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PostPosted: Tue Feb 13, 2018 3:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

( it seems every special election even if its at the state level , is now being over examined to death to try and determine how it affects trump and the democrats . 2 special elections in Minnesota at the state level and no changes in either race )

Special election results: keeping the status quo at the Minnesota Capitol

By Briana Bierschbach | 10:39 am

Commissioner Karla Bigham
Commissioner Karla Bigham

Two new legislators will be sworn in to the Minnesota Legislature when session convenes next week, but the political power dynamics at the Capitol will remain the same.

That was the result of two hotly contested special elections Monday, with Democrat Karla Bigham winning a southeastern Twin Cities suburban Senate seat and Republican Jeremy Munson claiming victory in a southern Minnesota House district. Bigham replaces another Democrat, former Sen. Dan Schoen, and Munson replaces a fellow Republican, former Rep. Tony Cornish.

Both Schoen and Cornish resigned from the Legislature in December in the wake of allegations that they sexually harassed multiple women while in office. The nature of their departure, coupled with the heightened political climate under President Donald Trump’s administration, increased national attention and spending on the two legislative races. In particular, Democrats had hoped backlash against his administration would deliver victories in both districts, much like other recently competitive special elections have gone across the nation.

The results — maintaining the status quo — left the election open to interpretation by state politicos late Monday night, with both Republicans and Democrats saying the results proved their base was more energized.

Republican Party of Minnesota Chairwoman Jennifer Carnahan said Munson’s victory proves that Trump is still popular in Greater Minnesota, despite Democratic hopes that they could flip the seat in a special election. “Trump still maintains strong support across greater Minnesota,” she said in a statement. “People want to see Republicans continue to lead our state.”

Meanwhile, DFL Party Chairman Ken Martin said Bigham’s victory in a district that Trump won last fall shows activists are energized ahead of the 2018 election: “Karla’s win shows the immense energy behind our party heading into this pivotal election year.”

The race in the Senate also had the potential to strengthen the Republicans' power in the Senate, where they could have widened their majority to two votes. With Bigham’s victory, Republicans will once again maintain only a single vote majority in the chamber, 34-33.

Democrats could chip away at that majority further, pending a lawsuit arguing Michelle Fischbach, the Republican Senate president, cannot serve in that role and as lieutenant governor at the same time. Under the Constitution, she automatically became lieutenant governor in January, after Tina Smith was appointed to the U.S. Senate. A Ramsey County judge dismissed Democrats' lawsuit on Monday, but the ruling is likely to be appealed to the Minnesota Supreme Court.

The race to represent Senate District 54 was the closest of the night, with Bigham beating former Republican Rep. Denny McNamara by nearly 51 percent of the vote, or 529 votes. Libertarian Candidate Emily Mellingen earned 2 percent of the vote. In all, 14,479 people voted in the election.

Suburban and largely working-class, the district includes the cities of Cottage Grove, St. Paul Park, Hastings, Newport and Afton. The Senate seat has long been held by a Democrat, but House seats in the area are now held by Republicans, and last fall, Republican Donald Trump narrowly edged out Hillary Clinton in the district by garnering roughly 46 percent of the vote.

Jeremy Munson
Jeremy Munson

Bigham isn’t a newcomer to politics. She currently serves as a Washington County commissioner and previously served two terms in the Minnesota House and a stint in on the Cottage Grove City Council. She left the Legislature in 2010 to get a master of public affairs degree from the University of Minnesota. McNamara, who owns a landscape business in the district, served in the Minnesota House from 2003 until 2017, including a stint as chair of the Environment and Natural Resources Policy and Finance Committee.

“While I am proud of our effort and especially proud of our candidate Denny McNamara, we always knew it would be difficult to flip a district the DFL has held for decades,” Republican Senate Majority Leader Paul Gazelka said in a statement. “Special elections are all about turnout, and not enough people voted this time."

House District 23B, which covers numerous small towns and townships surrounding Blue Earth County in southern Minnesota, is more solidly conservative. It went for Trump with 58 percent of the vote, and Cornish easily won re-election last fall with more than 66 percent of the vote. Munson won the race with about 59 percent of the vote, beating Democratic social Worker Melissa Wagner. In all, 6,658 people voted in the House District 23B election.

Though Cornish originally backed a different Republican to run for his former seat, by Monday he said he was out working for Munson's campaign. "I am happier than a pig in mud that we have successfully trounced the evil empire," he said.

Munson, who lives in Lake Crystal, has been involved in state politics for years, first as chair of the Blue Earth County Republican group and now leading activists across the congressional district. After studying business at the University of Minnesota and spending some time working as a stock trader in New York City, he now runs a business in the district that consults with companies dealing with federal and state regulations. He also owns a four-acre vineyard that he wants to grow hops on to sell to Minnesota brewers.

In the House, Republicans keep their 77-57 advantage after Munson’s election Monday evening.

“Jeremy was born and raised in rural Minnesota and he understands issues affecting families in his area,” House Speaker Kurt Daudt said in a statement. “Voters in House District 23B elected a leader who will hit the ground running later this month.”


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PostPosted: Thu Feb 15, 2018 7:58 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Frankly, I don't see how any rational analyst can project a happy picture for House Democrats.

Trump has now taken his approval numbers into the 40ies. If you think that's bad, look at Hillary's numbers. Or Congress's. The tax reforms have past and are already a month old. His vision of returning industry appears to be coming true.

Already, with the existing immigration reforms, things haven't been this good for black people for decades. Trump has successfully finessed the DACA thing, and shown the Democrats as obstructionists. The immigration reforms will make America's immigration policy like Canada's.

On the horizon is a big infrastructure bill that will be good for America's working classes. It'll be better than it has been. If this is defeated, count on Trump to organize the theatrics so that the Democrats are once again exposed as obstructionists.

All things considered, the optics look good for Repubicans going into this next election.

There is the elephant in the room. Anyone with the least bit of a conspiratorial mind can easily see that the very heart of the American state -- in its State Department, Justice Department, Intelligence Departments and the IRS -- is a corrupt mess.

And it's all in the lap of the Democrats.

This is a tool that Trump can and will use. Meuller has turned up very little and his team is looking bad. There are bound to be arrests of top FBI people -- but where will it stop? Hillary Clinton is vulnerable, as is Obama. Who knows how Trump will cash in on this political gold mine? The threat of arrest will be enough to shut up his deep state opposition. Arrests will only be part of the effect.

This discussion gets into speculation very quickly, but trust me -- it's an asset in Trump's hands and a huge liability for the Democrats.

I'd rather be running as a Republican than a Democrat, myself.

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PostPosted: Fri Feb 16, 2018 9:21 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Mitt Romney announces US Senate run in Utah

Judson Berger By Judson Berger | Fox News

Romney announces Utah Senate run

Mitt Romney confirms on Twitter that he is running for Senate in Utah.

Mitt Romney announced Friday he will run for U.S. Senate in Utah to succeed the retiring Orrin Hatch, seeking a political comeback six years after his unsuccessful presidential campaign against then-President Barack Obama.

Romney announced on Twitter: "I am running for United States Senate to serve the people of Utah and bring Utah's values to Washington."

Romney, the 2012 Republican presidential nominee, is considered a heavy favorite for the Senate seat. He has emerged as a prominent critic of President Trump and, if he wins, could be poised to cause headaches for the administration from the other side of Pennsylvania Avenue.

While a former Massachusetts governor, Romney has deep ties to Utah. He attended Brigham Young University in Provo and helped turn around the scandal-plagued 2002 Winter Olympics in Salt Lake City -- moving to the state after losing the 2012 race.

A video message posted on Twitter Friday features that Olympics background. In the video, Romney gives voters an early look at his platform: fiscal responsibility, jobs and a moderate approach on immigration -- an apparent swipe at Trump policies.

“Utah has a lot to teach the politicians in Washington,” Romney says in the video. “Utah has balanced its budgets. Washington is buried in debt. Utah exports more abroad than it imports. Washington has that backwards. Utah welcomes legal immigrants from around the world. Washington sends immigrants a message of exclusion.”

The announcement was widely expected, though was delayed after Wednesday’s mass shooting at a Florida high school.

His Senate run hasn’t been welcomed by all.

Utah Republican Party Chairman Rob Anderson told The Salt Lake Tribune earlier this week that Romney was "keeping out candidates that I think would be a better fit for Utah because, let's face it, Mitt Romney doesn't live here, his kids weren't born here, he doesn't shop here." The GOP official went on to call Romney a “carpetbagger.”

Anderson released an apology later saying, “I regret that my comments about potential Senatorial candidate, Mitt Romney, came across as disparaging or unsupportive. That was never my intent.”

He continued, “I’ve no doubt that Mitt Romney satisfies all qualifications to run for Senate, and as Chairman of the Utah Republican Party, I will treat all candidates equally to ensure their path to the Party nomination is honest and fair.”

Anderson also said that Romney reached out to him in regards to his comments and “accepted my apology without hesitation.”


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PostPosted: Sat Feb 17, 2018 9:33 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

He will be a fine senator.

Will he be in the Trump camp? Wait and see. What so few seem to understand is that Trump has the agenda that almost everybody wants! Would the junior Senator from Utah be opposed to the tax reforms? Medical reform? The problem that the establishment Republicans have -- the few that are left -- is that they haven't been able to successfully take issue with Trump without losing popular support.

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PostPosted: Mon Feb 19, 2018 4:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

( there may be new boundaries for congressional districts in Pennsylvania where there is 18 districts many of the ones outside major cities are republican )

Pennsylvania Supreme Court issues new election map

The revised map of Pennsylvania's 18 congressional districts as drawn by the state's Supreme Court

The revised map of Pennsylvania's 18 congressional districts as drawn by the state's Supreme Court (Twitter/jjabbott)

HARRISBURG, Pa. – Pennsylvania's high court issued a new congressional district map for the state's 2018 elections on its self-imposed deadline Monday, all but ensuring that Democratic prospects will improve in several seats and that Republican lawmakers challenge it in federal court.

The map of Pennsylvania's 18 congressional districts is to be in effect for the May 15 primary and substantially overhauls a congressional map widely viewed as among the nation's most gerrymandered. The map was approved in a 4-3 decision.

Most significantly, the new map likely gives Democrats a better shot at winning seats in Philadelphia's heavily populated and moderate suburbs, where Republicans had held seats in bizarrely contorted districts, including one labeled "Goofy Kicking Donald Duck."

The redrawn map could boost the Democratic Party's quest to capture control of the U.S. House and dramatically change Pennsylvania's predominantly Republican, all-male delegation.

Meanwhile, sitting congressmen, dozens of would-be candidates and millions of voters have to sort out which district they live in barely a month before the candidates' deadline to submit paperwork to run.

Republican lawmakers are expected to quickly challenge the map in federal court, arguing that legislatures and governors, not courts, have the constitutional responsibility to draw congressional maps.

The Democratic-majority state Supreme Court ruled last month in a party line decision that the district boundaries unconstitutionally put partisan interests above neutral line-drawing criteria, such as keeping districts compact and eliminating municipal and county divisions.

The decision is the first time a state court threw out congressional boundaries in a partisan gerrymandering case and handed a victory to the group of registered Democratic voters who sued last June in a lawsuit backed by the League of Women Voters.

Candidates can start circulating petitions to run in their new district in a little over a week, Feb. 27. Pennsylvania has seen a surge in interest in running for Congress with six incumbents elected in 2016 not running again -- the most in four decades -- and Democrats vehemently opposing President Donald Trump.

Pennsylvania's Republican delegation has provided a crucial pillar of support for Republican control of the U.S. House since 2010.

Republicans who controlled the Legislature and governor's office after the 2010 census crafted it to elect Republicans and succeeded in that aim: Republicans won 13 of 18 seats in three straight elections under the now-invalidated map, even though Pennsylvania's statewide elections are often closely divided and registered Democratic voters outnumber Republicans.

The new map will not apply to the March 13 special congressional election in southwestern Pennsylvania's 18th District between Republican Rick Saccone and Democrat Conor Lamb


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PostPosted: Tue Feb 20, 2018 9:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Pennsylvania GOP slams election-map 'power grab' as 'judicial activism,' will challenge

Judson Berger By Judson Berger | Fox News

Pennsylvania court redraws congressional districts

The redrawn map could boost the Democratic Party's quest to capture control of the U.S. House; GOP lawmakers are expected to challenge the map in federal court.

Pennsylvania Republicans, egged on by President Trump, on Tuesday blasted a court decision to impose new congressional maps as a “power grab” by Democrats and vowed to challenge the move in federal court.

“This map constitutes a new standard for judicial activism,” Pennsylvania Republican Party Chairman Val DiGiorgio said in a statement. “This power grab is an affront to over 200 years of precedent and nothing short of judicial-mandering.”

The Democratic-majority state Supreme Court voted 4-3 on Monday to impose the new congressional district map it drew, seen as a boost for Democrats.

The map of Pennsylvania's 18 congressional districts is to be in effect for the May 15 primary and substantially overhauls a Republican-drawn map widely viewed as among the nation's most gerrymandered.


The revised congressional map submitted by the Pennsylvania Supreme Court Monday. (Pennsylvania Supreme Court)

The decision swiftly drew national attention on Monday. And on Tuesday, President Trump urged state Republicans to challenge it.

“Hope Republicans in the Great State of Pennsylvania challenge the new ‘pushed’ Congressional Map, all the way to the Supreme Court, if necessary. Your Original was correct! Don’t let the Dems take elections away from you so that they can raise taxes & waste money!” he tweeted.

DiGiorgio said, “I expect we will be challenging this in federal court."

He accused the court of causing “chaos” by drawing residents into new districts and candidates out of their old districts, while allegedly diluting GOP voters.


Pennsylvania's current congressional map, drawn in 2011. (Pennsylvania Supreme Court)

“The Pennsylvania Supreme Court, by acting as judge, executive and legislature has trampled on the concept of separation of powers and violated the Pennsylvania and U.S. Constitution,” he said.

Democrats similarly have claimed Republicans were carefully drawing districts to favor their own, especially in Philadelphia’s suburbs.

There, Republicans have held seats in bizarrely contorted districts, including one labeled "Goofy Kicking Donald Duck."

The court ruled last month that Republicans who redrew district boundaries in 2011 unconstitutionally put partisan interests above neutral line-drawing criteria. It was the first time any state court threw out congressional boundaries in a partisan gerrymandering case, this one brought by registered Democratic voters and the League of Women Voters last June.

The new map reunifies Democratic-heavy cities that had been split by Republican map drawers six years ago.

"It remedies the outrageous gerrymander of 2011, and that's the important thing, that the gerrymander be over," said David Landau, the Democratic Party chairman of Delaware County, site of the "Goofy Kicking Donald Duck" district. "All that zigging and zagging is all gone, and it makes Delaware County a competitive seat now."

The Pennsylvania Supreme Court had a Monday deadline to come up with a redistricting map.

Republicans have won 13 of the 18 congressional seats in the last three election cycles when the current, now invalidated, map took effect.

Pennsylvania Democratic Gov. Tom Wolf praised the court decision and said residents are “are sick and tired of gerrymandering.”

“Now, my focus will be on making sure the Department of State can support our counties and all candidates in the election process, particularly during the petition period. My administration will work expeditiously to update Department of State systems and ensure all processes are in place to assist candidates for Congress,” he said in a statement.


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PostPosted: Mon Mar 05, 2018 6:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

( another GOP senator is retiring but from deeply republican Mississippi , so will be 2 senate elections there in 2018 )

Mississippi GOP Sen. Thad Cochran resigning April 1 amid health challenge

Brooke Singman By Brooke Singman | Fox News

Republican Sen. Thad Cochran announced Monday he will resign from his post on April 1, amid health challenges, after serving 40 years in the U.S. Senate.

Cochran, R-Miss., who sits as the chairman of the influential Senate Appropriations Committee, said he would “formally retire” following the completion of the 2018 appropriations cycle.

“I regret my health has become an ongoing challenge,” Cochran said in a statement. “I intent to fulfill my responsibilities and commitments to the people of Mississippi and the Senate through the completion of the 2018 appropriations cycle, after which I will formally retire from the U.S. Senate.”

Cochran was first elected to the Senate in 1978, becoming the first Republican in more than 100 years to win a statewide election in Mississippi. He is the tenth-longest serving senator in U.S. history. Prior to joining the Senate, Cochran served three terms in the House of Representatives.

U.S. Sen. Thad Cochran, R-Miss., addresses supporters and volunteers at his runoff election victory party Tuesday, June 24, 2014, at the Mississippi Children's Museum in Jackson, Miss. Cochran defeated state Sen. Chris McDaniel of Ellisville, in a primary runoff for the GOP nomination for senate. (AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis)

Cochran is the tenth-longest serving senator in U.S. history. (AP, File)

Cochran spent weeks recuperating from a “urological issue” in Mississippi in September of last year.

Fox News, at the time, learned Cochran was being treated for prostate issues, but a source underscored that his condition was not serious or cancerous.

“It has been a great honor to serve the people of Mississippi and our country. I’ve done my best to make decision in the best interests of our nation, and my beloved state. My top concern has always been my constituents in Mississippi,” Cochran said Monday. “My hope is by making this announcement now, a smooth transition can be ensured so their voice will continue to be heard in Washington D.C.”

Cochran added: “My efforts, and those of my staff, to assist them will continue and transfer to my successor.”

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., praised Cochran’s work in the Senate.

“Thad’s well-earned reputation as a ‘quiet persuader’ has endeared him to all his colleagues. Whatever the issue at hand, his allies and adversaries have always admired his unfailingly even keel, sober expertise, and respectful demeanor,” McConnell said in a statement, sending the Senate’s “warmest wishes for his retirement.”

Cochran’s resignation leaves both Mississippi Senate seats in play for the 2018 Midterm elections. The state’s primary election will be held on June 5. Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Wicker is seeking re-election.


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PostPosted: Tue Mar 06, 2018 9:03 am    Post subject: Reply with quote


· 2 hours ago

Texas holds first 2018 primary amid surge of Democratic voters

By Andrew O'Reilly | Fox News

Democrats see signs of a surge in Texas

Leftist Democrats launch fierce primary battles against moderate incumbents. Fox News contributor Karl Rove gives his take.

The midterm election season officially kicks off on Tuesday, when Texas voters head to the polls for the nation’s first primary of 2018.

With early voting already suggesting a record turnout for Democrats, and widespread speculation about what effect an endorsement by President Trump will have on Republican candidates, the Texas primaries are being looked at as both a bellwether for the rest of the nation - and a sign the red state could be turning purple more quickly than expected.

“What these primaries really boil down to is one issue: Trump versus anti-Trump,” Cal Jillson, a political science professor at Southern Methodist University, told Fox News. “There is relatively little talk about the issues for either party. It’s a race to the margins. Democrats are all against the president, while with Republicans it’s about staying close to Trump, and whether that hurts or helps them.”

While initially skipping some major Republican candidates in the Lone Star state, Trump went all in early last week when, in a series of tweets, supported a number of top-tier Texas Republicans.

"I want to encourage all of my many Texas friends to vote in the primary for Governor Greg Abbott, Senator Ted Cruz, Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick, and Attorney General Ken Paxton. They are helping me to Make America Great Again! Vote early or on March 6th," Trump tweeted.

Texas Land Commissioner George P. Bush also got Trump’s endorsement, with the president saying the nephew and grandson of two former presidents “backed me when it wasn't the politically correct thing to do, and I back him now.”

Unlike Cruz, Abbott, Patrick and Paxton – incumbents who are expected to easily win the GOP nomination in their campaigns – Bush is facing a tough battle against his predecessor in the land office, Jerry Patterson. A recent University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll found that when voters were allowed to be undecided, Bush mustered only 36 percent of the vote in his race.

It remains to be seen whether a Trump endorsement will hurt or help Bush. But either way, it puts the politician in a strange situation as he tries to merge the backing of the anti-establishment president with that of his storied political family. The Bush dynasty was built on moderate conservative policy positions, and was strongly against Trump in the 2016 race, where George P.’s father, Jeb, ran against him.

Texas Voters Primary 2

(The Associated Press)

“What Bush would like to do is establish an identity as someone who is new and going to shake up the status quo. This is doubly difficult when you have a famous last name,” Daron Shaw, a political scientist at the University of Texas at Austin and former campaign strategist for George W. Bush, told the Houston Chronicle. “Bush is attempting to reinforce the notion that he is his own man and a politician for the 2020s, not the 1980s.”

A recent poll from UT Austin/Texas Tribune found 83 percent of Texas Republicans supportive of Trump.

Experts say Republicans will need a big turnout if the party hopes to counter the groundswell of interest for the Democrats.

FILE - In this Feb. 26, 2013 file photo, George P. Bush, left, talks to businessmen prior to making the opening statements at the Texas Business Leadership Council in Austin, Texas. Ending months of speculation about what post the grandson of one former U.S. president and nephew of another planned to seek, spokesman Trey Newton told The Associated Press that Bush filed the official paperwork Tuesday, March 12, 2013 to run for land commissioner, a popular stepping stone to higher office.(AP Photo/Eric Gay, File)

George P. Bush. (The Associated Press)

Despite midterm elections drawing much less interest than presidential election years, by Saturday more than 885,000 people in Texas had voted early or by mail in the state’s most populous counties. That's a 50 percent increase from 2014, which marked the previous high of 592,000.

The early numbers also indicate that for the first time since 2008, more Texas Democrats will vote in their primary than Republicans. By Saturday, the Texas Secretary of State’s office noted 465,000 people voted in the Democratic Primary in the state’s 15 largest counties, compared to just about 420,000 Republicans.

There are a number of reasons for the uptick in Democratic voter turnout – more female candidates, the emergence of closet Democrats and a dislike of both Trump and the socially conservative Texas Republican Party – and analysts say this should worry Republicans.

“This Democratic surge looks really impressive,” Jillson said. “Having Democratic turnout surpass Republicans is a big deal in Texas, and should have the GOP scared.”

U.S. Representative Beto O'Rourke (D-TX) campaigns in Houston, Texas U.S. November 11, 2017. REUTERS/William Philpott - RC155B415260

U.S. Representative Beto O'Rourke, D-Texas, campaigning in Houston last November. (REUTERS/William Philpott)

But Jillson noted the surge in Democrats voting will likely not be enough to turn the state blue as incumbent Republicans, both in national and statewide races, are unlikely to be toppled.

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, for example, is likely to face Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke who, despite being a fundraising powerhouse and an emerging party favorite, is not considered a true contender. A recent Texas Politics Project poll found nearly 40 percent of Texas voters have no idea who O’Rourke even is.

“The Democratic surge will show some results, but not enough to flip the state,” Jillson said. “They’re on a slow march, but unless the GOP fumbles this election really badly, Texas will not turn blue.”


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PostPosted: Mon Mar 12, 2018 1:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

( there is a special election tomorrow in Pennsylvania , in a rural district outside of pittsburg , such a vote would normally generate no press or attention but this year is different and its seen as a test of trump's appeal as its the type of area he did well in , rural rust belt type towns and such )

In Pennsylvania special election, the silence of Democrat Conor Lamb speaks volumes to Trump voters

Lauren DeBellis AppellOPINION By Lauren DeBellis Appell | Fox News

Conor Lamb and Rick Saccone battle for coal country

The Pennsylvania special election candidates fight for the coal miner and union worker vote.

Having grown up in Western Pennsylvania, specifically the 18th congressional district, and driving back over the years through mountains and valleys along the Monongahela River, I’ve witnessed the economic decline of the once booming steel towns that dot the region. People have been forced to leave the area in pursuit of better jobs and opportunities.

Administrations, both Democrat and Republican, have promised to deliver change. Every election they campaign on it, then they get elected and middle America gets forgotten.

That tide shifted with the election of President Trump. So far, he’s doing everything he said he would do.

On Tuesday, voters in the18th District have a choice in a special election between Republican State Representative Rick Saccone, a former Air Force Counter Intelligence Officer, and Democrat Conor Lamb, a former Marine and Assistant U.S. Attorney.

A vote for Conor Lamb would be a vote for the Democrat party whose failed policies are more of the same. They’re policies that have forgotten about middle America, which is the heart and soul of the 18th district.

They’ve driven out industrial and manufacturing jobs and mired small businesses with taxes and regulations. Put quite frankly: why would anyone want to go back to the failed policies of the past that left this entire region devastated?

Lamb is young, good looking, and charismatic. However, good looks don’t create jobs, revitalize the economy, and let you keep more of your money.

Rick Saccone will be a needed ally to President Trump at a time when even some Republicans want to oppose him and govern from the swamp. Saccone will support the president’s policies to continue to “Make America Great Again” - policies that are delivering on the hope and change we were promised under President Obama but never saw.

When Hillary Clinton, the presidential candidate from Conor Lamb’s party, said she was going to put coal miners and coal companies out of business during the presidential election, where was Conor Lamb? He was eerily silent when his party’s candidate said she’d take jobs away from people in his state, and now he’s asking those people for their vote.

Coal miners, steel workers and the working class people who supply these industries with their family businesses overwhelmingly voted for President Trump. For the first time in decades, they’re getting the attention they deserve.

In June, a new coal mine opened in nearby Somerset county, marking the first time a mine has opened in the country in years. Corsa Coal Company’s CEO said, “The tone of government has completely changed. Coal is no longer a four letter word.”

He also credited President Trump with rolling back regulations and supporting the development of more energy resources at home such as coal, shale oil, and natural gas. That means more jobs for working families in Western Pennsylvania.

The Somerset County Commissioner said of the coal mine, “It will put guys back to work and put money in their pockets. It’s going to be a boom for everyone.”

Where was Conor Lamb when the coal mine opened? Did he have any good words for his fellow Pennsylvanians, who had waited so long for good news? Once again he was eerily silent. Had his party’s candidate won the presidency the coal industry would be losing jobs not creating them.

People in Western Pennsylvania, like the rest of the country, have seen increases in their paychecks thanks to the Trump tax cuts, which Lamb opposed. Small businesses are no longer saddled with regulations and have found relief because of the tax cuts, as well. A CNBC survey out last month found that optimism among small businesses for the president’s tax cuts hit a new high.

Likewise, there is a great deal of support in Western Pennsylvania for the President’s plan to impose tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, except from Canada and Mexico. The tariffs would help protect those steel and aluminum jobs that are still the heart of the region. Jim McCaffrey, a senior vice president for coal sales at Consol Energy said the tariffs could "revive the American steel industry."

Lamb is young, good looking, and charismatic. Outwardly, he’s got all the makings of a politician.

However, good looks don’t create jobs, revitalize the economy, and let you keep more of your money. On substance, he’s part of the party of politics as usual that has done nothing to help Western Pennsylvania.

He is the past, Saccone and Trump are the future.

It appears that Lamb is pulling the wool over people’s eyes in what is a conservative, Democrat district. While publicly trying to play himself off as a moderate, he is anything but that. In fact, his recent extreme, anti-Israel comments that surfaced from his time at the University of Pennsylvania would suggest that he’ll fit right in with the far-left Washington establishment liberals.

While a student at the university, he was upset about an ad in the school newspaper, the Daily Pennsylvanian, that was supportive of Israel. Commenting in the paper Lamb said, "It was disheartening to see the add (sic) in the DP the other day which read, ‘Wherever we stand, we stand with Israel.’" He went on to say that Israel was guilty of terrorism and their government targeted civilians.

Saccone, like Trump, understands that Israel is one of America’s closest allies. Lamb does not.

When voters go to the polls on Tuesday they can choose to vote for Rick Saccone and continue the pro-economic, pro-growth policies of President Trump that are bringing jobs back to the region. Their other choice is to vote for Conor Lamb and the policies of the party of Nancy Pelosi and Hillary Clinton, who want to ship industrial jobs overseas, and refer to the pay raises and bonuses that millions of people have received as “crumbs.”

This is Conor Lamb’s party. If he wins, where will Conor Lamb be, on the side of the people or the party? His eerie silence has been deafening.

Bueller, Bueller…..anyone???


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PostPosted: Mon Mar 12, 2018 1:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

( there spending more on this special election which is for a term less than a year for only 1 seat , than political parties spend on entire provincial elections in Canada )

Analysis: The math behind Democrats' quest to win Pennsylvania special election

By MaryAlice Parks

Mar 12, 2018, 6:04 AM ET

For the past five months, Democrats and Republicans alike have been pouring money into the next special election that takes place Tuesday in Pennsylvania’s 18th Congressional district.

Feeling bullish after big wins in other special elections last year and enjoying a groundswell of grassroots activism these days, Democrats are hoping a win in this ruby red district will not only make it easier for them to take back the House in November, but also send a message that their candidates can play in any part of the country.

But while both sides have decided that the race is worth digging deep into their pocketbooks, the fact remains that, unlike Virginia and part of Georgia where candidates also went head to head last year, this area in Pennsylvania voted solidly and overwhelmingly Republican in 2016.

According to our ABC News analysis, Democrat Conor Lamb would need to pull off an electorate trifecta of sorts to win the race, by greatly increasing the Democrat turnout over what it would typically be in a midterm or special election, convincing moderate or swing voters to go blue and lucking out with depressed Republican turnout.

PHOTO: Former Vice President Joe Biden campaigns for Conor Lamb, right, the Democratic candidate for the March 13 special election in Pennsylvanias 18th Congressional District, during a rally in Collier, Pa., March 6, 2018.Gene J. Puskar/AP

Former Vice President Joe Biden campaigns for Conor Lamb, right, the Democratic candidate for the March 13 special election in Pennsylvania's 18th Congressional District, during a rally in Collier, Pa., March 6, 2018.more +

President Donald Trump won this area by 20 points in 2016, and even in the most heavily Democratic precincts in the district right around Pittsburgh, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton only won on average 56 percent of the vote. By comparison, nearly half of the total votes cast in the district in 2016, came from precincts where president Trump won by over 30 percentage points.

If the rest of the 2016 Clinton-Trump modeling performance stayed the same and if, for example, Lamb was able to bring out his own wave of Democratic voters and increase the number of votes in the most heavily Democratic precincts so those areas made up 10 percentage points more of total vote as compared to in 2016, that still would only get him within 15 percent of Republican Rick Saccone in the special election.

Likewise, if Lamb outperformed Clinton in the most heavily Democratic areas and most Republican areas, and, for the purposes of debate, took 72 percent of the vote in the bluest areas where Clinton only took 56 percent and 41 percent in the reddest areas where Clinton only took 26 percent, that would still only get Lamb within nine points.

State Rep. Greg Rothman serves with Sacconne in the Pennsylvania legislature and worked on the team that helped Trump win in the state. According to Rothman and other experts from the area, union, blue-collar workers who traditionally voted as conservative Democrats made all the difference in a securing the president’s win in the area.

Rothman told ABC News he thinks those same voters are excited to vote for Saccone.

He said if turnout was high that would “absolutely” be good for Saccone.

“The reality is it is a safe Republican seat, and I believe people will show up to vote for the guy they know and for Donald Trump’s agenda because they like what is happening,” he said.

In order to make up the 20 point differential from 2016, Lamb would likely need to outperform Clinton in almost every type of district, not only doing better than Clinton did against Trump in the bluest areas but also doing significantly better in the reddest areas and breaking near even with the Republican in the more moderate, average parts of the district where Trump in 2016 won by around 20-21 points.

Lamb’s best shot at eeking out a victory will be if he increases the turnout in the bluest areas, wins a higher percentage of the bluest areas and also swings folks in the reddest parts of the district.

PHOTO: Republican congressional candidate Rick Saccone waves while President Donald Trump speaks to supporters at the Atlantic Aviation Hanger on March 10, 2018 in Moon Township, Pa.Jeff Swensen/Getty Images

Republican congressional candidate Rick Saccone waves while President Donald Trump speaks to supporters at the Atlantic Aviation Hanger on March 10, 2018 in Moon Township, Pa.more +

One hypothetical model that puts Lamb just over 50 percent, includes, for example, him increasing the percentage of the vote that comes from the bluest areas by nine points, winning four percent more of the vote than Clinton did in those bluest areas, breaking even with Saccone in areas in the district Trump won by 21 points and, in the reddest areas were Trump won by 46 percent, only losing to Saccone by about 15.

Democrats in Washington, D.C. told ABC News they think Lamb has benefited from the Republican tax plan, which they argue is a "handout to the rich and largest corporations at the expense of the middle-class families."

"John McCain, Mitt Romney, and Donald Trump all won Pennsylvania’s 18th district by at least 15 points, so the fact that this race is neck-and-neck clarifies that this tax scam is a political liability. The scary thing for vulnerable House Republicans this year is that neither the National Republican Congressional Committee nor [aligned super PAC] seem to have any clue what to do about it," Tyler Law, spokesperson for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee told ABC News in an email.

PHOTO: A volunteer places campaign signs for Republican congressional candidate Rick Saccone outside the VFW Post 4793, March 5, 2018 in Waynesburg, Pa. Saccone is running in a tight race for the vacated seat of Congressman Tim Murphy against Conor Lamb. Jeff Swensen/Getty Images

A volunteer places campaign signs for Republican congressional candidate Rick Saccone outside the VFW Post 4793, March 5, 2018 in Waynesburg, Pa. Saccone is running in a tight race for the vacated seat of Congressman Tim Murphy against Conor Lamb. more +

Saccone, has received nearly $10.3 million support from super PACs and outside groups, including $3.3 million from the House-aligned super-PAC called the Congressional Leadership Fund and $3.5 million from the official election arm of the House Republican conference. Typically, groups like these do not spend so heavily unless they are worried about retaining the seat.

Had they calculated the seat was safe or a lost cause, they likely would have scaled back their spending.

On the other side of the aisle, Lamb has raised nearly $3.5 million since January for his campaign directly, and outside groups backing him have spent only about $1.7 million in the race so far.


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PostPosted: Mon Mar 12, 2018 1:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Republicans wage 11th-hour blitz in Pa. special election

The GOP tried everything to save itself and Donald Trump from embarrassment — including calling Democrat Conor Lamb too conservative.

| 03/12/2018 05:00 AM EDT

President Donald Trump talks with Republican Rick Saccone.

President Donald Trump talks with Republican congressional candidate Rick Saccone during a campaign rally March 10 in Moon Township, Pa. The White House was hoping to energize GOP voters. | Keith Srakocic/AP Photo

MOON TOWNSHIP, Pa. — Republicans mounted a last-ditch stand here to save their struggling candidate for a House seat deep in the heart of Trump country, unleashing the party's full arsenal to stave off a major embarrassment for the president and GOP heading into the midterms.

Nearly every corner of the national party was involved in the final push over the weekend — from the Republican National Committee, which deployed staffers from Washington to knock on doors; to a cash-flush GOP super PAC that orchestrated an under-the-radar effort to diminish Democratic hopeful Conor Lamb’s standing with liberal voters; to the powerful Koch political network, which is spending hundreds of thousands of dollars on a mail and field deployment campaign ahead of Tuesday’s closely watched special election.

And then there was President Donald Trump, who flew here on Saturday evening to campaign with Republican nominee Rick Saccone, an appearance the White House hopes will energize GOP voters who’ve yet to rally behind the underperforming candidate.

The multimillion-dollar undertaking underscored the enormous stakes for the party in the southwestern Pennsylvania district, which Trump won by 20 points but where polls show Lamb and Saccone locked in a tight race. A loss here would be an ominous sign for the party in the run-up to November, starkly illustrating its softening support even in Trump strongholds.

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It would also raise questions about whether the themes the GOP has thrust to the forefront of the race — namely its tax cuts and opposition to House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi — are as potent as the party had hoped.

By the end of the weekend, Republicans had dropped more than $8 million on TV ads, outspending Democrats nearly 2 to 1, according to media buying figures. In an indication of just how much capital the administration is expending on the contest, Donald Trump Jr. is slated to campaign with Saccone on Monday, two days after his father staged a rally.

As the contest hurtled into its final days, Lamb, a square-jawed 33-year-old Marine veteran and former federal prosecutor who has appealed to voters in both parties, presented himself as a consummate underdog. Addressing a standing-room-only rally at the Greene County Fairgrounds in Waynesburg on Sunday afternoon, Lamb said the grass-roots support he’d received had allowed him to withstand the advertising barrage from Republican-aligned outside groups.

“They use these same tactics everywhere around the country, but I think when they came to western Pennsylvania, they weren’t counting on what they were going to find here,” he said.

At a rally with Lamb at the United Steelworkers headquarters in downtown Pittsburgh on Friday, Democratic Rep. Mike Doyle, the dean of the state’s congressional delegation, marveled at how much Republicans had spent on the race.

“The president comes in for his second visit, the vice president has been here, Ivanka’s been here, Cabinet secretaries have been here, 10 kitchen sinks has been thrown here, $15 million has been spent here, and that Marine is still standing,” Doyle exclaimed.

Yet there’s evidence the Republican offensive might be having some effect. A data analysis completed by the RNC during the middle of last week showed Lamb leading just 48 percent to 47 percent, according to two people briefed on the numbers. The Democrat’s advantage had shrunk from 4 percentage points in the committee’s previous analysis of the race days earlier.

Saccone, a 60-year-old state legislator and retired Air Force officer, was optimistic that momentum was “swinging our way.”

“It’s a special election, so it’s all about turnout,” Saccone said at the Allegheny County Republican Party headquarters on Friday, when he was asked why the race was so close. “Our people get out, we win, and there’s no problem.”


But Saccone vented frustration at the media for their coverage of the race, saying they had given Lamb flattering coverage while largely ignoring Saccone‘s accomplishments.

“The media fawns over my opponent, trying to stretch his little thin résumé and trying to make it sound like it’s something big, when I have a big résumé that they try and scrunch down and don’t say anything about,” he said.

Senior Republicans have called Saccone a lackluster candidate who has heavily leaned on the national party to run his campaign. Trump himself has been down on Saccone in private; at the rally, the president tried to gin up some excitement for him.

Trump described Saccone as a “really good person,” told his supporters to “go out on Tuesday and vote like crazy,” and highlighted his decision to impose tariffs on imported steel and aluminum. Party officials hope the tariffs announcement will win over labor workers in the union-heavy district.

At the same time, Republicans are trying to dampen Lamb’s support among liberals, whom he needs to show up in big numbers in order to win. Congressional Leadership Fund, a House GOP-aligned outside group, sent mailers to liberal households in the district outlining Lamb’s pro-gun credentials and his support for the Second Amendment.

“Thank you Conor Lamb for opposing gun restrictions,” say the mailers.

The super PAC has also sent advertisements to Democratic voters saying that Lamb had opposed a $15 minimum wage and that he “abandoned PA labor unions,” who were “outraged” by him.

U.S. President Donald Trump speaks at a campaign rally at Atlantic Aviation in Moon Township, Pa., Saturday, March 10, 2018. (AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster)

At Pennsylvania rally, Trump endorses himself


Lamb was concerned enough about the GOP maneuver that late last week he launched a TV ad to explain his views on guns. The commercial said Lamb “supports strengthening background checks to keep guns from criminals and people in need of mental health treatment.”

As they funneled into Trump’s rally on Saturday, some of the president’s supporters conceded they were worried. They said Lamb had waged a surprisingly energetic campaign for such a conservative district.

“I’ve seen a lot more Conor Lamb signs in my neighborhood,” said Tracy Barzan, a 45-year-old stay-at-home mom whose 13-year-old son, Gavin, wore a Trump hat signed by Mike Pence.

“A lot of people I’ve heard from who are voting for Conor Lamb are doing so because of his age, him being younger, and looking at it that he has fresh ideas,” she added.

A loss on Tuesday would be a painful blow for Republicans, given the pro-Trump tilt of the district and the importance the president has placed on Pennsylvania. The state was a keystone of Trump’s 2016 electoral coalition, and he has visited a handful of times since his inauguration.

Before his visit on Saturday, some of the president’s loyalists questioned whether Trump should skip the campaign event, worried that he'd take even more blame if Saccone loses. But others argued the president had little to lose.

“If Rick Saccone somehow loses on Tuesday, regardless of whether the president made the trip on Saturday or not, the media will blame the president,” said David Urban, who oversaw Trump’s 2016 campaign in the state. “It reminds me of, ‘Heads I lose, tails you win.’”


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PostPosted: Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Much like Georgia's 6th, this is all win win for the Democrats;
You win, great. You lose, but you lose by less than last time, great.

They are contesting a competitive election in a House Seat that the Democrats haven't held since 2002.

What makes it more challenging is this district is fairly representative of the coalition of voters that elected the current President.

If the GOP doesn't retain then it certainly puts the Pennsylvania 1st, 5th, 6th, and 7th into play and potentially the 17th.

This one is more important than those that came prior.

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PostPosted: Tue Mar 13, 2018 5:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Voters deciding whether to keep U.S. House seat in GOP hands

Bill Barrow and Marc Levy, The Associated Press
Published Tuesday, March 13, 2018 9:10AM EDT
Last Updated Tuesday, March 13, 2018 12:50PM EDT

MT. LEBANON, Pa. -- Democrat Conor Lamb, fighting for an upset victory in a congressional district that Donald Trump easily won in 2016, insisted Tuesday as voters headed to the polls that the race wasn't about the larger-than-life personality in the White House.

"This didn't have much to do with President Trump," Lamb said after voting outside Pittsburgh, where he's locked in an unexpectedly tight race with Republican Rick Saccone in a special election that serves as a barometer ahead of November's midterm elections.

But the president himself has embedded his footprints in the race, campaigning twice in person and tweeting even more for Saccone as part of a full-court press by national GOP forces to avoid what would be an embarrassing defeat.

The bid by Lamb, a 33-year-old Marine veteran and former federal prosecutor, in Pennsylvania's 18th Congressional District has become symbolic of the larger national fight as both parties careen toward November for the first midterms of the Trump era.

Democrats must flip 24 GOP-held seats to reclaim a House majority, and no one was counting on this Pittsburgh-area district that Trump won by 20 percentage points in the presidential race to be in play. Longtime Republican congressman Tim Murphy was re-elected to the seat in 2016 without Democratic opposition for his eighth term.

But Murphy, who espoused strong anti-abortion views, resigned last fall amid revelations of an extramarital affair in which he urged his lover to get an abortion when they thought she was pregnant.

At his polling place in southern Allegheny County, Saccone downplayed the significance of the unusual competitiveness. "The Democrats ... they're throwing everything they can at this race," he said. "There hasn't been an open seat for a long time."

Besides bruising the president, a Lamb defeat also could shake Republican self-assurance that their new tax law is an omnipotent offence and defence in their midterm matchups.

With polls showing a tight race for months, Saccone has implored the GOP-leaning electorate that their choice is about "making America great again," just as the president says.

The 60-year-old Air Force veteran turned state lawmaker and college instructor enjoys enthusiastic backing from social conservatives who've anchored his state career, and he's perhaps at his most animated when he touts his opposition to abortion rights.

Yet Saccone struggled to raise money and stir the same passions that helped Trump sweep the industrial Midwest on his way to the White House. The consistent fundraising deficit has left him with limited resources to air the message he delivers one-on-one: His four decades of experience in the private sector, international business and now the legislature make voters' choice a no-brainer.

Ultimately, though, it's Saccone's embrace of Trump that would make the difference for him. He'll need plenty of voters like Brett Gelb, a 48-year-old fire technician who cast his ballot for Saccone in Lamb's home precinct. "Saccone backs a lot of President Trump's plans for the country," Gelb explained.

Lamb, meanwhile, has excited core Democrats and aimed for independents and moderate Republicans.

"We worked really hard for it," Lamb said at his polling place.

He did it as national Republican groups filled airwaves and social media with depictions of the first-time candidate as little more than a lemming for Nancy Pelosi -- the California Democrat, House minority leader and GOP punching bag.

Seemingly embracing the attacks, Lamb countered with an ad calling it all "a big lie" since he'd already declared he wouldn't support Pelosi as floor leader, much less a return to the speaker's rostrum. He's added his opposition to major new gun restrictions -- though he backs expanded background checks -- and declared himself personally opposed to abortion, despite his support for its legality.

Lamb has mostly avoided mentioning Trump, who remains generally popular in the district even if slightly diminished from his 2016 dominance.

He pairs those tacks with Democratic Party orthodoxy on the new GOP tax law, hammering it as a giveaway to corporations at the certain future expense of Social Security, Medicare and the nation's fiscal security. And he embraces unions, highlighting Saccone's anti-labour record at the statehouse -- a noticeable deviation from Murphy's status as a union-friendly Republican. The AFL-CIO counts 87,000 votes from union households -- around a fifth of the electorate.

Over the weekend, Lamb celebrated an endorsement from the United Mine Workers, a union that sat out the 2016 election rather than endorse Trump or Hillary Clinton.

The Democrat's efforts also have been effective enough to frustrate and even spook Republicans.

Dan Greene, a GOP committeeman in Westmoreland County, groused Monday about Lamb distinguishing himself from his party on guns and, less so, on abortion. "What has he done to prove that?" Greene questioned. "Rick Saccone has walked the walk."

The Congressional Leadership Fund, a political action committee aligned with House Speaker Paul Ryan, at one point deviated from its Pelosi-bashing scripts to send Democratic voters mailers praising Lamb for opposing new gun restrictions. It was part of the fund's $3.5 million investment in the race, about a third of the total that outside GOP forces have injected.

Trump, begrudgingly admiring of Lamb's tactics, added his own warning Saturday. "The people of Pittsburgh," he declared, "cannot be conned by this guy Lamb."


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PostPosted: Tue Mar 13, 2018 5:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

cosmostein wrote:
Much like Georgia's 6th, this is all win win for the Democrats;
You win, great. You lose, but you lose by less than last time, great.

They are contesting a competitive election in a House Seat that the Democrats haven't held since 2002.

What makes it more challenging is this district is fairly representative of the coalition of voters that elected the current President.

If the GOP doesn't retain then it certainly puts the Pennsylvania 1st, 5th, 6th, and 7th into play and potentially the 17th.

This one is more important than those that came prior.

the democrats have been successful in turning every vote no matter how meaningless into a referendum on trump , no one would of paid any attention to this race any other year

to spend so much money on a special election for a district that won't even exist in November is crazy , the GOP would of been better off saving the money for November

as the most likely scenario is a republican hold but with a much smaller margin like some of the other special elections , if they somehow do lose the seat its not cause of trump but rather the candidate turned out to be a poor fit and didn't live up to the standards past congressmen set

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2018 7:32 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

( the result was very close , democrat with only a 600 vote lead , I'm not sure if they'll be a recount if this was a referendum on trump it shows a very divided country )

Pennsylvania Special Election Results: 18th Congressional District


Conor Lamb leads by 0.3 percentage points, or 641 votes, over Rick Saccone with 100 percent of precincts fully reporting. Jump to estimate of final result ↓





Conor Lamb
113,720 49.8%

Rick Saccone
113,079 49.6

Drew Miller
1,378 0.6

228,177 votes, 100% reporting (593 of 593 precincts)

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2018 - US Midterm Elections

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