Home FAQ Search Memberlist User Groups Register Login   

BloggingTories.ca Forum IndexBloggingTories.ca Forum Index
    Index     FAQ     Search     Register     Login         JOIN THE DISCUSSION - CLICK HERE      

*NEW* Login or register using your Facebook account.

Not a member? Join the fastest growing conservative community!
Membership is free and takes 15 seconds


CLICK HERE or use Facebook to login or register ----> Connect



  

Post new topic   Reply to topic Page 1 of 1
View previous topic :: View next topic  
Author Message
lasz17





Joined: 13 Oct 2008
Posts: 4


PostPosted: Mon Oct 13, 2008 6:53 pm    Post subject: Past results and your seat projections Reply with quote

Can we get some predictions on final seats by party from you guys? i am new so you may already have done so or there may be another chat string dedicated to that but it would be fun to see who is closest to the actual result no?

Total 308
Seats needed for majority 155
Results of last election CPC 124 L 103 NDP 29 BQ 51 Independent 1
Current standings in the House CPC 127 L 95 NDP 30 BQ 48 Independent 4 Vacant 4

My best guess:

CPC 137

L 85

NDP 36

BQ 49

Greens 0

Ind 1
BLueWLU





Joined: 11 Dec 2006
Posts: 165
Reputation: 56.2
Location: Ontario

PostPosted: Mon Oct 13, 2008 7:22 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Here's my best guess:

308 Total Seats

Conservatives 141
Liberal 83
NDP 35
Bloc 47
Green 0
Ind 2

I guess we'll have to wait though until tomorrow night.
triple M





Joined: 20 Feb 2007
Posts: 83
Reputation: 54.2

PostPosted: Mon Oct 13, 2008 8:49 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

C 138
L 80
NDP 36
Bloc 52
Ind 2

The CPC wont be wiped out in NFLD: Fabian will win his seat the other 2 former tory seats will be split by the ndp/libs

We will make gains in NB and hold on to our current seats in NS. Bill Cassy will win his seat as a Ind. PEI will remain Liberal but we will be more competitive and come very close in one ridding but the libs will eek it out.

In Quebec we will lose 3-4 seats and one of those losses will be cabinet minister. Minister Michael Fortier will fail in his attempt in Vaudreuil-Soulanges while André Bachand go down in Sherbrooke.

Ontario will see gains 9-12 seats have a very good chance of going blue we might see some in roads in the 905. The CPC will win the plurality of the seats in Ontario for the 1st time in a long time.

On the Praries the Tories will win all but 5 seats and in BC they will regain many former reform/CA seats back

It is a shame that for the most part we made gains accross the country but it is not going to be enough because of what is going on in Quebec.
Craig
Site Admin




Joined: 29 Aug 2006
Posts: 4415
Reputation: 47.8Reputation: 47.8Reputation: 47.8Reputation: 47.8Reputation: 47.8
votes: 36

PostPosted: Mon Oct 13, 2008 8:58 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

C 142
L 76
NDP 40
Bloc 48
Ind 2
FF_Canuck





Joined: 02 Sep 2006
Posts: 3360
Reputation: 73.4
votes: 17
Location: Southern Alberta

PostPosted: Mon Oct 13, 2008 10:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Here's my predictions by province / territory:

Yukon
LPC 1
NWT
CPC 1
Nunavut
CPC 1

BC
CPC 24
LPC 4
NDP 8
* David Emerson barely retains his seat
* Meredith (CPC) takes Vancouver Quadra
* Blair Wilson (Green) loses his seat to the Conservative candidate

AB
CPC 26
NDP 1
Ind 1
* Rahim Jaffer loses his seat in Edmonton Strathcona to the NDP
* Edmonton Sherwood Park elects James Ford as an Independant, after a few months and some mea culpa, Ford joins the CPC caucus

SK
CPC 13
LPC 1
*Unfortunately, Goodale retains his seat once again

MB
CPC 8
LPC 3
NDP 3

ON
CPC 46
LPC 42
NDP 18
* No suprises, and Garth loses his seat in Halton

QC
CPC 7
BQ 52
LPC 15
* Agreed with triple M - we lose a cabinet minister, as well as Fortier
* Andre Arthur (Ind) retains his seat
* The NDP remains locked out of QC

Nfld
CPC 1
LPC 5
NDP 1
* Danny Williams costs us all but 1 seat

NB
CPC 6
LPC 2
NDP 2
* We pick up a few here

NS
CPC 3
LPC 3
NDP 4
Ind 1
*Bill Casey (Ind) retains his seat

PEI
LPC 4

TOTAL
CPC 136
LPC 80
BQ 52
NDP 37
Ind 3

Seems about right. I'm not so sure of the Atlantic, but I feel better everywhere else.
FF_Canuck





Joined: 02 Sep 2006
Posts: 3360
Reputation: 73.4
votes: 17
Location: Southern Alberta

PostPosted: Mon Oct 13, 2008 10:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

As of 1913 hrs, electionprediction.org has this breakdown:

CPC 125
LPC 94
BQ 51
NDP 36
Ind 2

Not much of a spread in everyone's predictions thus far...
lasz17





Joined: 13 Oct 2008
Posts: 4


PostPosted: Mon Oct 13, 2008 11:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

FF_Canuck wrote:
As of 1913 hrs, electionprediction.org has this breakdown:

CPC 125
LPC 94
BQ 51
NDP 36
Ind 2

Not much of a spread in everyone's predictions thus far...


I under estimated BQ I feel. Also independents should be two. so maybe CPC gets no more than 135 unless the William Johnson theory about hidden Quebec CPC support is correct
Michaelcc





Joined: 06 Aug 2008
Posts: 13
Reputation: 2.8Reputation: 2.8

PostPosted: Tue Oct 14, 2008 10:12 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

B.C: Conservative 21, Liberal 5, NDP 10

Alberta: Conservative 28

Saskatchewan: Conservative 13, Liberal 1

Manitoba: Conservative 9, Liberal 2, NDP 3

Ontario: Conservative 50, Liberal 39, NDP 17

Quebec: Conservative 10, Liberal 12, NDP 1, Bloc 51, IND 1

New Brunswick: Conservative 5, Liberal 4, NDP 1

PE1: Liberal 4

Nova Scotia: Conservative 3, Liberal 4, NDP 3, IND 1

Newfoundland and Labrador: Conservative 1, Liberal 5, NDP 1

Territories: Liberal 2, NDP 1

Total: Conservative 140, Liberal 78, Bloc 51, NDP 37, IND 2
SFrank85





Joined: 03 Mar 2007
Posts: 2269
Reputation: 59.8
votes: 4
Location: Toronto - Scarborough Southwest

PostPosted: Tue Oct 14, 2008 1:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

TOTAL
CPC 154
LPC 67
BQ 47
NDP 38
Ind 2
Post new topic   Reply to topic Page 1 of 1

  


 
Jump to:  
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot vote in polls in this forum
You can attach files in this forum
You can download files in this forum


Past results and your seat projections

phpBBCopyright 2001, 2005 phpBB