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Ardvark





Joined: 03 Sep 2006
Posts: 150
Reputation: 54.4
Location: Edmonton, Alberta

PostPosted: Mon Sep 18, 2006 2:33 am    Post subject: On the record Reply with quote

After watching the debate today I will come out on the record with my prediction for the LPC leadership.


Bob Rae will be chosen as the next LPC leader; followed shortly thereafter with Jack Layton having a series of panic attacks.



Al.
kwlafayette





Joined: 03 Sep 2006
Posts: 6155
Reputation: 156.2Reputation: 156.2
votes: 28
Location: Saskatoon Saskatchewan

PostPosted: Mon Sep 18, 2006 11:42 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I have been thinking it was Rae for months. He has the best connections to Power corp and Canada's other political elites.
Mac





Joined: 02 Sep 2006
Posts: 5500
Reputation: 104
votes: 35
Location: John Baird's riding...

PostPosted: Mon Sep 18, 2006 12:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hedy says she's staying in until the bitter end. Run, Hedy, run!! :lol:

-Mac
Ardvark





Joined: 03 Sep 2006
Posts: 150
Reputation: 54.4
Location: Edmonton, Alberta

PostPosted: Tue Sep 19, 2006 10:18 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Come on folks, get on the record with your predictions.



Al
McGuire





Joined: 05 Sep 2006
Posts: 369
Reputation: 20.2Reputation: 20.2
Location: Soviet Pictouwestistan

PostPosted: Tue Sep 19, 2006 5:21 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think it'll be Rae, which will be quickly followed by a Tory majority if the CPC plays its cards right.
kwlafayette





Joined: 03 Sep 2006
Posts: 6155
Reputation: 156.2Reputation: 156.2
votes: 28
Location: Saskatoon Saskatchewan

PostPosted: Tue Sep 19, 2006 6:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nothing is for certain. Rae has spent the last decade or two repairing his reputation and doing various good works. According to that recent Gandalf poll, Rae actually had more confirmed Ontario support than any other leadership candidate.

You forget the short memory of the Canadian electorate.
Cool Blue





Joined: 21 Sep 2006
Posts: 3130
Reputation: 114.9
votes: 10
Location: Ontario

PostPosted: Fri Sep 22, 2006 7:09 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
According to that recent Gandalf poll, Rae actually had more confirmed Ontario support than any other leadership candidate.


That poll was on his support among LIBERAL MEMBERS, not the general voting public.

My prediction:

Post-First round: Anti-Iggy movement forms

Post-Second Round: Anti-Rae movement forms

Third round: Dion wins.
Craig
Site Admin




Joined: 29 Aug 2006
Posts: 4415
Reputation: 47.8Reputation: 47.8Reputation: 47.8Reputation: 47.8Reputation: 47.8
votes: 36

PostPosted: Fri Sep 22, 2006 7:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Iggy is done. This race is between Dion and Rae. Rae will win and the NDP will be die.
Mac





Joined: 02 Sep 2006
Posts: 5500
Reputation: 104
votes: 35
Location: John Baird's riding...

PostPosted: Fri Sep 22, 2006 7:49 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'm with you, Craig... Rae on the second ballot. I don't see the NDP dying off (more's the pity) but I suspect they'll "evolve" either by merger with the Greenies or make like a phoenix and reinvent themselves as harder-line left under a new name like Social Democratic Party or Progressive Democratic Party.

-Mac
Cool Blue





Joined: 21 Sep 2006
Posts: 3130
Reputation: 114.9
votes: 10
Location: Ontario

PostPosted: Fri Sep 22, 2006 7:58 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I really don't think Rae will harm the NDP.

Dippers and union activists HATE Rae so I don't see too many leftie votes going to him. Remember, Rae has really written some nasty stuff about the NDP, has become supposedly pro-capitalist, and has even recommended that the market set tuition fees in a report he gave to the Ontario Liberal government.

Plus, the small-C voters will totally be repelled by him due to his past.

In short, the left hates him, and the right hates him. The only thing he has is the "radical centre" ie: Liberals.

I think under Rae the Libs would be decimated. The West won't vote for him. Ontario hates him. He might do okay in Quebec, and maybe hold on to what they have in the atlantic.

Daryll Bricker from Angus Reid said that he could see a "Kim Campbell style defeat" for the Libs under him.

Dion or Kennedy would be the best for the Libs if they want to steal NDP votes.
jnarvey





Joined: 04 Sep 2006
Posts: 47
Reputation: 17.2Reputation: 17.2
Location: Vancouver

PostPosted: Sat Sep 23, 2006 1:53 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bob Rae will win.

The Liberals will self-destruct.

Stephen Harper will win the Conservatives a slim majority government.

Jack Layton will shave his moustache and the rest of his body hair in a spasm of self-hate.

These are my predictions. I realize some of them went beyond the scope of the thread, but they're all connected.
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