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Bugs





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PostPosted: Fri Apr 27, 2018 7:38 pm    Post subject: Horwath top challenge to Tory Leader Ford Reply with quote

Quote:
NDP’s Horwath top challenger to Tory leader Ford in Ontario election: poll
By The Canadian Press — Apr 27 2018

A new poll suggests the outcome of Ontario's election will come down to which leader, rather than which party, can win voters' confidence — with Andrea Horwath the top challenger to Doug Ford.

An online poll conducted this month by the research firm Leger shows a quarter of participants believe the Progressive Conservative leader would make the best premier, while 20 per cent think it's the NDP leader and 12 per cent chose the Liberal leader and current premier, Kathleen Wynne.

At the same time, when asked whether Ford and Horwath have what it takes to lead the province, more people said Horwath did — 35 per cent to Ford's 30.

And Horwath rated higher than both her rivals on characteristics such as competence, trustworthiness, and alignment with the core values of Ontario's population.

When it comes to the parties, however, the poll shows the Tories still in the lead with support from 43 per cent of participants.

The New Democrats and the Liberals are tied at 26 per cent.

"At this point, I think it's pretty much down to the leaders themselves, and certainly Mr. Ford in particular," said Christian Bourque, Leger's executive vice-president.

While a certain part of the population will vote Tory regardless, "all of these people that cannot say that yes, Mr. Ford has what it takes to be premier of Ontario, are the ones who may still switch," he said.

"So it's very much now about the leader and how statesman-like he will look over the course of the next few weeks and if he looks fit for the job. It think now it becomes a referendum on Doug Ford more than an election or not of the Conservatives."

The results suggest a shift in the left as well, he said.

When asked whether a Ford, Wynne or Horwath government would be disastrous for the province, only a third of those polled said yes for the NDP leader, compared with 44 per cent for Ford and 59 per cent for Wynne.

"The majority of people feel that four more years of Wynne Liberals would be a disaster but nobody seems to mind an NDP government," Bourque said.

"At first people were saying when this all started that 'oh my god, the NDP could split the vote,' but right now maybe it's the Liberals that might split the left-of-centre vote," he said.

More than 1,000 Ontario residents eligible to vote in the election participated in the survey, which was conducted from last Friday to Monday.

The polling industry's professional body, the Marketing Research and Intelligence Association, says online surveys cannot be assigned a margin of error as they are not a random sample and therefore are not necessarily representative of the whole population.

Ontario voters go to the polls June 7.

The Canadian Press https://www.nationalnewswatch.com/2018/04/27/ndps-horwath-top-challenger-to-tory-leader-ford-in-ontario-election-poll/#.WuOx5YjwbIV


It seems to me -- given the leftish tilt of the Ontario Liberals -- it doesn't make sense that all of the disenchanted people would go to Ford. I have been looking for a sign that the NDP is benefitting from the recent jockeying. They do seem to up a bit, but I would have expected more. If the Liberals are going to lose half of their support, you'd think enough would go the NDP that they take quite a few seats away from the Liberals.

I am not predicting this, but it's my hope that the NDP forms the official opposition, at least this time. Howard Hampton did a lot of good work about Ontario Hydro. If we had listened, we might all have been better off. But that was an NDP that was thinking of hydro workers and making the idea of publicly owned utilities work to benefit people.

Now they think their prime directive is to save the world. (They used to tell a joke about a flea with sexual designs on an elephant ... it comes to mind.)

There is a part of the NDP that adds a responsible voice that should be listened to. Not the 'identity group stuff' -- more the classic Saskatchewan-style 'socialism'. People like Romano ... why, oh why, have these figures vanished from the landscape?

Never mind, Horwath is no fool, and she's probably pretty good with her own money, at least. Perhaps a guy like Doug Ford needs someone sensible to keep an eye on him.

Again, justifying myself ... consider what the Liberals are going to look like after this election. What kind of opposition will they be? A few of them, perhaps, but they will be distracted with flushing the foul stench out of the stables, a leadership race, fund-raising ... and probably looking at two or three terms in opposition because of persistence of the odour, what you might call eau de Kathleen ...
RCO





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PostPosted: Sun Apr 29, 2018 9:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

( whats interesting is the liberals and ndp are not able to fundraise much , one has to wonder how the liberals can afford all the Doug Ford smear ads when they only raised 488,000 so far this year , far short of whats needed to run a full campaign )


Ontario PCs are out-fundraising the Liberals, NDP and Greens combined


Money is flowing into Progressive Conservative coffers despite distraction of leadership race


Mike Crawley · CBC News · Posted: Apr 29, 2018 7:00 AM ET | Last Updated: 2 hours ago



Ontario PC leader Doug Ford talks to media after a caucus meeting at Queen's Park in Toronto in March. (Chris Donovan/Canadian Press)


Doug Ford and his Progressive Conservative Party are well ahead of their rivals in raising money, with Ontario's crucial election campaign period about to begin.

Data from Elections Ontario compiled by CBC News show the Ontario PCs are reporting $945,970 in donations so far this year, which is more than the Liberal Party, the New Democratic Party and the Green Party combined.


This continues the pattern that has seen the PCs fundraise at double the rate of Kathleen Wynne and her Liberals since 2016, giving Ford's party the biggest war chest heading into the campaign.

The fundraising totals reported to Elections Ontario by the other parties so far in 2018 are:
•Liberal $488,542
•NDP $317,305
•Green $128,376

In addition to the nearly $950,000 that has come into the PC Party for the campaign, donors gave nearly $1.9 million to the four contestants who vied for the party leadership.


The numbers for all the parties are vastly lower than what they were before 2017, when the Wynne government banned corporate and union donations and sharply reduced the maximum that individual donors could donate.

To make up for the sharp drop in donations, the four biggest parties are receiving quarterly allowances of public funding, proportional to their share of the vote in the last election. Last year, those subsidies totalled:
•Liberals: $5,055,097
•PCs: $4,091,895
•NDP: $3,104,757
•Green: $630,637


For the Liberals, Andrea Horwath's NDP and Mike Schreiner's Green Party, the public funding more than made up for the decrease in their fundraising from 2016.

Ford has said he would scrap the public allowances to the parties if the PC Party forms the government.


The PCs raised nearly $13 million in 2016, the final year that corporate and union donations were allowed in Ontario. That more than wiped out the debt the party carried over from its 2014 election loss.

The new rules limit donors to giving a maximum of $1,222 annually to any party and the same amount to any constituency association. In campaign years, donors can also make an additional contribution of up to $1,222 to a candidate during the election period.

The parties will be limited to spending about $8 million each on the campaign once it officially starts on May 9. The precise spending limit is yet to be calculated by Elections Ontario, as it is based on the number of voters eligible to cast ballots in the June 7 vote.


http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/.....98?cmp=rss
RCO





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PostPosted: Sun Apr 29, 2018 10:27 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

( whats interesting is how bizarre some of the ndp target ridings are this election , Oxford seriously ? it has to be the bluest southwestern Ontario riding of them all . instead of going after vulnerable liberal ridings they trying to go after seats the pc's win all the time. its highly doubtful the ndp would actually have any chance there this election . although with liberals so weak a second place finish is very likely )



King and the NDP will look to take over Oxford riding for the first time since 1995


By Chris Funston, Woodstock Sentinel-Review

Friday, April 27, 2018 2:15:50 EDT PM

Tara King will be the NDP candidate for Oxford in the upcoming provincial election. (CHRIS FUNSTON/SENTINEL-REVIEW)


The NDP has selected its candidate for Oxford.

Tara King won the nomination on April 26 will look to become Oxford's MPP in the June 7 provincial election.

King is a teacher living in Norwich with her husband and two children. She's passionate about family and passionate about the NDP's plan to make Ontario a better place to live by improving health care, cutting hydro bills and curbing student-loan debt.

“I am committed to improving our stressed health-care system. We must protect the most vulnerable from having to choose. Choose whether they pay their rent or buy life-saving drugs, or choosing between a career you want or choosing one that gives you medical coverage,” said King.

The NDP platform promises to deliver better health care by providing drug and dental coverage for all Ontarians, ending hallway medicine and fixing seniors care.

The plan also includes cutting hydro bills by 30 per cent and bringing Hydro One back into public hands.

“Who wouldn’t get behind free dental care, free health care. It's something all Ontarians need. We're in a dire situation. I think everyone can get behind the platform, there's something for everyone,” she explained.

One issue at the forefront, and one directly affecting King, is the proposed dump in Oxford County. She, as does the rest of the NDP, support incumbent Ernie Hardeman's proposed private member’s bill that would give municipalities the right to choose whether or not they want a landfill in their community.

“I come from a municipality where we live off a well system. I know how important it is to not have all these toxins leaching into your water,” she said. “I will not allow the largest landfill in Ontario to be built in my community.”

The NDP were edged out by Hardeman and the Progressive Conservatives in the 2014 election. Hardeman won with 18,949 votes while NDP candidate Bryan Smith came in second with 10,560.

The PC's have been in control of the riding since 1995. But King and the NDP think that now is a better time than ever to make a change.

“I'm truly passionate about my community. I live here in Oxford, what happens in this community, in this county, in this riding directly affects me. I have a powerful voice. I can speak on behalf of the residents and the rest of the riding and give them a voice at Queen's Park to speak very well on their behalf,” said King.

Oshawa MPP Jennifer French spoke during the nomination meeting, where she compared her riding to Oxford. She recalled when she came out of nowhere in 2014 to oust the Progressive Conservatives from the riding after 19 years of control. She explained that, much like the Oshawa community, Oxford is ready for change as well.

“There is not just the opportunity for change ... but an appetite for change for the better,” said French.

http://www.woodstocksentinelre.....since-1995
RCO





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PostPosted: Mon Apr 30, 2018 7:30 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

( the ndp has officially launched its campaign with claims it will be the biggest in its history even though it doesn't have a lot of money and many nominations remain unfilled )

Ontario NDP launches 'biggest' campaign in its history


New Democrats officially kicked off their campaign in Hamilton on Sunday


Laura Clementson · CBC News · Posted: Apr 29, 2018 11:32 AM ET | Last Updated: April 29


NDP Leader Andrea Horwath spoke with reporters Sunday after kicking off what she and her party call the 'the biggest campaign' in its history. (Laura Clementson/CBC)


Ontario's New Democrats launched what the party is calling "the biggest campaign" in its history on Sunday in Hamilton.

The rally at Liuna Station in Hamilton came a little more than a week before the official provincial campaign period starts on May 9.

"It's our biggest campaign because we have the resources that we've not had before in terms of our ability to mount the kind of momentum that you're seeing in the room today," NDP Leader Andrea Horwath told reporters.

The NDP also nominated Horwath, its leader, as the candidate for the riding of Hamilton Centre.

"I'm honoured to accept your nomination as NDP candidate," Horwath told the crowd.

June's vote marks the third election in which Horwath has led the NDP.

"We are running to win," said the leader. "What Ontario doesn't need is Doug Ford, and what Ontario doesn't want anymore is Kathleen Wynne, that's why we're offering change for the better."

The event featured community leaders, other legislators, and Tom Wilson of Blackie and the Rodeo Kings.

NDP supporter Ogho Ikhalo came from Toronto for the launch.


"I came because I believe it's time for change in this province. It's been 15 years of more of the same, and it's time to change that," said Ikhalo.

Reiterating platform

Last week, the NDP released its platform, which includes increased spending on healthcare and childcare, promising free child care for families earning less than $40,000 and a boost to hospital budgets if elected.

She also reminded prospective voters of her promise to bring Hydro One back into public hands. The party said, if elected, it would reduce hydro bills by 30 per cent.

"I will never settle for a system that's hurting so many families," said Horwath.


Let's knock on more doors than ever before.

- NDP Leader Andrea Horwath

Horwath reiterated those promises at Sunday's launch, once again presenting the NDP as an alternative to the Liberals and the Progressive Conservatives.

"I think it's pretty clear that people are desperate for a change in Ontario, and they've made it very obvious that Kathleen Wynne and the Liberals are not wanted at the helm of government anymore," Horwath told reporters.

But the party has projected five consecutive deficits to pay for its plan, with a $3.3 billion shortfall in 2018-2019 falling to $1.9 billion by 2022-2023.

NDP Leader Andrea Horwath was greeted by a large crowd Sunday in Hamilton to launch what the party is call 'the biggest campaign' in its history. (Laura Clementson/CBC)

Currently, the NDP has 18 MPPs at Queen's Park, a number that Horwath has said she is hoping to increase in the next provincial election.

"Let's knock on more doors than ever before," said Horwath. "We will elect a new premier on June 7."

Standing out

Ontario NDP chief of staff, Michael Balagus, is confident Ontario will have a new premier.

He told reporters Sunday that he thinks it's pretty safe to say, "that this is a change election. There's going to be a new premier elected."


'Every Ontarian is going to have a chance to meet Andrea Horwath.'

- Ontario NDP chief of staff Michael Balagus

Balagus said it's the biggest campaign the party has ever run in the province because it's about forming a government, not an opposition.

The party plans to do this using a variety of platforms to give voters a chance to get to know Horwath.

"Every Ontarian is going to have a chance to meet Andrea Horwath before this election is over, and we've never offered that in a campaign before. We've never had the money to do that before," said Balagus.

Balagus said people are responding with donations and volunteering their time, which is aiding the large campaign effort.


Peter Graefe is an associate professor in McMaster University's department of political science. He says that NDP Leader Andrea Horwath isn't that well known by Ontarians, which will be a challenge for her in this campaign. (Laura Clementson/CBC)

Peter Graefe, an associate professor of political science at McMaster University, says Horwath isn't widely known by voters, which could be both a blessing and a curse for the leader.

"On the one hand, not being known gives her a chance to reintroduce herself to Ontarians and maybe a framing that's useful against Doug Ford, but on the other hand, people may ask, 'Well how come we haven't really thought about Andrea Horwath before this campaign?" said Graefe. "The fact that she's been around and not been known may be also a sign that people are not that willing to take her into consideration."


Graefe says coming out of the launch what people might see is an attempt to position the NDP as the only alternative to the Conservatives.

"Given the difficulty that Kathleen Wynne has had so far in getting traction, she has a shot at least of standing out and becoming if you like, one of the two lead candidates in this race."


http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/.....-1.4640600
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PostPosted: Mon Apr 30, 2018 9:34 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

For all the benefits the PCs have enjoyed because of the Premiers unpopularity there is no reason to assume the NDP shouldn't benefit as well.
RCO





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PostPosted: Mon Apr 30, 2018 12:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

cosmostein wrote:
For all the benefits the PCs have enjoyed because of the Premiers unpopularity there is no reason to assume the NDP shouldn't benefit as well.



the ndp have benefited somewhat but not as much as might of potentially been possible , think wynne's effort to steal some of the left wing vote has been successful , as she's targeted issues like the minimum wage and child care


whatever reason the ndp haven't been as aggressive on some of the issues plaguing the government , heard no response as to if the ndp would also fire the liberal campaign chair who got all the government contracts without having to bid for them


its on issues like this where the ndp is missing the potential to attract anti government voters , simply they seem too similar to the liberals and unwilling to actually try and change anything at queens park
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PostPosted: Tue May 01, 2018 12:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think right now the NDP is just kicking back;
They are rising in the polls without doing anything.

When the writ drops I would imagine the NDP approach will be simple;

You can vote for the socialist death bed repentance of Kathleen Wynne and hope she is being genuine.

You can vote for Doug Ford

Or you can vote for the Socialists you can trust to be Socialists.

Horwath's argument should be pretty simple;
Kathleen Wynne may very not be leader of the OLP come July 1st and if she replaced by someone like Sandra Pupatello you will end up with a radically different looking OLP.

The NDP is the only party that can be trusted to be left of center always.
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PostPosted: Tue May 01, 2018 2:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

As I said before, if the Liberals get thrashed back to third party status, it will be a great deterrent for future Dalton McGuintys and Kathleen Wynnes. It should make wonton debt financing a 'third rail' of politics.

If the expected outcome -- Ford with a majority, and Horwath leader of the opposition -- it will be good. She will defend civil servants, etc. and union solutions to everything, but it's a zillion times better than the resources of government being dedicated to accommodating the sexual identities of the terminally weird.

queenmandy might ask: Who is going to protect the dignity of those people? I pause. When did this happen? (I haven't even got my new pronouns yet -- I am assuming they'll come in the mail, maybe as a bulletin along with the hydro bill.)

So the government is now protecting 'dignity'? Wow!

That's more like it ... this has a lot of possibilities. Certainly, nobody has been protecting MY dignity until now. (And how much dignity does your average paederast get anyway?)

I let so many indignities go, just told myself "Sticks and stones may break my bones but words will never hurt me.' Give me some time and I can come up with a list of indignities I shrugged off, but now might be worth some money, no? TC alone would probably finance a boat tour of the South China Sea, from Egypt to China ... the indgnities he put me through, as he dished up a daily insult-fest.

As for what I ha ve syled "queenmandy's question". I can only say that. believe it or not, there once was a time when people earned respect rather than demanded it, and one's sexual preferance was nobody's business.
RCO





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PostPosted: Thu May 03, 2018 7:27 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

( a look at some of the races in Toronto , whats interesting is not as many liberal / ndp battles made the list as other years , more liberal / pc races . the riding of beaches east York a likely liberal / ndp battle this year didn't even make the top 10 )


Ontario Election 2018: 10 ridings to watch in Toronto

Liberal seats in Etobicoke and Scarborough are up for grabs for the PCs, but Doug Ford's popularity will be put to the test among ethnic voters who stand to gain most from Liberal policies like rent control and minimum wage


by Enzo DiMatteo
May 3, 2018
7:38 AM

Expand

Michael_Coteau.jpg

Michael Coteau

1. Don Valley East

Who’s running

Michael Coteau (Liberal), Denzil Minnan-Wong (PC), Khalid Ahmed (NDP), Justin Robinson (Libertarian), Mark Wong (Green)

The vote last time (2014)

Liberal – 56 per cent, Conservative – 27 per cent, NDP – 13 per cent, Green – 4 per cent


Toronto city councillor Denzil Minnan-Wong has been jonesing to make the leap to provincial politics since forever. And he looked good to have some traction when he was recruited by the now (not so dearly) departed PC leader Patrick Brown to run here. With the more right-wing Doug Ford as leader, the dynamic changes for the worse for Minnan-Wong in a riding that’s solidly ethnic and Liberal red for two decades, and has been held since 2011 by locally popular incumbent Michael Coteau, who is not only one of Kathleen Wynne’s most trusted cabinet ministers, but a respected conduit to the Black community.

2. Don Valley West

Who’s running

Kathleen Wynne (Liberal), Jon Kieran (PC), Morgan Bailey (Green), John -Kittredge (Libertarian)

The vote last time (2014)

Liberal – 57 per cent, PC – 31 per cent, NDP – 8 per cent, Green – 3 per cent.


If you believe conservative polling firm Forum Research, Liberal leader Kathleen Wynne is so unpopular that she’s in line to lose in her own backyard, where there was some backlash over the Liberals’ sex-ed curriculum among ethnic communities. Difficult to fathom given that she has held the riding since 2003 and won when no one believed she could in 2007 against then PC leader John Tory. It would take a complete collapse of the Liberal vote for Wynne to lose in a riding whose sizable PC base skews red Tory.

3. Etobicoke North

Who’s running

Shafiq Qaadri (Liberal), Doug Ford (PC), Mahamud Amin (NDP), Brianne Lefebvre (Libertarian), Nancy Ghuman (Green)

The vote last time (2014)

Liberal – 45 per cent, NDP – 26 per cent, PC – 23 per cent, Libertarian – 3 per cent, Green – 2 per cent


PC leader Doug Ford was acclaimed to run in the riding he represented as Toronto councillor March 28. Liberal incumbent Shafiq Qaadri, the first person of Pakistani descent to become MPP in Ontario, has held the riding since 2003 and recently declared his candidacy. In a Liberal party statement announcing his nomination April 25, Qaadri focused on his connections to the riding’s immigrant communities. That was no coincidence. The Liberal strategy here will be to put to the test Ford’s popularity among ethnic voters who stand to gain most from Liberal policies like minimum wage, which Ford opposes. Noteworthy: the PCs finished third behind the NDP last time out. Just sayin.’


Expand

Bhutila-Karpouche.jpg

Bhutila Karpoche


4. Parkdale-High Park

Who’s running

Nadia Guerrera (Liberal), Adam Pham (PC), Bhutila Karpoche (NDP), Matthias Nunno (Libertarian), Halyna Zalucky (Green), Matthew Vezina (NOTA)

The vote last time (2014)

NDP – 41 per cent, Liberal – 40 per cent, PC – 13 per cent, Green – 6 per cent


Long-time NDP MPP Cheri Di Novo, who announced last year that she won’t be seeking re-election, narrowly hung on in 2014 against Liberal contender Nancy Leblanc, in what has been a safe seat for the NDP for the last decade. Bhutila Karpoche, who has served as Di Novo’s executive assistant for the last eight years, and has strong ties to the area’s growing Tibetan community, is running this time for the NDP. The Libs are running Ontario English Catholic Teachers’ Union rep Nadia Guerrera.

5. Scarborough Centre

Who’s running

Mazhar Shafiq (Liberal), Christina Mitas (PC), Matthew Dougherty (Libertarian), Chris Mellor (Trillium), Raphael Rosch (Alliance), Sanjin Zeco (Green)

The vote last time (2014)

Liberal – 55 per cent, PC – 22 per cent, NDP – 20 per cent, Green – 3 per cent


Liberal MPP Brad Duguid, who has held the riding since 2003, has long been rumoured to be preparing for a run at the Toronto mayor’s job. That speculation resurfaced when Duguid confirmed a few months ago that he will not be seeking re-election here. Other political observers say his decision not to run was prompted by polls showing the PCs ahead in Toronto, but rumour now is he’s angling for a federal run. Duguid endorsed public school trustee Parthi Kandavel to replace him here. Local city councillor Glenn De Baeremaeker also endorsed Kandavel, but he was defeated by Mazhar Shafiq. The PCs nominated Thenusha Parani back in November but overturned that vote in February over allegations of voting irregularities. Political neophyte Christina Mitas, president of the OISE Graduate Students’ Association, was among a dozen last-minute appointments made by Ford last week to complete the PCs’ roster of candidates.

Expand

MitzieHunter_CivicAction.jpg

Mitzie Hunter


6. Scarborough-Guildwood

Who’s running

Mitzie Hunter (Liberal), Roshan Nallaratnam (PC), Hamid-Reza Dehnad-Tabatabaei (Libertarian), George Garvida (Trillium), Kevin Clarke (People’s Political Party), Linda Rice (Green)

The vote last time (2014)

Liberal – 50 per cent, PC – 28 per cent, NDP – 17 per cent, Green – 3 per cent, Libertarian – 1 per cent


The NDP targeted this riding – ground zero in the long-festering Scarborough subway debate – in 2013 when they ran former city councillor Adam Giambrone in a by-election against eventual winner Mitzie Hunter, who went on to win again in the general election a year later by an even wider margin over her closest PC challenger. Hunter, who replaced junior minister Margarett Best, has since become one of the party’s most influential cabinet ministers, replacing party stalwart Deb Mathews as Minister of Advanced Education and Skills Development earlier this year after a stint as Minister of Education marked by her high-profile handling of the controversy surrounding the firing of Peel school board trustee Nancy Elgie over anti-Black remarks.


Expand

Raymond-Cho.jpg

Raymond Cho


7. Scarborough-North

Who’s running

Raymond Cho (PC), Chin Lee (Liberal), Sean Morgan (Libertarian), Ramyan Thangarajah (Trillium), Dwayne Morgan (NDP)

The vote last time (2016)

(Redistributed riding formerly known as Scarborough-Rouge River) PC – 39 per cent, Liberal – 29 per cent, NDP – 27 per cent, Independent – 2.3, Green – 0.86 per cent


This is a race to watch, with PC incumbent Raymond Cho, who won in a by-election in 2016 after Liberal incumbent Bas Balkissoon abruptly left politics, facing his former Toronto council colleague Chin Lee, who is running for the Liberals. The wild card here could be the NDP, who have run Neethan Shan on three previous occasions without luck, but scored a third of the vote last time. Shan has since been elected to city council in a by-election to replace Cho last February. The NDP are fielding Scarborough Walk of Fame inductee Dwayne Morgan this time.

8. Toronto-St. Paul’s

Who’s running

Jess Spindler (Liberal), Andrew Kirsch (PC), Jill Andrew (NDP), Teresa Pun (Green), Jekiah Dunavant (Libertarian)

The vote last time (2014)

Liberal – 60 per cent, PC – 24 per cent, NDP – 10 per cent, Green – 5 per cent, Libertarian – 0.81 per cent


Outside of London MPP Deb Mathews, former leadership candidate Eric Hoskins is the highest-ranking minister in Wynne’s cabinet not seeking re-election. The nine-year incumbent, Wynne’s former Minister of Health and Long Term Care, has jumped ship to join the federal Liberals in Ottawa as pharmacare czar, making the riding up for grabs, although it would take some doing to wrest from the Libs what has historically been a formidable base of support. The NDP nominated girls and women’s advocate Jill Andrew last week.

9. University-Rosedale

Who’s running

Gillian Smith (PC), Jessica Bell (NDP), Jo-Ann Davis (Liberal), Tim Grant (Green), Ryan Swim (Libertarian), Daryl Christoff (New People’s Choice), Les Zulauf (NOTA)

The vote last time

This riding, created in 2015, is being contested for the first time provincially.


The PCs have a head start in this riding, selecting Gillian Smith, chief marketing officer at the Toronto Region Board of Trade, months ago. The NDP have countered with public transit advocate Jessica Bell. The Liberals, meanwhile, are still trying to figure things out just recently nominating Toronto Catholic District School Board trustee Jo-Ann Davis.

10. York Centre

Who’s running

Ramon Estaris (Liberal), Roman Baber (PC), Andrea Vásquez Jiménez (NDP), Benjamin Kamminga (Libertarian), Cherie Ann Day (NOTA)

The vote last time (2014)

Liberal – 48 per cent, PC – 32 per cent, NDP – 16 per cent, Green – 3 per cent, Freedom – 1.38 per cent

Monte Kwinter, who has held the riding for the Liberals since 1999, is calling it quits, opening the door for the PCs who have nominated lawyer Roman Baber in a riding that provincially has flipped back and forth between Libs and Cons. The Libs are countering with realtor Ramon Estaris, whose looking to tap into the riding’s growing Filipino base and made some hay recently over PC party’s vote against a Liberal MPP Mike Colle’s private member’s bill to declare June Filipino Heritage Month. What makes Baber’s selection particularly noteworthy is that he had to defeat former Harper-era henchman and cabinet minister Joe Oliver to win the PC nomination. No small feat, but Baber is not without political connections of his own. He worked on former PC leader Patrick Brown’s leadership campaign.

With files from Manar Hossain and Rhianna Jackson-Kelso.


https://nowtoronto.com/news/ontario-election-10-ridings-to-watch-in-toronto/
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PostPosted: Thu May 03, 2018 10:59 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The fact that Beaches—East York & Davenport are not on the list
But Etobicoke-North is should tell you all you need to know. Just sayin'
RCO





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PostPosted: Thu May 03, 2018 5:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

cosmostein wrote:
The fact that Beaches—East York & Davenport are not on the list
But Etobicoke-North is should tell you all you need to know. Just sayin'



it is rather stunning that a top 10 list of Toronto races does not include the 2 most obvious liberal / ndp battles in the city other than Parkdale High Park which was mentioned


even though Davenport and Beaches East York were not listed I'd still say there both liberal/ndp races that are too close to call at this point , could go either way depending on who has momentum later in the election
RCO





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PostPosted: Fri May 04, 2018 8:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

( the ndp and pc's are also releasing some campaign ads , )


Tories, New Democrats unveil their first wave of election ads


Doug Ford’s first campaign ads are upbeat homages to his well-attended campaign rallies. Andrea Horwath’s first ad is a comedic look at the Liberals and Tories.



Ontario PC ads feature Leader Doug Ford adressing rallies. The Tory ads were prepared in house and party officials say they want to highlight “a mostly forward-looking message.”



By Robert BenzieQueen's Park Bureau Chief

Thu., May 3, 2018



Doug Ford’s first campaign ads are upbeat homages to his well-attended campaign rallies.

The rookie Progressive Conservative will begin airing election ads Friday night.

Against the backdrop of his optimistic campaign theme song “For The People,” also the title of the Tories’ forthcoming platform, Ford is shown in the two ads pumping up the crowd at a rally in March.

“It’s about turning this province around and getting it back on track,” he thunders to applause.

As footage of Ford meeting a wide cross section of voters appears on screen, a female announcer then says: “Doug Ford is here for the people of Ontario — to clean up the hydro mess, to bring jobs back, to end hallway health care, to put money back in your pocket, and to restore accountability in government.”


The scene then cuts back to the rally and Ford booming: “Relief is on its way.”

A second, similar ad depicts Ford and his wife, Karla, getting ready to take the stage at the March “unity rally” at the Toronto Congress Centre after he won the PC leadership.

“I have one very simple message to Kathleen Wynne: the party with the taxpayers’ money is over,” he says.


The Tory ads were prepared in house and party officials, speaking on background in order to discuss strategy for the June 7 election, say they want to highlight “a mostly forward-looking message.”

“It’s very much a ‘change’ election — people are ready to move on,” said one high-ranking insider, noting the expiry date on the almost 15-year-old Liberal government has passed.

NDP Leader Andrea Horwath’s initial wave of election advertising, prepared by Now Communications, takes a different tone.

The first spot features a man and a woman in a gymnasium on the wrong end of a dodge ball game.

As they get walloped by Liberal red rubber balls, the words “hallway medicine,” “sky-high hydro bills,” “rising costs” appear and the female announcer says: “For so long, Kathleen Wynne’s Liberals have been hitting us from every direction,”

Then a massive Tory blue ball thumps the man and the announcer says “And Doug Ford’s Conservatives will make it even worse,” as the words “privatization, cuts, chaos” flash across the screen.

“But the good news is that you don’t have to play by their rules any more,” she says as an NDP orange ball rolls gently out toward the players.

“On June 7, change the game — vote for someone on your side,” the announcer says, as the female dodge ball player picks up the orange ball and throws a Steph Curry-style three-pointer into a basketball net.

A second ad showcases Horwath chatting with voters.

“A lot of people have become very cynical about politics and politicians. They see what’s happening currently in Ontario. Just deep sense of disappointment. It absolutely does not have to be this way,” she tells the camera.

“I really believe there are decisions that government can make that will make it easier for people to have a good life. I think Ontario should be a province where people can build a good life — is that too much to expect? I don’t think so.”

Two weeks ago, the Liberals launched a $1-million blitz aimed squarely at “the real Doug Ford.”

The Liberal spots, which do not mention Wynne, were done by Bensimon Byrne and feature ominous music as a female narrator reminds viewers of some of Ford’s more outrageous statements over the years.


https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2018/05/03/tories-new-democrats-unveil-their-first-wave-of-election-ads.html
cosmostein





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PostPosted: Fri May 04, 2018 1:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ford and the PCs are campaigning as front-runners discussing what they will do when elected, whereas the OLP and NDP are seemingly campaigning from the rear targeting whatever they can to shake votes loose.

It sounds about right considering the polling thus far.
RCO





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PostPosted: Mon May 07, 2018 6:46 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

( not exactly from a well known pollster but a new poll has the ndp in second with 30% and liberals way back in 3rd)

Ford's PCs lead in new Ontario election poll, Wynne's Liberals in 3rd place

by News staff
Posted May 7, 2018 6:48 am EDT
Last Updated May 7, 2018 at 7:14 am EDT


Ontario Liberal Leader Kathleen Wynne, Ontario PC Leader Doug Ford and Ontario NDP Leader Andrea Horwath. THE CANADIAN PRESS


Kathleen Wynne’s Liberals have fallen to third place according to a new poll, released Monday, exactly one month away from the Ontario election.

The poll puts Doug Ford’s Progressive Conservatives in the lead with 40 per cent support and Andrea Horwath’s NDP in second place with 30 per cent. Wynne’s Liberals have 23 per cent support.

The online poll quizzed 1,010 eligible voters and was conducted May 3 and 4 for Maclean’s by Pollara Strategic Insights.

Read more about the poll on Macleans.ca.

The leaders face off in their first televised debate Monday at 6 p.m. Read about how to watch #CityVote: The Debate.


http://toronto.citynews.ca/201.....nne-third/
Bugs





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PostPosted: Mon May 07, 2018 7:23 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

It seems that the big federal Liberals don't want to damage their candidate by associating him with Kathleen Wynne.

Quote:
Trudeau to stay out of June Ontario election, but Scheer and Singh to campaign for their parties
LAURA STONE PARLIAMENTARY REPORTER
OTTAWA
PUBLISHED MAY 6, 2018
UPDATED 10 HOURS AGO

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has no plans to campaign for Kathleen Wynne’s Liberals during the Ontario election, but the federal Conservative and NDP leaders are helping their provincial counterparts as the race officially kicks off this week.

Mr. Trudeau appeared with Ms. Wynne in Cambridge, Ont., last week as Toyota announced a $1.4-billion upgrade to its Canadian manufacturing operations, backstopped by $220-million from the federal and Ontario governments.

But Mr. Trudeau will stay out of the campaign once the writ drops on Wednesday, the Prime Minister’s Office said.

[....]

“The federal Liberals anticipate, as almost everyone … that the Liberals are going to lose the election,” said Nelson Wiseman, a political science professor at the University of Toronto.

“Associating Trudeau directly with that is not a positive.” [....]

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-trudeau-to-stay-out-of-june-ontario-election-but-scheer-and-singh-to/


It shows how bad it is, in the eyes of the federal Liberals -- because whatever they say, they would vastly prefer a carobon tax supporting regime in Ontario ... I would imagine.
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Horwath top challenge to Tory Leader Ford

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