Home FAQ Search Memberlist User Groups Register Login   

BloggingTories.ca Forum IndexBloggingTories.ca Forum Index
    Index     FAQ     Search     Register     Login         JOIN THE DISCUSSION - CLICK HERE      

*NEW* Login or register using your Facebook account.

Not a member? Join the fastest growing conservative community!
Membership is free and takes 15 seconds


CLICK HERE or use Facebook to login or register ----> Connect



  

Post new topic   Reply to topic Page 1 of 1
View previous topic :: View next topic  
Author Message
RCO





Joined: 02 Mar 2009
Posts: 7786
Reputation: 265.8
votes: 3
Location: Ontario

PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2017 9:56 am    Post subject: Trudeau approval drops below 50 % Reply with quote

( a long and somewhat complex poll from angus reid , but there findings seem to indicate that trudeau's approval has dropped since 2015 , especially in eastern Canada )


PM on the naughty list? Trudeau approval drops below 50 per cent for first time since election


The Prime Minister remains more popular than Andrew Scheer and Jagmeet Singh, however


December 15, 2017 – As Canadians bask in the warmth of goodwill and cheer over the holiday season, bundling up across the country to stay warm, it may feel a touch colder at Rideau Cottage in Ottawa.

For the first time since the 2015 election, the Angus Reid Institute’s quarterly analysis of polling data finds Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s approval below one-half. Further, half of Canadians (49%) now say they disapprove of the PM.

This finding comes after a season that has seen Trudeau rebuffed in his efforts to secure a trade deal with China and repeatedly forced to defend Finance Minister Bill Morneau against accusations of unethical behaviour and conflicts of interest. The season has also seen his government secure an agreement with the provinces on marijuana taxation and a pair of byelection victories for his Liberal Party in ridings vacated by Conservative Party MPs.

Amid this mixed political climate, Trudeau’s approval rating – though diminished – remains higher than those either of Conservative leader Andrew Scheer or New Democratic Party leader Jagmeet Singh.

However, his disapproval rating is also higher than those of his opponents, and more Canadians say it is “time for a change” in government (46%) than say Trudeau’s Liberals should be re-elected (32%).

View our Trudeau Tracker here for overall and provincial trends

More Key Findings:trudeau approval
•Trudeau’s approval rating has fallen by at least 10 percentage points across all regions and age groups since he became Prime Minister, and has fallen dramatically in certain regions – notably Quebec and Atlantic Canada – in the last 12 months as well
•New NDP leader Singh debuts with the approval of 39 per cent of Canadians and the disapproval of 33 per cent (28% are unsure about him). Canadians have a slightly less favourable view of Scheer (35% approve, 36% disapprove, and 29% are unsure)
•“The economy” (chosen by 25% of respondents), “the deficit/government spending” (25%), and “health care” (24%) top Canadians’ list of the most important issues facing the country today


Fewer than half approve of PM

There’s good news and bad news for Prime Minister Trudeau as Parliament heads into the holiday recess. Recent weeks saw his Liberal Party notch victories in by-elections in Quebec and British Columbia – flipping a pair of Conservative seats into their column. But the Prime Minister’s personal approval has dropped below 50 per cent for the first time.

trudeau approval

Some of these results appear particularly dramatic when considering the starting point for the Prime Minister in each region of the country. Shortly after the election in 2015, Trudeau accrued firm support in Atlantic Canada, British Columbia, Ontario and Quebec. He has dropped significantly in all of these regions, and his slide in the Atlantic provinces has mostly occurred in the last 12 months, as seen in the graph that follows.

trudeau approval

His approval remains net positive in Ontario, but has dropped close to the 50/50 mark there, as well as in BC, Manitoba, Quebec, and New Brunswick. Notably, though his approval has fallen 23 percentage points overall in Newfoundland and Labrador since 2015 – more than in any other region – he still retains the support of more than six-in-ten in that province:

trudeau provincial approval

Trudeau also hits a low with Millennials this quarter. For the first time among this influential 18-34-year-old age demographic, his approval is below six-in-ten, at 56 per cent. His slide in approval among Canadians over 55 continues as well:

trudeau approval

Government spending a top concern

The slide in Trudeau’s approval rating comes in a quarter during which Finance Minister Bill Morneau has faced an ethics investigation related to shares of his family’s company that he did not place into a blind trust when he became Finance Minister. Opposition MPs filed a conflict of interest complaint against him after the government introduced changes to pension rules that would potentially have benefitted him and the company.

Trudeau has defended Morneau against calls for his resignation, accusing his opponents of “hiding behind parliamentary privilege” to make libelous claims about the Finance Minister’s behaviour.

While Morneau may have the PM’s vote of confidence, a recent Angus Reid Institute poll found Canadians less than pleased with his performance. Of all the federal cabinet ministers, the Finance Minister was the one most disproportionately seen as doing a “bad job.”

Related – The Good, the Bad and the Unknown: Canadians assess cabinet performance at the two-year mark

Another area of concern? Public spending. In the quarter that saw this government criticized over the $5.6 million price-tag of a new skating rink on Parliament Hill, one-in-four Canadians (25%) list “the deficit/government spending” as one of the two most important issues facing the country. This is tied with “the economy” more broadly for the top spot on Canadians’ list of issues, but the two topics have been trending in opposite directions since early 2016:



Against this backdrop, Canadians’ views on the economy – at both the national and household levels – remain largely unchanged since last quarter.

Some four-in-ten Canadians (42%) say they are satisfied with the state of the economy in Canada today, while 51 per cent are dissatisfied. These numbers roughly mirror those recorded in each wave of this survey in 2017.

trudeau approval

Likewise, more Canadians say their standard of living has worsened than improved over the last 12 months, and more expect it to worsen over the next 12 than expect it to improve. The rates at which respondents express these views remain consistent with historical findings, and the largest response in each case is to say things have stayed – or will stay – the same, as seen in the following graphs:

economic wellbeing

economic wellbeing

Trudeau still most-approved-of federal leader

While Trudeau’s approval is dropping, a different issue is hindering Conservative leader Andrew Scheer. Roughly three-in-ten Canadians say the still don’t know what to think of the new leader, while a near identical number approve and disapprove of him at this point.

andrew scheer approval

New NDP leader Jagmeet Singh, who was elected at the party’s convention in October, draws the approval of 39 per cent of Canadians. One-third (33%) say they disapprove of Singh, and more than one-in-four (28%) have not yet formed an opinion.

scheer singh approval

*N=1,044, see summary tables at the end of this release for greater detail



More say it’s time for a change than not

A trend that emerged in 2017 continues to close out the year. That is, a growing percentage of Canadians saying they believe it is “time for a change” in government. This quarter’s data is not as dramatic as September’s, but it’s worth noting that the proportion of Canadians saying it’s time for a change versus those who say it isn’t has held firm. Almost half (46%) say they would make a change, while one-in-three (32%) say that they wouldn’t. Roughly one-in-five say that they aren’t sure at this point, just under two years away from the next scheduled election.

trudeau approval

Calls for change are strongest in the areas where Trudeau’s approval is lowest – Saskatchewan and Alberta. Nearly two-thirds in these provinces (60% and 64%, respectively) say it’s time for a change. That said, it’s worth noting that more respondents say it’s time for a change than say it isn’t across all of the provinces canvassed, except Newfoundland and Labrador (see summary tables at the end of this report).



The Angus Reid Institute (ARI) was founded in October 2014 by pollster and sociologist, Dr. Angus Reid. ARI is a national, not-for-profit, non-partisan public opinion research foundation established to advance education by commissioning, conducting and disseminating to the public accessible and impartial statistical data, research and policy analysis on economics, political science, philanthropy, public administration, domestic and international affairs and other socio-economic issues of importance to Canada and its world.



Click here for the full report including tables and methodology

MEDIA CONTACT:

Shachi Kurl, Executive Director: 604.908.1693 shachi.kurl@angusreid.org @shachikurl


http://angusreid.org/federal-issues-dec-2017/
Bugs





Joined: 16 Dec 2009
Posts: 5025
Reputation: 263.1
votes: 8

PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2017 12:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Does this poll say the public is ready to try something else or what?

This is not the result of Jagmeet Singh's searing criticisms. Nor is it the result of Dad Scheer finding the jugular. This is the media reflecting their own disappointment in their reportage, as it filters out the bad stuff so as not disturb the masses. But the masses notice.

Probably half the effect is people sending stuff around on social media.

The message of the poll is that Liberal popularity is fading, imho. Trudeau is only a symbol of that. He hasn't made us look any more foolish than usual. I don't think this is anything about Justin's personal popularity, it's more a feeling that this isn't working out the way they said.

Think on this -- everything good in the Canadian economy right now is a result of Trump's ability to energize expectations in the USA, and yet he's trying to screw Trump up.
RCO





Joined: 02 Mar 2009
Posts: 7786
Reputation: 265.8
votes: 3
Location: Ontario

PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2017 1:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bugs wrote:
Does this poll say the public is ready to try something else or what?

This is not the result of Jagmeet Singh's searing criticisms. Nor is it the result of Dad Scheer finding the jugular. This is the media reflecting their own disappointment in their reportage, as it filters out the bad stuff so as not disturb the masses. But the masses notice.

Probably half the effect is people sending stuff around on social media.

The message of the poll is that Liberal popularity is fading, imho. Trudeau is only a symbol of that. He hasn't made us look any more foolish than usual. I don't think this is anything about Justin's personal popularity, it's more a feeling that this isn't working out the way they said.

Think on this -- everything good in the Canadian economy right now is a result of Trump's ability to energize expectations in the USA, and yet he's trying to screw Trump up.



I don't know but agree the numbers seem to have less to do with the opposition being effective and more to do with people growing tired of the liberals

trudeau is hard to get a feel for , we see things in the media that are aimed to create an image that he is super popular ( the huge crowds at his events , people desperately wanting selfies with him ) but there seems to be a % of the population that could care less and isn't feeling the vibe at this point


but I think its clear the liberal government would be way less popular if it didn't have trudeau , it would just look and feel like the liberal government we had from 93-2004 , be really nothing new and exciting about it if they didn't have trudeau as leader
Bugs





Joined: 16 Dec 2009
Posts: 5025
Reputation: 263.1
votes: 8

PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2017 5:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

They're not going to get rid of Trudeau because of all the people who are hiding behind him, enriching themselves ... some of them may even be doing some good for the country.

My first reaction to seeing Trudeau in Parliament QP sessions was one of mild shock. He isn't good at responding, and if he isn't careful, he comes across as arrogant and even contemptuous. At the same time, his narcissism is endless, and even embarrassing.

Not many people watch that, but the people posing as journalists do.
RCO





Joined: 02 Mar 2009
Posts: 7786
Reputation: 265.8
votes: 3
Location: Ontario

PostPosted: Sat Dec 16, 2017 9:04 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Poll suggests Justin Trudeau's approval rating has slipped below 50%


James Wallace


Published:
December 15, 2017


Updated:
December 15, 2017 9:18 PM EST


Filed Under:

Toronto SUN ›
News ›
Canada ›


Justin Trudeau heads into the winter break, like Marley’s ghost, dragging behind him the chains he’s forged in office.

For the first time in his “Sunny Ways” mandate, Trudeau’s approval ratings have slipped below 50%, according to a new poll from Angus Reid Institute.

And a growing number of Canadians – after just two years – say it’s time for change in Ottawa.

Our PM’s declining popularity is without doubt a reflection of a series of blunders, scandals and bad decisions.

The ongoing demonization and attack on small business, by his government and Finance Minister Bill Morneau as tax cheats who use accounting “schemes” to avoid paying their fair share of income tax.


Meanwhile, Trudeau and his finance minister both employed tax loopholes to protect their own considerable fortunes and Morneau has been embroiled in an ongoing ethics investigation and conflict allegations.

Trudeau’s tax collectors went after the company discounts some working people get – free meals for restaurant staff, discount clothes for clerks who work in retail stores.

And they recently went after single moms, the CBC reported, almost literally shaking them upside down for any spare change that might fall to earth over marital status and child benefits claims.

Then there was the $10.5 million federal payout to Omar Khadr, who was both convicted of terrorism and later recanted, which didn’t sit well with Canadians.

Nor did the $31.1 million paid out to three Canadians accused of terrorist activities in the Syria and Egypt, on the grounds Canadian intelligence officials supplied inaccurate intelligence.

Trudeau’s inability to manage the nation’s finances have provided another source of controversy, and his glib election-time suggestion the federal budget would “balance itself” following “modest” deficits this year and last then a $1 billion surplus

Instead, Canadians are being saddled with massive new debt and deficits for the foreseeable future – 226% higher than promise by 2018-19.

And finally, Trudeau broke his promised that a national carbon pricing plan would be revenue neutral and his greenhouse gas reduction plan has been revealed as a fraud.

Trudeau’s popularity has fallen by 10 percentage points across “all regions and age groups,” the Angus Reid Survey found.

While our PM remains focused on a progressive political agenda and lecturing Canadians on how they should think, Canadians are worried about bread and butter issues – the economy, their standard of living, government debt and spending.

Even Millennials, astonishingly perhaps to we baby-boom dinosaurs, appear to have begun to tire of Justin Trudeau.

Perhaps the only shocking part of the survey?

That 46% of Canadians still approve of our PM.


http://torontosun.com/news/nat.....d-below-50
RCO





Joined: 02 Mar 2009
Posts: 7786
Reputation: 265.8
votes: 3
Location: Ontario

PostPosted: Mon Dec 18, 2017 9:15 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

EDITORIAL: Justin Trudeau's dwindling support is a wake up


Postmedia News


Published:
December 18, 2017


Updated:
December 18, 2017 12:19 AM EST


Filed Under:

Canoe ›
News ›
Canada ›


Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Adrian Wyld



The more they know, the less they like. That seems to be the Canadian public’s attitude towards Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, at least according to a new poll out from Angus Reid Institute.

For the first time since Trudeau became prime minister, more people disapprove of his job performance than approve. This signals that a line has now been crossed. Two years into Trudeau’s mandate, his support is flagging.

While 46% of people give Trudeau the thumbs up, 49% aren’t buying what he’s selling. Dig deeper and it gets worse.

There are more than twice as many people out there who strongly disapprove of his performance (29%) as there are those who strongly approve (13%). Those who dislike him are more passionate in their perspective than those who like him.

Here’s the worst part, courtesy of the polling firm’s release: “more Canadians say it is ‘time for a change’ in government (46%) than say Trudeau’s Liberals should be re-elected (32%).”

Ouch. The higher they are the harder they fall. These aren’t the numbers Canada’s selfie king is used to generating.

The main saving grace for the PM is that the poll reveals Canadians aren’t overly familiar with the opposition leaders. More than a quarter of Canadians still don’t know Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer and NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh.

This means it’s not the case that voters are desperate to run from Trudeau to someone else. They’re just unhappy with how Trudeau’s governing himself… and the country.

Liberal strategists shouldn’t use the lack of opposition support as a reason to downplay Trudeau’s dwindling popularity. The broader news should be a humbling moment for them.

While Trudeau plunges the country into deficits and jet sets around the world he should wake up to the reality of how regular Canadians feel and think.

Angus Reid Institute also looked at the issues of top concern to voters. The deficit and government spending has now inched up to be the first place worry, tied with the economy.

We learned at the beginning of Trudeau’s term that he was never serious about running only “modest” deficits. Canadians are clearly increasingly bothered by their big spending PM.

Trudeau needs to take these concerns seriously and adjust his priorities accordingly.

http://canoe.com/opinion/edito.....0e2f6e4019
Post new topic   Reply to topic Page 1 of 1

  


 
Jump to:  
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot vote in polls in this forum
You cannot attach files in this forum
You can download files in this forum


Trudeau approval drops below 50 %

phpBBCopyright 2001, 2005 phpBB