Home FAQ Search Memberlist User Groups Register Login   

BloggingTories.ca Forum IndexBloggingTories.ca Forum Index
    Index     FAQ     Search     Register     Login         JOIN THE DISCUSSION - CLICK HERE      

*NEW* Login or register using your Facebook account.

Not a member? Join the fastest growing conservative community!
Membership is free and takes 15 seconds


CLICK HERE or use Facebook to login or register ----> Connect



  

Post new topic   Reply to topic Page 1 of 1
View previous topic :: View next topic  
Author Message
cbasu





Joined: 03 Sep 2006
Posts: 391
Reputation: 131.3
votes: 2

PostPosted: Fri Sep 15, 2006 3:28 pm    Post subject: Poll Smoking with David Herle Reply with quote

I had a chance to glance through the (unbelievably) detailed poll done by David Herle's new venture (h/t Inkless Wells) Gandalf.

The national numbers are not particularly encouraging for the Tories. After keeping most of the election promises, and having had virtually no opposition through the summer, one would have expected somewhat better data from the two provinces offering virtually all of the potential growth for the party.

    National: Cons - 36, Lib - 30.
    Ontario: Cons - 32, Lib - 39.
    Quebec: Cons - 23, Lib - 20, Bloc - 42.

The Liberal leadership data is also intriguing, even if one discounts Dryden's strong numbers on name recognition.

First, it shows Ignatieff polling behind Rae, Dion, Dryden and Kennedy in one or more regions of the country, and with very anemic support among Canadians, in general, and Liberals, in particular. After the near canonization by the media, one would have expected Iggy to be comfortably in the lead.

Second, as Paul Wells notes in his blog, Bob Rae polls surprisingly well in Ontario. I guess after two terms of Mike Harris, and one term of Dalton McGuinty, some NDP and Liberal supporters miss him. Dion polls well in Quebec, which is to be expected.

Third, Kennedy appears to show the most room for growth, and according to Herle, polls well with women. We will see if his much vaunted ground organization actually delivers.

Finally, a caveat. David Herle was the guy behind two of the most poorly run Liberal campaigns in recent memory. Along with Scott "Beer-and-Donuts" Reid, he was largely responsible for turning a reasonably successful Finance Minister into a bumbling, stumbling Prime Minister. So, take his analysis with a grain - or a bucket - of salt.


Last edited by cbasu on Fri Sep 15, 2006 5:10 pm; edited 1 time in total
kwlafayette





Joined: 03 Sep 2006
Posts: 6155
Reputation: 156.2Reputation: 156.2
votes: 28
Location: Saskatoon Saskatchewan

PostPosted: Fri Sep 15, 2006 4:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Is that the Gandalf poll? Kind of surprising that Dion has the highest Quebec support, and people thought he was not well liked in Quebec. Also, Rae was leading in Ontario, which many would think is counter-intuitive.
cbasu





Joined: 03 Sep 2006
Posts: 391
Reputation: 131.3
votes: 2

PostPosted: Fri Sep 15, 2006 5:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yes, it is Gandalf. I've updated my post.

I wonder if Herle realizes that he has adopted the name of a bankrupt Ottawa tech company that was once a pioneer in telecommunications.

Rather ironic methinks.
Post new topic   Reply to topic Page 1 of 1

  


 
Jump to:  
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot vote in polls in this forum
You cannot attach files in this forum
You can download files in this forum


Poll Smoking with David Herle

phpBBCopyright 2001, 2005 phpBB