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Posted: Wed Dec 02, 2009 9:30 am Post subject: NB Power controversy helps New Brunswick PCs: poll
NB Power controversy helps PCs: poll
Last Updated: Wednesday, December 2, 2009 | 6:20 AM AT
The NB Power sale controversy has given the Progressive Conservatives a jolt in public support, lifting them past the governing Liberals, a new poll suggests.
The Progressive Conservatives saw their popular support jump to 46 per cent in November — up from 35 per cent in August — in the latest quarterly poll by Corporate Research Associates.
New Brunswick party support
PCs 35% 46%
Liberals 41% 36%
NDP 22% 14%
Green Party 3% 4%
Undecided 43% 42%
Sample: 416, Margin of error: 4.8%
Premier Shawn Graham's Liberals saw their support erode to 36 per cent from 41 per cent during the same period, the poll indicates.
After its popularity grew in August, the New Democratic Party saw its voter intention numbers sag in November. The NDP's support dropped to 14 per cent from 22 per cent, the poll suggests.
Meanwhile, the number of undecided voters is 42 per cent, according to the poll.
The polling firm sampled 416 New Brunswickers from Nov. 9 to Nov. 30. The margin of error for the entire poll is 4.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The margin of error for the decided voting numbers would be higher.
Despite the margin of error, PC MLA Paul Robichaud said the polling numbers reflect what they are hearing from people in their constituencies.
"The Liberals are going down and we are going up and this is the feeling that we are getting from our people and on the street," Robichaud said.
The Halifax-based polling company also found a significant softening in the support for the Graham government's performance.
The Graham government announced its contentious plan to sell NB Power to Hydro-Québec two weeks before the polling company began to survey New Brunswickers.
Respondents mostly satisfied with the government dropped to 39 per cent from 48 per cent. Meanwhile, those who were mostly dissatisfied grew to 31 per cent from 24 per cent, and those who considered themselves completely dissatisfied rose to 20 per cent from 13 per cent.
Much like his party and government's support, Graham's personal popularity also took a hit.
Graham was considered the preferred choice for premier by 29 per cent of those polled, compared with 35 per cent in August.
Progressive Conservative Leader David Alward was also selected by 29 per cent of those polled, up from 21 per cent in August.
The New Brunswick pc`s have shockingly taken the lead in this new poll over the liberals , laregely and likely only cause of the quebec power deal . although margin of error and undecided are very high .
The NB Liberals are more conservative than the NB Tories, anyway. Shawn Graham's government brought NB's taxes down to the second lowest in the country. They responded to the recession by cutting the civil service and lowering taxes. They might even have the most conservative government in the country at the moment.
I'm not sure they NEED a Mike Harris.
Here in NS however, part of me is hoping that Dexter screws up as much as Rae did in Ontario, making a Mike Harris type (whether nominally Liberal or Conservative) a necessity. Well, I think it was a necessity after Rodney MacDonald actually...
Neither the Liberals nor Tories are very ideological in New Brunswick. Irving really runs the place, as the NB Power deal demonstrates in spades. The parties just change sides in the legislature every few years to put on a facade of democracy.
The NB Power deal is a huge mistake, not just for the Liberals but for the entire province. Selling the entire provincial power grid to Hydro Quebec so industry can get a 30% rate cut is absolutely obscene; the Tories and the people of the province need to do everything in their power to stop it.
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NB Power controversy helps New Brunswick PCs: poll