johnson's victory last year in the byelection for the riding's provincial seat had led to hopes the federal Liberals could recapture the seat which had been held by Liberal John O'Reilly from 1993 to 2004


http://www.thepeterboroughexam.....?e=2462844


( apparently there were federal liberals delusional enough to think they actually had a chance here just cause john tory lost here in that crazy by-election. anyways there candidate has now quit and will run again in the municipal elections instead )
cosmostein





Joined: 04 Oct 2006
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PostPosted: Thu Feb 25, 2010 2:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think this is more a commentary on fact that an election is unlikely.

The Liberals have had what could be argued as their best momentum as a party since Iggy became leader of the party, and aside from the oddball poll here and there they were largely unable to escape the margin of error or even hold a lead within the margin of error.

Now the Conservative's according to the always brutal for the Tories EKOS have escaped the margin of error and are holding a lead.

The BQ is in no rush to test the Liberals new strength in Quebec, and Jack is in no rush to lose his only Alberta seat, and half the seats he has in Ontario based on recent polling.

Pat Warren's choice to run again in October leads me to believe that her camp feels that we will see the next round of municipal Ontario elections before another federal one.
RCO





Joined: 02 Mar 2009
Posts: 6287
Reputation: 229.2
votes: 3
Location: Ontario

PostPosted: Thu Feb 25, 2010 7:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

cosmostein wrote:
I think this is more a commentary on fact that an election is unlikely.

The Liberals have had what could be argued as their best momentum as a party since Iggy became leader of the party, and aside from the oddball poll here and there they were largely unable to escape the margin of error or even hold a lead within the margin of error.

Now the Conservative's according to the always brutal for the Tories EKOS have escaped the margin of error and are holding a lead.

The BQ is in no rush to test the Liberals new strength in Quebec, and Jack is in no rush to lose his only Alberta seat, and half the seats he has in Ontario based on recent polling.

Pat Warren's choice to run again in October leads me to believe that her camp feels that we will see the next round of municipal Ontario elections before another federal one.


i think there is more in play here than her thinking there isn't going to be an election rate away . also think some of these liberal candidates are realised how slim there chances are in some of these ridings as 2 other candidates have quit in the fairly safe cpc ridings of niagara west glanbrook and newmarket aurora . ( both are held by the ont pc at provincial level as well ) . these liberal candidates come in with big talk and such but then realise the race is much tougher than they expected and that the liberals aren't as competitive in these ridings as they used to be .

the reality is even though pat warren a municipal counciilor was a strong choice for the liberals here she had very little chance against Barry Devolin who got over 50% of the vote last time i believe . sure john tory lost here but that means little during a federal vote when there is a strong incumbent mp in the riding .
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Iggy loses another Ontario candidate ( Haliburton Kawartha )

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