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Bugs





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PostPosted: Sun Jul 15, 2018 4:22 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
... if Singh ran in a byelection taking place near where the contentious Kinder Morgan pipeline is being expanded it could help him gain traction in the national media.

“If he joined that byelection race it would insert him at ground-zero of the pipeline debate.”


This is an issue that splits the NDP -- would joining the Most Luddite faction, aganst the Lesser Luddites, be good for Luddites in general?
cosmostein





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PostPosted: Tue Jul 17, 2018 10:19 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Burnaby South is a tough riding;
It was a three way race last time and the previous ridings it was made up of usually sent an NDP MP to Ottawa but hardly in a runaway.
Bugs





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PostPosted: Fri Jul 20, 2018 10:14 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The more I watch Jagmeet. the more I shake my head. He seems to have all the parts to succeed in Canadian politics. He's attractive, he speaks well, he is a 'multicultural' leader that (seemingly) testifies to Canada's image of itself ... but he just doesn't seem to have the heart for it.

The way he handled the Christine Moore incident is illustrative. I am not referring to the ultimate verdict -- there could only be one decision in the NDP, the white male's enemy -- but rather his manner. You could feel his discomfort, no doubt because the place where Sikhs feel most 'foreign' in Canada is precisely on family and gender issues.

For the crucial first day or two, he was like a deer caught in the headlights.

I think that's at the heart of the Jagmeet problem.
RCO





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PostPosted: Wed Aug 01, 2018 8:30 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

( this articles indicates for certain that Singh will not run in Outremont and that another candidate is essentially already chosen )


Julia Sanchez to carry NDP banner in Tom Mulcair's Outremont seat



Former NDP leader will officially resign his Montreal seat this summer


Louis Blouin · CBC News · Posted: Jul 26, 2018 5:00 AM ET | Last Updated: July 26



Julia Sanchez will try to hold onto the Montreal seat of Outremont for the NDP after Tom Mulcair officially steps aside. (CBC News)


72 comments


The seeds of the NDP's 'Orange Wave' in Quebec were planted with Tom Mulcair's 2007 breakthrough in the Montreal riding of Outremont. Julia Sanchez wants to keep it in the NDP's column.

Sanchez, a political novice with a background in the humanitarian sector, will be the party's candidate for Mulcair's seat when a byelection is called, likely later this fall.

The riding has had symbolic meaning for New Democrats in Quebec ever since Mulcair won the traditionally Liberal fortress over a decade ago. That's increasing the pressure on the party to hold Outremont when a new vote is held.

A newcomer to politics, Sanchez said that she knows she has big shoes to fill — those of an experienced MP with a high profile in Quebec politics.

"I am very aware that it will not be easy. It doesn't scare me. I am someone who is used to taking on big challenges," said Sanchez in an interview with Radio-Canada.

"We have some catching up to do, we have a lot of work to do. I'm ready.

"I'm taking nothing for granted. I know that the party needs some good news in Quebec. That motivates me."

Sanchez's candidacy will have to be made official by a vote of local party members, which will take place at the end of August. But the vote is merely a formality. Sources say that she is the party's choice and no other candidate has expressed interest in the nomination.

No date has been set yet for the byelection in Outremont but it's likely to be held in the fall, after the Quebec provincial election. Mulcair already has announced that he will not be returning to Ottawa in September, when Parliament reconvenes.

A test for the NDP

​The NDP's Quebec caucus is nervous about next year's federal election. The byelection could serve as a test of how deep the party's roots run in Quebec after the losses it suffered in 2015.

"It will give us a check-up on the health of the NDP in Quebec," said NDP MP Alexandre Boulerice. "It's a symbolic place. Outremont is where Thomas Mulcair's breakthrough happened. We are aware that it was a château fort for the Liberals for years.

"The battle will be difficult. Justin Trudeau's Liberals are pretty high in the polls. It will take a big effort like in the 2007 byelection."


Former NDP leader Tom Mulcair first won the Outremont riding in a 2007 byelection but will be officially resigning the seat this summer. (Sean Kilpatrick/Canadian Press)

The New Democrats have not posted strong results in recent byelections in Quebec. The party took 11.7 per cent of the vote in the riding of Lac-Saint-Jean last fall, 8.6 per cent in Chicoutimi–Le Fjord in June and just 7.8 per cent in Saint-Laurent in April 2016.

The Outremont byelection also will serve as an opportunity to measure how Quebec voters view Jagmeet Singh, leader of the federal NDP since October. Sanchez said she recognizes there's a certain "resistance" to the new leader in Quebec, but is convinced that things will improve once he becomes better known.

"I think that we are all looking forward to seeing him in Parliament," she said.

After initially opening the door to being a candidate in Outremont, it now appears likelier that Singh will put his name forward in a safer seat like the B.C. riding of Burnaby South, where opposition to the expansion of the Kinder Morgan pipeline could play in the NDP's favour. NDP MP Kennedy Stewart said he will resign the seat this summer and mount a bid to be mayor of Vancouver.

Back to Outremont

Sanchez has lived in the riding before and will be returning to Outremont starting on Saturday to get to work on her campaign. She has lived in Ottawa for the last seven years; she said she doesn't see this as a handicap and believes she can establish a connection with voters in the riding.

She said she plans to focus on issues like inequality, women's rights and the environment. A Peruvian immigrant who arrived in Canada at the age of two months, Sanchez said she is certain that she will be well-received in a diverse riding like Outremont.

Sanchez said she wants to force the Liberals to respect their election promises. She said that constituents need an MP "who will push the Liberals to deliver on their promises and the commitments they made."

Sanchez recently left a position as president of the Canadian Council of International Co-operation which she'd occupied since 2011. Over her long career in the humanitarian sector she has supervised development projects in countries such as Bolivia, Guatemala, Nepal and India.

She also has participated in international campaigns in the fight against climate change. Sanchez previously worked for the Centre for International Studies and Cooperation and collaborated with Oxfam in India and the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees.

Liberals already campaigning

The Liberals will put in a serious effort to win the riding back for the party. The vote for the Liberal nomination is not yet scheduled but a few interested candidates have already started knocking on doors.

Rachel Bendayan, a lawyer who has worked as a ministerial chief of staff in the Trudeau government, is taking another run at the nomination. In the federal election in 2015, she took 33.5 per cent of the vote, placing her 11 percentage points behind Mulcair.

Kimberley Manning, a political science professor at Concordia University, also has announced her intention to run for the Liberal nomination.

The Conservatives have opened nominations for the riding, but have not yet chosen a date for the vote.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/ndp-candidate-outremont-1.4761028
cosmostein





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PostPosted: Wed Aug 01, 2018 10:18 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The NDP has essentially opted for a parachute candidate from Ottawa?
Who is running this party??
Bugs





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PostPosted: Wed Aug 01, 2018 10:29 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

He's another Audrey McLaughlin ...
RCO





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PostPosted: Wed Aug 01, 2018 1:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

cosmostein wrote:
The NDP has essentially opted for a parachute candidate from Ottawa?
Who is running this party??




I didn't even realise the ndp candidate was from Ottawa not Montreal , its looking more and more likely that this riding is already gone if your the ndp
RCO





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PostPosted: Fri Aug 03, 2018 2:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Mulcair resigns as an MP, putting Montreal seat up for grabs


Rachel Aiello, Ottawa News Bureau Online Producer

@rachaiello
.
Published Friday, August 3, 2018 1:52PM EDT


OTTAWA – Today is former NDP leader Tom Mulcair's last day as an MP, meaning his Outremont, Que. seat is soon to be up for grabs.

The NDP confirmed Thursday that Mulcair sent his letter of resignation to the Speaker of the House of Commons Geoff Regan on July 21, notifying him that he’d be vacating his seat, effective midnight Aug. 3.

Mulcair and his colleagues marked his final day in the House of Commons back in June before Parliament rose for the summer.


Mulcair served as MP for the Montreal riding of Outremont since a 2007 byelection. The seat was long considered a Liberal stronghold, but Mulcair won it three more times.

He carried his party into and through the 2015 federal election, which saw the party’s seat count drop considerably, moving the party from official opposition, to third-party status. He subsequently lost the party’s support to remain leader at the 2016 convention, and was replaced by Jagmeet Singh in 2017.

Though retiring from politics, he is set to teach in the political science department at Universite de Montreal, and will appear as a political commentator on CJAD 800 in Montreal, CTV Power Play with Don Martin, and on CTV News Channel.

With Mulcair vacating his seat, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has up to 180 days to call the byelection in the riding. The election period for the byelection must last at least 36 days.

The NDP have named Julia Sanchez as the party’s candidate for the riding. In a tweet she said she’s looking forward to working on "addressing key priorities and concerns of the people of Outremont."

https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/mulcair-resigns-as-an-mp-putting-montreal-seat-up-for-grabs-1.4039832
cosmostein





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PostPosted: Fri Aug 03, 2018 4:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Lets say the over/under for margin of victory for the LPC is 20%?

Is anyone taking the under?
RCO





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PostPosted: Sun Aug 05, 2018 6:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

( according to reports online , Singh in fact will run in the Burnaby South by election although no date for it has been set and unclear if liberals will challenge him or not for the seat )



Federal NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh to run in Burnaby South byelection



Riding's outgoing MP Kennedy Stewart won his seat in 2015 by 547 votes over the Liberal candidate


CBC News · Posted: Aug 05, 2018 3:40 PM PT | Last Updated: 27 minutes ago



Singh has previously said that he has been encouraged to run for Parliament in the soon-to-be vacated British Columbia riding of Burnaby South. (Darryl Dyck/Canadian Press)


Federal NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh intends to run in the upcoming byelection in the Burnaby South riding of British Columbia, CBC News has learned.

The riding is held by NDP MP Kennedy Stewart, who is vacating his seat to run for mayor of Vancouver.


Two anonymous sources revealed the news about Singh to CBC. A party spokesperson said Singh will be "doing events" in the Greater Vancouver area on Wednesday and Thursday.

The spokesperson wouldn't confirm the decision, but said many people in the Metro Vancouver suburb have been encouraging Singh to run in the upcoming byelection.

"When Mr. Singh was in Burnaby last month he found that the problems people are facing there reflect so many of the issues Canadians are struggling with across the country," the spokesperson said in an email.

"Issues like uncertain and precarious work, special tax loopholes for the super rich, rising out-of-pocket health costs and longer waits times, unaffordable housing, and concerns about a clean environment."


NDP MP Kennedy Stewart is running as an independent candidate in Vancouver's upcoming election this fall. (CBC)

The spokesperson said Singh was "very moved by the support" and will make a decision in the near future.

The Burnaby South riding was created prior to the 2015 election, which Stewart won by 547 votes over the Liberal candidate.


The southern half of Burnaby has only elected NDP candidates since 2004, but prior to that had elected a mix of candidates from the Liberals, NDP and conservative parties.

A date for the byelection has yet to be set.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/federal-ndp-leader-jagmeet-singh-to-run-in-burnaby-south-byelection-1.4775082
Bugs





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PostPosted: Sun Aug 05, 2018 7:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

This should be interesting. It's a seat Jag can win, and it will be interesting to see how well he does. Will the Liberals run to win? Or will they take the 'high road' by letting him run virtually unopposed?
RCO





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PostPosted: Mon Aug 06, 2018 8:02 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bugs wrote:
This should be interesting. It's a seat Jag can win, and it will be interesting to see how well he does. Will the Liberals run to win? Or will they take the 'high road' by letting him run virtually unopposed?



if Singh wants the ndp nomination for that riding he'd be virtually guaranteed to get it being the party leader


its not clear if the liberals will even run a candidate . sometimes a new party leader is given a free pass to get a seat in the house

and even if the liberals tried to make a run for the riding , its unclear if they could beat Singh anyways

there will be a conservative candidate for sure , from what I've seen online the local riding association is preparing for the by election
RCO





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PostPosted: Mon Aug 06, 2018 11:59 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

(in other news an official notice of vacancy / by election for Outremont was released today , somehow I don't see the liberals allowing this one to sit empty for too long , when they are the favorites to win back the riding )



A by-election will take place in Outremont


PRESS RELEASE PR Newswire
Aug. 6, 2018, 12:14 PM



GATINEAU, QC, Aug. 6, 2018 /CNW/ -

•On Friday, August 3, 2018, the Chief Electoral Officer of Canada, Stéphane Perrault, received official notice from the Speaker of the House of Commons that the seat for Outremont (Quebec) is vacant. A by-election will take place to fill the vacant seat.

•The date of the by-election must be announced between August 14, 2018, and January 30, 2019. This announcement signals the start of the by-election period.

•The by-election period must last at least 36 days, and the by-election must be held on a Monday. Therefore, the earliest date that the Outremont by‑election can be held is Monday, September 24, 2018.

•The Canada Elections Act does not prescribe a maximum length of time for a by-election period.

•See a list of all vacant seats in the House of Commons since the 2015 general election.

Elections Canada is an independent, non-partisan agency that reports directly to Parliament.

Subscribe to our news service at elections.ca.

elections.ca



SOURCE Elections Canada


https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/a-by-election-will-take-place-in-outremont-1027434992
RCO





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PostPosted: Wed Aug 08, 2018 10:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

( singh apparently plans to run in Burnaby South , although unclear when it might be called as mp yet to officially vacate the seat , liberals also seem interested in nominating a candidate according to this article )



Jagmeet Singh to announce run for Parliament


Laura Payton, Ottawa News Bureau Online Producer

@laura_payton
.
Published Tuesday, August 7, 2018 12:00PM EDT
Last Updated Tuesday, August 7, 2018 12:11PM EDT

OTTAWA -- Federal NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh will announce Wednesday he's running for the Burnaby South seat in the House of Commons, CTV News has confirmed.

Singh won the federal NDP leadership last fall but isn't a member of Parliament. Reports indicated he would run to replace New Democrat MP Kennedy Stewart, who has resigned his seat to run in Vancouver's mayoral race.

Singh has an event in Burnaby, B.C. tomorrow.


"I know he's looking at it very closely," Stewart said in an interview with CTVNews.ca.

"I did approach Jagmeet suggesting that it might be good for him to run in Burnaby South. What's been very positive is when I mention it to people in Burnaby, is how excited they got," he said.

Stewart said Singh understands the city and knows the NDP supporters there.

Singh sat in the Ontario Legislature before his federal leadership run, representing the Toronto area riding of Bramalea-Gore-Malton. He held the seat from 2011 to 2017 and served as deputy leader of the Ontario NDP.

Stewart said he's not concerned that Singh isn't from the riding and noted former NDP leader Tommy Douglas, who had been premier of Saskatchewan, served in the riding after leaving Saskatchewan politics.

A Liberal Party spokesman suggested the Liberals won’t hold off on running a candidate in the riding to allow Singh to take the seat and join the House of Commons.

"The Liberal Party of Canada has always worked hard to represent Canadians from coast to coast to coast, and as such we welcome the opportunity to present a candidate in any riding which becomes vacant," Braeden Caley wrote in an email.

"Since Kennedy Stewart has announced that he will be resigning as MP, the Liberal Party of Canada has been approached by a variety of talented community leaders interested in becoming the Team Trudeau candidate for Burnaby South."

Stewart won the riding in 2015 by about 550 votes. Liberal candidate Adam Pankratz came second.

https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/jagmeet-singh-to-announce-run-for-parliament-1.4043229
RCO





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PostPosted: Tue Aug 14, 2018 3:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

( Singh Is now saying he'll move to the riding if he wins and run in it in 2019 , giving up on his original plans to run in Brampton )



Jagmeet Singh says he'll move to Burnaby if he wins election there


The federal NDP leader, Jagmeet Singh, will run in a byelection in Burnaby South.

Gordon Hoekstra
Updated: August 8, 2018



The federal NDP leader, Jagmeet Singh, will run in a byelection in Burnaby South, committing himself to a B.C. community that is 3,300 kilometres from his home in Ontario.

Singh said Wednesday that he would move to Burnaby if he wins and would run in Burnaby South in the 2019 general election as well.

“I am committed to Burnaby South. I am all in in Burnaby. My wife and I talked about it — and we are going to run here,” he said.

Asked directly if he would move to Burnaby if he won a seat, Singh said “absolutely.”

They were bold words from Singh, who lives in the Toronto area, and who is still trying to find his footing on the national stage after a surprise win in the NDP leadership race in October last year.

Singh argued that some of Burnaby’s issues — housing affordability, health care and the controversial $9.3-billion Trans Mountain pipeline expansion — were also national issues.

Said Singh: “We are going to talk about the issues that matter to people. And we are going use that platform I have as a leader to talk about housing, to talk about pharmacare, to talk about health care … (and) that we don’t need to be investing billions of dollars in a 65-year-old leaky pipeline. We need to be investing in clean-energy jobs today and tomorrow.”

Singh made his pitch in the sweltering heat, amplified by the asphalt at the outdoor movie studio, where about 150 supporters came to hear him speak.

Singh said he was seeking a seat through a byelection because he wanted to hold Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s government to account for a lack of action on issues such as housing and health care.

On health care, he accused the Liberals of cutting spending $36 billion over the next 10 years.

The Liberals are not cutting spending, however, but increasing it more slowly. Under a program implemented by the former-Conservative government — and kept by the Liberals — transfer increases to province will be tied to the growth in the economy.

David Moscrop, a Simon Fraser University political scientist, said Singh is running in Burnaby South simply because it is an open riding he believes he can win — and a pathway to get into parliament where he hopes to raise his profile and prove himself.

So far, Singh’s performance has been “underwhelming,” said Moscrop, a post-doctoral fellow in the scholarly communications lab at SFU.

Moscrop noted that other national leaders — including former prime minsters Brian Mulroney and Jean Chretien — ran in ridings other than where they live, although Singh is going much farther afield in search of a seat.

“I think if anything, this is to change the channel, get into the House of Commons and prove himself as a parliamentarian, to put himself on the map because I am not convinced anyone is paying any attention to him now,” said Moscrop. “There is probably some element of shoring up caucus support as well.”

The Burnaby South riding is considered a safe NDP seat, although there is always some risk, particularly since the Liberals have said they will contest the seat, Moscrop said.

The riding was won by only about 600 votes by NDP MP Kennedy Stewart in 2015 over his Liberal rival. It is vacant because Stewart stepped down to run for mayor of Vancouver. No date has been set for the byelection.

In a statement, the federal Liberals said the party looked forward to a campaign against Singh.


https://vancouversun.com/news/local-news/live-ndp-leader-jagmeet-singh-expected-to-announce-hell-run-in-burnaby-by-election
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Does Jagmeet Singh need a seat in the house ?

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