Posted: Sun Feb 24, 2008 2:30 pm Post subject: Calgary North Hill Under the Radar - Alberta Election
The last three weeks have been nothing short of crazy and as we head into the final stretch, I would like to share some election speculation with you.
Calgary North Hill Under the Radar
I am a little surprised that Calgary North Hill has not garnered much attention. I believe it is a constituency that the PC's will lose in this election. Maybe everyone already realizes that; thus the media is not bothering to cover it.
Kyle Fawcett is running for the PC's. He certainly cannot rely on riding Ed Stelmachs' coattails to victory, since he does not have any in Calgary. The coattails of the incumbent, Richard Magnus are pretty short as well; in 2004 of all the PC's in Calgary, he won by the narrowest margin with only 43.2%.
In that election his vote count dropped by over 2500 from the previous election. Yet, voter turnout from 2001 to 2004 only dropped about 900. Where did the other votes go? The difference was picked up by the Green and Liberal candidates. Protest votes perhaps?
The PC's are certainly no more popular today than they were in 2004. Add to this the fact that many Magnus supporters have now "come over to the Wild side" and PC fundraising is in slump in Calgary; surely they realize this is a lost seat.
I am not a political strategist that can fully analyze the outcome with any certainty; but let's explore a potential scenerio for fun.
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Calgary North Hill Under the Radar - Alberta Election