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RCO





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Location: Ontario

PostPosted: Sun Apr 02, 2017 12:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bugs wrote:
The NDP is at it again. Remember how they tried to off-load the expenses of camaign work (between elections) off on the subsidized part of their funding?

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politic.....-1.3015352

They seem to be at it agan.

Why does anyone think these louts are 'morally superior' to anybody?



even with the extra help I don't see the ndp doing any better than a strong second or strong 3rd even in Ottawa Vanier and the other 4 ridings it be a fight to even reach the 10% mark ( I suspect less than 10 % and maybe even lower in Calgary Heritage , Calgary Midnapore and Markham Thornhill and maybe even St Laurent ) . even with a strong candidate and a very targeted campaign according to the article I posted its still one of the most liberal ridings in Ontario


it be truly historic and shocking if any of these 5 by elections were to flip parties , it might even be surprising if any of them are even closer than 10 % .
RCO





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PostPosted: Sun Apr 02, 2017 3:00 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Montreal's St-Laurent riding among five federal byelections Monday


More from Montreal Gazette

Published on: April 2, 2017 | Last Updated: April 2, 2017 1:51 PM EDT


Prime Minister Justin Trudeau campaigns with Liberal candidate Emmanuella Lambropoulos for the byelection in the St-Laurent riding, Sunday, March 26, 2017 in Montreal.



Voters in the riding of St-Laurent go to the polls on Monday to replace longtime member of Parliament Stéphane Dion, who quit politics in January after being dropped from the federal cabinet.

The riding is one of the safest Liberal seats in the country but the Liberal nomination process was filled with controversy after the party rejected the candidacy of Alan DeSousa, the popular mayor of St-Laurent, without giving him a reason.

Emmanuella Lambropoulos, a 26-year-old teacher at Rosemount High School, eventually beat out star candidate Yolande James, a former Quebec cabinet minister who was the apparent choice of the party establishment.

The stunning capture of the Liberal nomination in St-Laurent by a political unknown was a stern rebuke to party brass, according to DeSousa.

Other candidates say that voters are miffed with how the Liberal nomination was handled and are hoping that voters will turn their backs on the party.

“They took our population for granted, but people woke up with the events that happened,” said Jimmy Yu, the Conservative Party candidate.

However, Lambropoulos said many voters have told her they’re sticking with the Liberals. “People said they are happy I won and are happy that a local person won,” she said. Lambropoulos grew up in the riding and still lives in St-Laurent.

Mathieu Auclair, a student in international relations, is running for the New Democratic Party and Daniel Green, a longtime environmental activist, is the Green Party of Canada candidate. William Fayad is running for the Bloc Québécois.


Dion, who held the riding since 1996, is now Canada’s ambassador to Germany and the European Union.

Other byelections Monday include the Ottawa-Vanier and Markham-Thornhill ridings in Ontario, and the Alberta ridings of Calgary Heritage and Calgary Midnapore.

The Ontario ridings were left without MPs after the death of Mauril Bélanger, who suffered from ALS, and the stepping down of John McCallum, the former Liberal immigration minister who has been appointed ambassador to China.

The Alberta ridings were formerly held by Stephen Harper, who stepped down after his Conservative Party lost the federal election, and Jason Kenney, who is now the leader of the Alberta Progressive Conservative Party.

http://montrealgazette.com/new.....ons-monday
RCO





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PostPosted: Sun Apr 02, 2017 6:12 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

a number of current and former mp's have been to Markham Thornhill in the last week or so . it could be a sign its closer than expected or there simply looking for exposure .


RaGavan Paranchothy‏ @gavanp · Mar 28

Alex and MP Alice Wong working the Phone Bank at our campaign office.


RaGavan Paranchothy‏ @gavanp · Mar 29

Ragavan canvassing with MP Michael Chong. Thank you so much for coming out and supporting @MichaelChongMP.


RaGavan Paranchothy‏ @gavanp · Apr 1

Chris Alexander dropped by the campaign office today to show his support! Thank you @calxandr!

RaGavan Paranchothy‏ @gavanp · Apr 1

Thank you so much Lois Brown for stopping by our campaign office today. Great to see people like you coming out and supporting.
RCO





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PostPosted: Sun Apr 02, 2017 6:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

( Stephen Harper also came out of hiding to campaign in the by election for his old seat )


Bob Benzen 🇨🇦‏ @BobBenzen · Apr 1

Look who stopped in to help on the by-election today. Thanks @StephenHarper for your tremendous support & encouragement #yycheritage
RCO





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PostPosted: Sun Apr 02, 2017 6:18 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

( the liberal candidate is so confident in Ottawa Vanier that she is actually spending the final night of the by election at the Juno's and not going door to door or meeting residents of the riding )



Mona Fortier‏ @MonaFortier · 2h2 hours ago

Riding to Scotiabank Place! En route pour #Junos2017 #ottawavanier



Michael Spratt‏ @mspratt · 2h2 hours ago


While the Liberal candidate in #Ottawavanier is going to rub elbows at the Junos @EmilieTaman is out knocking on doors and working hard!
RCO





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PostPosted: Mon Apr 03, 2017 6:54 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Voters in five federal ridings select new MPs in byelections today

Elections Canada
Casting a ballot. (Chris Young / THE CANADIAN PRESS)


The Canadian Press
Published Monday, April 3, 2017 6:14AM EDT



OTTAWA - The federal political parties will put their popularity to the test today in five byelections.

There are two seats up for grabs in Alberta, two in Ontario and one in Quebec, all of which were held by high-profile politicians.

One of the Calgary ridings was previously held by former prime minister Stephen Harper who stepped down last year, while the other was occupied by former Conservative cabinet minister Jason Kenney who jumped to Alberta politics.


The other three seats were held by the Liberals - the Toronto-area seat of Markham-Thornhill and Montreal's Saint-Laurent opened when Stephane Dion and John McCallum left cabinet and were given diplomatic posts earlier this year.

The fifth seat, Ottawa Vanier, was held by backbencher Mauril Belanger who died last year.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau came under fire last month for campaigning in the byelection races. The opposition Tories said it creates questions about who is paying for the visits and puts public servants in a tough position.

The Conservatives and New Democrats both sent high profile candidates to campaign in some of the ridings.

http://www.ctvnews.ca/politics.....-1.3351903
RCO





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PostPosted: Mon Apr 03, 2017 6:59 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

( whats interesting is looking at a picture of campaign signs from the riding , the liberals sign is very odd . it only features a picture of Justin Trudeau and says " real change at work " no mention of the liberal candidate and no picture of her . considering she is new , you think they want to increase her exposure in the riding ?

. the cpc sign has a picture of Jimmy Yu and his name in large letters , but conservative rather small and its not a typical shade of blue used on most cpc signs )



Fate of Saint-Laurent riding to be decided Monday in federal byelection

Riding was put up for grabs after former foreign affairs minister Stéphane Dion quit politics

By Brennan Neill, CBC News Posted: Apr 02, 2017 8:00 PM ET| Last Updated: Apr 02, 2017 8:00 PM ET

Many have called the riding a Liberal stronghold – the party has held the riding for nearly three decades.


Voters in the riding of Saint-Laurent will be heading to the polls on Monday in one of five federal byelections held across the country.

The riding was put up for grabs after former foreign affairs minister Stéphane Dion decided to leave his seat to accept a position as an ambassador in Europe.

Dion was first elected as MP for Saint-Laurent in 1996. Many have called the riding a Liberal stronghold – the party has held the riding for nearly three decades.


Polls will open at 9:30 a.m. and close at 9:30 p.m. Five candidates are on the ballot.

Emmanuella Lambropoulos, Liberal Party

Emmanuella Lambropoulos, a 26-year-old teacher and Saint-Laurent resident, won the Liberal nomination last month in an upset that saw her beat former provincial immigration minister and presumed frontrunner Yolande James. But her win was not without controversy.

Alan DeSousa, Saint-Laurent's long-serving borough mayor, had campaigned for the Liberal nomination, but was rejected by the party. His appeal of that decision was also rejected. DeSousa said he was never told why.

Justin Trudeau Emmanuella Lambropoulos
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau showed up on the byelection campaign trail in support of Saint-Laurent Liberal candidate Emmanuella Lambropoulos. (CBC)

Lambropoulos, who has had Prime Minister Justin Trudeau join her on the campaign trail, said the controversy has not changed the minds of voters.

"To tell you the truth, I've knocked on many doors and the majority of people tell me they're very Liberal and will stay Liberal," she said.

"They also tell me they're happy I will win, they are happy that it is someone local who will win."

Mathieu Auclair, NDP

Mathieu Auclair, who is currently studying international relations at TÉLUQ, was picked by the NDP to run in the riding.

According to his biography on the party's website, Auclair holds a pilot's license and "understands the importance of supporting the aerospace industry." He also has a bachelor of arts from UQAM for social science and history.

Mathieu Auclair NDP
NDP candidate Mathieu Auclair believes the Liberals may be in for a surprise after the ballots are counted because of controversy during the nomination. (Mathieu Auclair pour/for Saint-Laurent/Facebook)

Auclair believes, given the controversial Liberal nomination, some may be in for a surprise.

"It seems there's a lot of grumbling. There is a lot of people who vote Liberal out of habit, it has always been a Liberal riding and we are realizing that, maybe, they no longer feel heard. They're starting to see other parties, that they exist," said Auclair.

Jimmy Yu, Conservative Party

Jimmy Yu, the Conservative candidate, moved to Canada from China in 1981 when he was 13 years old. Yu lives in the riding and said he has strong ties to the local Chinese community.

Yu ran in the 2015 general election and finished in second behind Dion, with just 20 per cent of ballots cast in his favour.

jimmy yu
Conservative candidate Jimmy Yu ran in the 2015 general election and finished in second. (Simon Nakonechny/CBC)

"[The Liberals] have taken our population for granted. But now, people are waking up with all the events that have passed," said Yu.

He added that the Conservatives had troubling getting its ideas across in the Montreal-area in the past. But now the party is opening up more and more, most notably to younger voters.

William Fayad, Bloc Québécois

Saint-Laurent resident William Fayad is no stranger to the campaign trail.

The Bloc Québécois candidate has run for the party on three separate occasions in the past. He's also run in provincial elections twice for the Parti Québécois, and once ran to be borough mayor under the Projet Montréal banner.

William Fayad
Bloc Québécois candidate William Fayad is one of three on the ballot who lives in the riding. (Radio-Canada)

Fayad, a certified mathematics teacher who has worked in a couple of Montreal-area school boards, has received the support of newly arrived Bloc Québécois leader Martine Ouellet.

Daniel Green, Green Party

Daniel Green, deputy leader of the Green Party, is hoping to win their first ever second seat in the House of Commons.

Green, an environmentalist, joined the party in 2015 and ran in the last general election in the riding of Ville-Marie–Le Sud-Ouest–Île-des-Soeurs. He placed fifth with nearly five per cent of the vote.

Daniel Green Green Party
Daniel Green, deputy leader of the Green Party, is hoping to win the party's second seat in the House of Commons in Saint-Laurent. (Radio-Canada)

He believes some of the Liberal's broken promises, such as electoral reform, may hurt their chances in the byelection.

"We thought we saw it all with Stephen Harper, and now we see a Liberal party who acts in a way that is totally anti-democratic," said Green.

Chinook Blais-Leduc, Rhinoceros Party

The satirical Rhinoceros Party have put up Chinook Blais-Leduc as candidate for Saint-Laurent.

If elected Blais-Leduc said he'd pay homage to Dion, the architect of the Clarity Act, which mandates a clear question and "clear majority" in any Quebec referendum, by introducing the "Clarity of Laws" act.

The act would require all new laws to be submitted to 100 randomly selected Canadians. They will be asked to read the law, and if two-thirds of them clearly understand the true meaning of the law, then it will pass. If it fails it will be sent back to lawmakers to be redrawn.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/.....-1.4052182
RCO





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PostPosted: Mon Apr 03, 2017 7:39 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Calgary byelections less about who wins, more about how much they win by

Conservative favourites and Liberal underdogs looking to maximize vote share ahead of 2019 general election

By Robson Fletcher, CBC News Posted: Apr 03, 2017 5:00 AM MT| Last Updated: Apr 03, 2017 5:00 AM MT

Liberal candidate Scott Forsyth and his wife Rosanna walk past a sign for Conservative candidate Bob Benzen while out campaigning in Calgary Heritage. The last MP to represent the riding was former prime minister Stephen Harper.



Calgarians will go to the polls in two federal byelections Monday, and while there's little doubt about who will win, the margins of victory will be closely watched by all sides.

Analysts expect the Conservatives will hold on to the seats vacated by Stephen Harper in Calgary Heritage and Jason Kenney in Calgary Midnapore.

But candidates are nevertheless fighting hard for every vote, knowing a strong showing can set them on a path toward future victories.

Parties that gain vote share in a byelection usually go on to gain support provincewide in the next general election, according to an analysis by CBC's poll analyst Éric Grenier.
■ANALYSIS | Byelection performance can be predictive of future results

Scott Forsyth, the Liberal candidate in Calgary Heritage, is well aware of that.

He's been knocking on residents' doors for weeks, hoping against the odds to win on Monday, but also playing the long game.

"We really want to build on each successive election," Forsyth said.

"So I'm hoping very much we can improve upon even the great strides that were made in the last national election here in Calgary Heritage, and we're going to just keep on building our support and outreach right up until the next election in 2019. So this is laying a foundation that's going to be a part of our future."

The Liberals earned 26 per cent of the vote in the southwest riding in 2015, up from just seven per cent in 2011, and they're aiming to beat that on Monday.

Scott Forsyth door knocking
Liberal candidate Scott Forsyth shakes hands with a supporter while campaigning in the riding of Calgary Heritage. (Robson Fletcher/CBC)


Meanwhile, on the other side of Macleod Trail, Conservative candidate Stephanie Kusie has also been campaigning hard.

She's an overwhelming favourite in the riding of Calgary Midnapore, but she's not willing to coast to victory.

"I never take anything for granted," Kusie said.

"I think that you have to work very hard, meet the electorate, have them understand that you are out there working hard for them."

She, too, has spent weeks leading up to Monday's vote by reaching out to voters on their doorsteps, over the phone and through social media.

Stephanie Kusie campaign
Stephanie Kusie, the Conservative candidate in Calgary Midnapore, calls voters from her campaign headquarters. (Robson Fletcher/CBC)


Turnout in byelections is typically lower than in general elections, which can make get-out-the-vote efforts all the more important for parties looking to maximize their share of the ballots.

But it would be a "real surprise" to see either riding go to anyone but the Conservatives, said Lori Williams, a professor of policy studies at Mount Royal University,

"They are truly Conservative strongholds. There are a lot of people there that have a lot of faith and loyalty to Stephen Harper and to Jason Kenney," she said.


"The best the Liberals can hope for is that they shrink the margins, that they show themselves to be a credible force in Calgary and I think, again, they're looking longer term."

Lori Williams
Lori Williams is a professor in the faculty of economics, justice, and policy studies at Mount Royal University in Calgary. (Stephanie Wiebe/CBC)

Aside from the Conservatives and Liberals, no other candidates in Calgary Heritage or Calgary Midnapore earned a double-digit share of the vote in the 2015 election.

Liberal Haley Brown picked up 23 per cent of the vote running against Kenney last time around, and she's running again against Kusie in the byelection.

Also running are NDP candidate Holly Heffernan, Green Party candidate Ryan Zedic, Larry Heather with the Christian Heritage Party of Canada and Kulbir Singh Chawla with the National Advancement Party of Canada.
■ANALYSIS | Midterm byelections to test Liberal government and leaderless opposition parties

Calgary Heritage Conservative candidate Bob Benzen didn't respond to a request for an interview.

In addition to Forsyth, he's up against five other challengers, including:
■Khalis Ahmed, NDP.
■Stephen J. Garvey, National Advancement Party of Canada.
■Darcy Gerow, Libertarian Party of Canada.
■Taryn Knorren, Green Party of Canada.
■Jeff Willerton, Christian Heritage Party of Canada.

The polls are open in both Calgary ridings from 7:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m. MT.

Information on where to vote is available here from Elections Canada.

Byelections are also being held Monday the Ontario ridings of Markham–Thornhill and Ottawa–Vanier and in Saint-Laurent in Quebec.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/.....-1.4050733
cosmostein





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PostPosted: Mon Apr 03, 2017 10:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I have enjoyed watching how much the goalposts have moved for the LPC since the two Calgary Seats ended up being vacant.

Wasn't it just a few months ago that folks were discussing the idea of a Liberal in Stephen Harper's old seat?

Now we are back to;
We are going to lose, but if we lose by less than we lost by last time, its a win?
RCO





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PostPosted: Mon Apr 03, 2017 11:03 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

cosmostein wrote:
I have enjoyed watching how much the goalposts have moved for the LPC since the two Calgary Seats ended up being vacant.

Wasn't it just a few months ago that folks were discussing the idea of a Liberal in Stephen Harper's old seat?

Now we are back to;
We are going to lose, but if we lose by less than we lost by last time, its a win?



it does seem very bizarre to read an article about a by election and have the candidate talking about the next election and how its about growing long term . I always though by elections were viewed as one time oppurtunities and the chance is now , not in 2019 .

the liberals do seem certain to come in 2nd in both alberta ridings as the federal ndp seems to be going nowhere in alberta even though provincial party won a lot of Calgary and Edmonton ridings
cosmostein





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PostPosted: Mon Apr 03, 2017 12:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

RCO wrote:
cosmostein wrote:
I have enjoyed watching how much the goalposts have moved for the LPC since the two Calgary Seats ended up being vacant.

Wasn't it just a few months ago that folks were discussing the idea of a Liberal in Stephen Harper's old seat?

Now we are back to;
We are going to lose, but if we lose by less than we lost by last time, its a win?



it does seem very bizarre to read an article about a by election and have the candidate talking about the next election and how its about growing long term . I always though by elections were viewed as one time oppurtunities and the chance is now , not in 2019 .

the liberals do seem certain to come in 2nd in both alberta ridings as the federal ndp seems to be going nowhere in alberta even though provincial party won a lot of Calgary and Edmonton ridings


Agreed;
To be discussing your next move before the by-election has even been held is at a minimum demoralizing to anyone who worked on your campaign.
RCO





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PostPosted: Mon Apr 03, 2017 2:22 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Two Calgary communities vote in by-elections


Local
Politics


by Mike Tarasko
Posted Apr 3, 2017 6:41 am MDT



It’s voting day for two federal ridings in Calgary.

Seats in Calgary-Heritage and Calgary-Midnapore are up for grabs after the resignation of former Prime Minister Stephen Harper and the departure of Jason Kenney to pursue the Alberta PC Leadership.

Mount Royal University Political Scientist Lori Williams says these ridings are both Tory strongholds and even party brass seem to think the outcomes are pretty much foregone conclusions.

“The candidates are not well known and overall we are not seeing a whole lot of interesting activity,” Williams told CityNews.

She said outside of a couple visits from Prime Minister Trudeau, the Liberals haven’t poured much in the way of resources into their candidates.

However Williams said strange things can happen in by-elections.

“It is people saying, ‘I am going to take a chance or vote against type because it will only effect one seat’.”

Polling stations are open 7:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m., and 660 NEWS will have full coverage of the results once they start coming in.

http://www.660news.com/2017/04.....elections/
RCO





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PostPosted: Mon Apr 03, 2017 2:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Two federal ridings in Calgary up for grabs in byelections



Byelection votes in Calgary



The members for two long-held Conservative ridings in the City of Calgary will be decided on Monday. Jordan Kanygin reports.




Michael Franklin, Digital Producer

@CTVMFranklin
.
Published Monday, April 3, 2017 5:39AM MDT
Last Updated Monday, April 3, 2017 12:25PM MDT

Calgarians in two federal ridings will be heading to the polls on Monday to decide who will represent them in Ottawa.

Advance voting in Calgary-Heritage, Stephen Harper’s old riding, and Calgary-Midnapore, formerly held by Jason Kenney, has been open since March 24, but the winners in both of those races will be decided later on Monday night.

Those races in Conservative strongholds are among the five byelections scheduled, with the three others in Ontario and Quebec.



Byelection vote April 3
Voters in two Calgary ridings have a strong feeling that the Conservatives will come out on top again.



Byelection ballot
Voting is open from 7:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m. on Monday for two federal byelections in the Calgary area.

Those other seats were all held by Liberals; the Toronto-area seat of Markham-Thornhill and Montreal's Saint-Laurent opened when Stephane Dion and John McCallum left cabinet and were given diplomatic posts earlier this year.

The fifth seat, Ottawa-Vanier, was held by backbencher Mauril Belanger who died last year.

Voters that CTV Calgary spoke with after casting their ballots are making it seem like the Conservative traditions are going to continue in the riding.

Results for Harper and Kenney from the last general election were 63 and 66 percent respectively and the Liberals received less than 30 percent support in both ridings in 2015.

One man said that this vote is really all about the party. "In my opinion, this is more of a referendum on how we think the Liberals are doing because they're in power."

Another says he knows the Conservatives will win in the ridings. "This is a Conservative province; Harper was in here before."

Polling stations will be open from 7:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.

Information on where to vote can be found on the Elections Canada website.

(With files from the Canadian Press)

http://calgary.ctvnews.ca/two-.....-1.3351957
RCO





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PostPosted: Mon Apr 03, 2017 2:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

cosmostein wrote:
RCO wrote:
cosmostein wrote:
I have enjoyed watching how much the goalposts have moved for the LPC since the two Calgary Seats ended up being vacant.

Wasn't it just a few months ago that folks were discussing the idea of a Liberal in Stephen Harper's old seat?

Now we are back to;
We are going to lose, but if we lose by less than we lost by last time, its a win?



it does seem very bizarre to read an article about a by election and have the candidate talking about the next election and how its about growing long term . I always though by elections were viewed as one time oppurtunities and the chance is now , not in 2019 .

the liberals do seem certain to come in 2nd in both alberta ridings as the federal ndp seems to be going nowhere in alberta even though provincial party won a lot of Calgary and Edmonton ridings


Agreed;
To be discussing your next move before the by-election has even been held is at a minimum demoralizing to anyone who worked on your campaign.



it seems that the bar has been set low for the liberals in these by elections , and the CBC article that claims its not about who wins but by how much is somewhat off. I can't recall many by elections in the past where people cared more about the % won by rather than who won .

and since by elections have lower turnout , often the % won by is different than normal elections . so 10,000 votes during a by election could be 30 % but that same 10,000 votes during a general election might only be 25 % . so a party could get the same number of votes yet % of the vote goes up

that's what we saw in medicine hat by election , liberals got 9000 votes or 18 % of the vote in 2015 , but in by election got 8778 votes or 25 % of the vote . there % of the vote went up but they didn't actually gain any new voters , I suspect well see something similar in the Calgary by elections since ndp so low
RCO





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PostPosted: Mon Apr 03, 2017 6:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

( Scheer appears to have made a last minute visit to markham thornhill , somewhat surprising as parliament in session this week and he's not exactly well known in Markham )



Andrew Scheer‏Verified account
@andrewscheer

GOTV doorknocking in Markham-Thornhill to help @gavanp become the newest CPC MP.
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5 Federal By elections called for April 3

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