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Progressive Tory

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PostPosted: Wed May 10, 2017 6:07 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I was expecting a clear win by the BC Liberals but in the end, they took 43 seats, NDP holds 41 and the Greens took 3.

I was expecting that polls might be underestimating the Liberals a little and that their GOTV would be superior to their competitors. That turned out not to be the case. NDP seems to have done well in urban areas, they took out 4 ministers in total. In Surrey, I believe the NDP had their best showing ever. They had a lot of solid wins and took out two ministers. Horgan focused a lot of attention to Surrey and the Metro Vancouver area and it seems to have paid off.

It'll be interesting to see what happens next.

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PostPosted: Wed May 10, 2017 6:17 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

B.C. election: Greens hold power balance in minority

Laura Kane, The Canadian Press
Published Wednesday, May 10, 2017 5:25AM EDT

VANCOUVER -- British Columbia has its first minority government in 65 years as the Liberals squeaked out a razor-thin victory over the NDP on Tuesday, with the Green party holding the balance of power for the first time in Canadian history.
• Election Results and Riding Maps

Christy Clark's Liberals won 43 seats, the NDP under John Horgan got 41 and the Greens led by Andrew Weaver achieved a major breakthrough by picking up three seats.

B.C. NDP Leader John Horgan in Vancouver
B.C. NDP Leader John Horgan in Vancouver, B.C., early on May 10, 2017. (Darryl Dyck / THE CANADIAN PRESS)

The NDP won one riding by only nine votes, making a recount a certainty that will determine the difference between a minority and an ultra-thin majority if it were to flip to the Liberals.

Clark said she intends to lead the next government, adding the result presents an opportunity to open up a new dialogue "about how we do things, what we should do, how we want to shape the future of our province."

"Tonight is the beginning of something very different, and something that I think could be really exciting for the future of our province and our kids," she said.

She said her party won the popular vote, finishing with 40.9 per cent compared with the NDP's 39.9 per cent based on preliminary election results. Clark said she is confident that when absentee ballots are counted, they will strengthen the Liberals' margin of victory.

As the incumbent premier and with the most seats, Clark would be expected to get the first opportunity to form a minority government with the support of the Greens.

Horgan was not ready to concede defeat, however, saying that British Columbians have waited 16 years for a new government and will have to wait a bit longer until all the votes are counted.

"This is what we do know: a majority of British Columbians voted for a new government and I believe that's what they deserve," he said.

The campaign began four weeks ago with Clark and the Horgan locked in a tight race to be premier, and Weaver hoping to build upon his one seat in the legislature.

Weaver looked ecstatic as he addressed supporters in Victoria.

"What a historic day for British Columbia," he said. "People across British Columbia have shown that they are ready for politics to be done differently."

Weaver wasn't ready to tip his hand on whether he would support the Liberals or NDP in a minority government.

"In the days ahead there will be plenty of discussions taking place between all parties. Now is not the time for those discussions, now is the time for Greens across North America to celebrate," he told a cheering crowd.

Andrew Wilkinson, advanced education minister in Clark's government, said definitive results might not be available until the end of the month when absentee ballots and judicial recounts must be completed.

"It could be some time before this is completely clear."

The NDP focused its campaign on the seat-rich Lower Mainland. The party took several Liberal ridings in the city of Vancouver and won a handful of battleground ridings in the suburbs of Metro Vancouver, including seats in Surrey, Coquitlam and Delta.

The New Democrats also swept all four ridings in Burnaby, where the prospect of increased tanker traffic from the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion loomed large. Clark endorsed the project after the federal government's approval, but Horgan has promised to use "every tool in the toolbox" to stop it.

Several Liberal cabinet ministers lost seats in Metro Vancouver, including Attorney General Suzanne Anton, Technology Minister Amrik Virk and Peter Fassbender, the minister responsible for TransLink.

The party did well in rural and Interior B.C., where their pro-resource job message appeared to resonate.

The Liberals were trying to win a fifth successive majority government after holding power for 16 years.

Clark's campaign strategy marked a return to the Liberals' winning approach in 2013, when she promoted her party as the only one that could create and protect jobs while portraying the NDP as disastrous managers of the economy.

While Clark's promise of a booming liquefied natural gas industry has not materialized over the past four years, Clark was able to point to B.C.'s strong economy as proof of the Liberals' financial savvy. The province has Canada's lowest unemployment rate and has led the country in economic growth two years in a row.

Horgan sought to portray Clark as out of touch with regular British Columbians who feel the economy is not working for them, while Weaver cast the Greens as political outsiders.

The New Democrats' platform contained big-ticket promises including $10-a-day childcare, freezing hydro rates for a year and eliminating tolls on two major Lower Mainland bridges.

Weaver reminded voters that his party was the only one to ban corporate and union donations and his promises included electoral reform, increasing the carbon tax and investing millions in clean technology jobs.

B.C.'s campaign finance laws dominated headlines before the election began. The province allows unlimited corporate and union donations and the RCMP is investigating fundraising by the province's political parties.

After months of pressure, the Liberals committed to convening a panel to review political fundraising. The NDP and Greens have promised an outright ban on corporate and union donations.


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PostPosted: Wed May 10, 2017 6:46 am    Post subject: Reply with quote


BC Liberals win minority government: What happened and what comes next

The B.C. Greens’ remarkable breakthrough will give the party and its Leader Andrew Weaver an outsized role in the legislature


The Globe and Mail
Last updated: Wednesday, May 10, 2017 6:47AM EDT

•Christy Clark’s BC Liberals have won a minority government.
•The Liberals won 43 seats, the NDP won 41 and the Greens won 3.
•The balance of power will be held by the B.C. Greens, a remarkable breakthrough that will give the party and its Leader Andrew Weaver an outsized role in the legislature. Mr. Weaver will be joined in the provincial capital by Adam Olsen and Sonia Furstenau.
•The NDP won Courtenay-Comox by just nine votes, which will likely trigger a recount and leaves open the possibility that absentee ballots could change the result. In 2013, absentee ballots the riding of Comox Valley (most of which became Courtenay-Comox) were split between the NDP, which had a slight lead, and Liberals.
•Absentee ballots won’t be counted until May 22-24. In addition to Courtenay-Comox, other close ridings include Maple Ridge-Mission, where the NDP won with a margin of 120 votes, and Coquitlam-Burke Mountain, which the Liberals won by 170.
•The prospect of a minority government had been evident for weeks in a close election race, though Mr. Weaver was careful not to say which party he would support in that situation.
•In a minority, Ms. Clark would be given the first chance to form a government.
•B.C. last elected a minority government in 1952; the Social Credit government led by W. A. C. Bennett fell the following year and was re-elected with a majority.

BC Liberals reduced to minority with Greens holding balance of power

The BC Liberals won 43 seats, the NDP won 41 and the Greens won 3 seats for the province's first minority government in more than 60 years

The leaders

Christy Clark: “Tonight, we won the popular vote, and we have also won the most seats,” Ms. Clark told supports at a BC Liberal Party gathering in downtown Vancouver. “And with absentee ballots still to be counted, I am confident that they will strengthen our margin of victory. So it is my intention to continue to lead British Columbia.”

John Horgan: “British Columbians have waited 16 years for a government that works for them. I am going to have to ask you to wait a little bit longer until all the votes are counted and the final results of this election are known,” Mr. Horgan told supporters in a brief speech. “This is what we do know: A majority of British Columbians voted for a new government.”

Andrew Weaver: “I’ve spoken to both leaders. We’re going to have conversations,” Mr. Weaver told media. “We’re going to have to wait for the judicial reviews to be done. Nothing can be decided for the next two weeks, until we actually know what [the outcome is]. But I will be meeting with Mr. Horgan shortly and I’ll be chatting with Ms. Clark as well because we believe we have a lot to offer and I’m looking forward to advancing those ideas at the B.C. legislature.”

Key Liberal defeats

Peter Fassbender, Surrey-Fleetwood: Mr. Fassbender, the minister responsible for TransLink, the regional transportation agency for the Lower Mainland, lost his Surrey-Fleetwood seat. Transportation was a major issue during the campaign, with the Liberals pledging to cut tolls on the Port Mann Bridge in half and the NDP vowing to get ride of them altogether.

Suzanne Anton, Vancouver-Fraserview: The Justice Minister lost her Vancouver-Fraserview seat to the NDP’s George Chow. Ms. Anton, who turned to provincial politics after an unsuccessful run as mayor, has been attorney general since she was elected in 2013.

Amrik Virk, Surrey-Guildford: The Minister for Technology, Innovation and Citizen’s Services, lost to NDP candidate Garry Begg in the new riding of Surrey-Guildford. Mr. Virk was previously minister for advanced education. He was shuffled to the technology portfolio in 2014 following the release of a government report that found he knew about a compensation package for Kwantlen Polytechnic University executives that broke government guidelines.

Naomi Yamamoto, North Vancouver-Lonsdale: Ms. Yamamoto, Minister of State for Emergency Preparedness, lost North Vancouver-Lonsdale, to NDP Bowinn Ma.

Notable riding winners

Adam Olsen, Greens, Saanich North and Islands: In the 2013 provincial election, Adam Olsen came in third, losing by about 400 votes. This time around, the two-term Central Saanich councillor coasted past his NDP and Liberal rivals to secure the seat for Sananich North and the Islands. Mr. Olsen is half indigenous, which he says gives him “a unique ability to bring diverse voices together.”

Selina Robinson, NDP, Coquitlam-Maillardville: Selina Robinson was elected in 2013 by a margin of just 41 votes. This time around, the therapist and youth addictions counsellor won a comfortable victory. Ms. Robinson most recently served as the NDP’s critic for mental health and addictions.

Ravi Kahlon, NDP, Delta North: Ravi Kahlon, a national field hockey player who has represented Canada in the Olympics twice, defeated Liberal incumbent Scott Hamilton to take the battleground riding of Delta North. Mr. Kahlon says his focus is on families – improving B.C.’s education system, health and seniors care.

Jas Johal, Liberals, Richmond-Queensborough: Jas Johal worked as a reporter for Global TV for two decades, leaving in 2014 to take a position as communications director for the B.C. LNG Alliance, which represents seven groups seeking to export liquefied natural gas from B.C. This is his first foray into politics.

The Greens: What will they do with the balance of power?

The Greens’ Mr. Weaver, the first Green MLA elected to a provincial legislature when he won the lone Green seat in 2013, now assumes a pivotal role – though its precise nature will depend on how the absentee ballots shape the final result.

Ms. Clark is still hopeful that the absentee ballots can help her eke out a majority. If it doesn’t, Mr. Weaver’s decision of whether to support a Liberal or NDP minority will decide who governs.

Mr. Weaver said he will not telegraph what his party will try to negotiate with either party, but he did say his party is not interested in pursuing a liquefied natural gas industry, a central plank in Premier Christy Clark’s vision of British Columbia’s economic future. Mr. Weaver did say he expects any new government to table a bill outlawing corporate and union donations as soon as the legislature sits again.

Minority government thrusts B.C. Greens into centre of power

Andrew Weaver said his party’s actions in the days ahead will be informed by an evidence-based approach to each issue

The election issues

Housing: The Liberals didn’t make any new promises to address the housing market. They already introduced a 15-per-cent foreign buyers tax and a loan program for first-time home buyers. The NDP said they would create more affordable housing as well as creating more protections for renters. The Greens promised to double the foreign buyers tax to 30 per cent, and apply it province-wide.

Economy: The Liberals ran on a platform hailing their economic performance, including a balanced budget and strong GDP growth. The NDP, meanwhile, said they would increase the province’s minimum wage to $15 per hour. The Greens promised to boost disability assistance rates. Both the Liberals and NDP pledged financial support to the emerging tech sector.

Medical Service Plan: B.C. is the only province that charges citizens monthly health-care premiums. The Liberals are promising to reduce MSP rates for some, as well as eventually phasing out the premiums at an unspecified date. The NDP said it would cut premiums in half, and the Greens said they would eliminate them.

Environment: The Liberals support the expansion of the Kinder Morgan Trans Mountain pipeline, while the NDP and Greens both oppose it. Clark supports the construction of the Site C Dam, while Weaver opposes it and Horgan is promising to review the project if elected.

Cash-for-access: The Liberals have returned nearly $250,000 in improper donations following a Globe and Mail investigation that revealed lobbyists were making contributions before being reimbursed by clients. Clark has also come under fire for inaction on fundraising laws, which place no limits on contributions. She’s now promising to appoint a panel to review the rules. The NDP and Greens want a ban on corporate and union donations.


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PostPosted: Wed May 10, 2017 6:59 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Courtenay–Comox heading to recount with 9-vote spread

Vancouver Island gives Green Party 'historic' 3 seats in B.C. Legislature

By Lisa Johnson, CBC News Posted: May 09, 2017 9:05 PM PT| Last Updated: May 10, 2017 4:03 AM PT

The contenders for Courtenay–Comox: the NDP's Ronna-Rae Leonard, who leads by just nine votes over B.C. Liberal Jim Benninger.

In a very tight election, one Vancouver Island riding has all but assured the B.C. election results won't be known for certain for some time.

The NDP candidate in Courtenay–Comox, Ronna-Rae Leonard, has been declared the winner, taking the riding from the B.C. Liberals — but by a margin of just nine votes.

"This is a really close race here," said Liberal candidate Jim Benninger, a former base commander of CFB Comox.

"I think we really just have to put a hold on this, and say we'll find out the real answer in two weeks, but I think with this really narrow margin it could go either way."

That slim of a margin would trigger an automatic judicial recount, but absentee ballots also need to be counted, which doesn't happen for nearly two weeks.

'Historic' night for Greens

Meanwhile, the Green Party had a "historic" night, tripling its seat count, to three, with Adam Olsen winning in Saanich North and the Islands and Sonia Furstenau winning Cowichan Valley; both previously NDP seats.

Furstenau, a director for the Cowichan Regional District, gained prominence fighting the controversial soil dumping at Shawnigan Lake.

In the 2013 election, Olsen finished third in his riding, but it was the tightest race in the province, with the Greens finishing less than 400 votes behind the NDP's Gary Holman. This year's election saw the same three candidates rematch.

"That's a surreal thing to hear," said Olsen as he was introduced as the winner on CBC Radio One's election special.

"I am so deeply honoured to have the support and the trust of the people of Saanich North and the Islands," said Olsen, adding he grew up in the riding and is now raising his children there.

"This is a hell of a day for the province of B.C. It's historic," said Matt Toner, deputy Green leader.

B.C. Election 2017
Adam Olsen, seen here at his election party earlier today in the Saanich North and the Islands riding, finished third in the 2013 election. (Megan Thomas/CBC)

When asked about the possibility of the Greens holding the balance of power in a possible minority scenario, Olsen said at the time his "phone was charging" but that he hadn't discussed it with Green Party Leader Andrew Weaver.

Weaver also won his riding of Oak Bay–Gordon Head, after a phone problem delayed reporting of results in that riding.

Incumbents hold ground

For the rest of Vancouver Island and the Sunshine Coast, the NDP and Liberals appeared to hold on to their previous seats.

NDP Leader John Horgan has held his seat of Langford–Juan de Fuca, as have most other NDP incumbents:
■Carole James (Victoria–Beacon Hill).
■Nicholas Simons (Powell River–Sunshine Coast).
■Scott Fraser (Mid Island–Pacific Rim).
■Rob Fleming (Victoria–Swan Lake).
■Doug Routley (Nanaimo–North Cowichan).
■Leonard Krog (Nanaimo).
■Claire Trevena (North Island).
■Lana Popham (Saanich South).

The NDP's Mitzi Dean has also been elected in Esquimalt–Metchosin, a riding previously held by three-term NDP MLA Maurine Karagianis.

The NDP's Nicholas Simons was among the incumbents re-elected when he held his riding of Powell River–Sunshine Coast.

Liberal Michelle Stillwell, a former cabinet minister in the Clark government, has held her riding of Parksville–Qualicum.

The New Democrats have traditionally had strong support through Vancouver Island and the Sunshine Coast, and in 2013 won all but three of the 15 ridings in that zone.

The Greens made history last election by winning their first seat in the legislature when Weaver — now their leader — won Oak Bay–Gordon Head in Greater Victoria.


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PostPosted: Wed May 10, 2017 7:29 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Progressive Tory wrote:
I was expecting a clear win by the BC Liberals but in the end, they took 43 seats, NDP holds 41 and the Greens took 3.

I was expecting that polls might be underestimating the Liberals a little and that their GOTV would be superior to their competitors. That turned out not to be the case. NDP seems to have done well in urban areas, they took out 4 ministers in total. In Surrey, I believe the NDP had their best showing ever. They had a lot of solid wins and took out two ministers. Horgan focused a lot of attention to Surrey and the Metro Vancouver area and it seems to have paid off.

It'll be interesting to see what happens next.

the result looks similar to the 2011 Ontario election , it was Dalton Mcguinty's last and he was 1 seat short of a majority . they tried to win a majority by getting a pc mpp to leave for another job but then ndp won by election . the minority lasted until 2014 but Mcguinty never ran again

I could see something similar happening in BC , considering the results in Vancouver . I don't really see a path forward for Christy Clark . she was from Vancouver but during her time as leader they've lost a lot of seats there and she herself was forced to run in Kelowna . is there any reasonable expectation to assume she could win those seats back from the ndp ?

if the bc liberals could find someone who had more appeal in metro Vancouver , considering all there seats in rural and northern BC , it wouldn't take much to get another majority

the minority or possible 1 seat majority , makes the question of the speaker very critical as well . as there could possibly be tied or extremely close votes on a regular basis . will that job go to a liberal or ndp mla ?

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PostPosted: Wed May 10, 2017 7:40 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

B.C. election results are 'beginning of something different,' Clark says

Geordon Omand — Canadian Press

Wednesday, May 10th, 2017

VANCOUVER — Christy Clark says the results of Tuesday’s British Columbia election that produced a minority government for the first time in 65 years is “the beginning of something very different.”

Voters have sent a clear message they want political parties to find a way to work together, said the Liberal leader after a roller-coaster evening of flip-flopping election results.

Clark, 51, told supporters early Wednesday she intends to remain premier despite coming one seat shy of the bare minimum 44-seat threshold needed to form a majority government.

“British Columbians did tell us tonight that they want us to do some things differently,” Clark told hundreds of supporters who had gathered in downtown Vancouver to watch the election results come in.

“They want us to work together. They want us to work across party lines. And they want us to find a way to get along so that we can all work for the province that all of us love so very, very much.”

Clark’s Liberals won 43 of the 87 seats in the legislature, while the NDP had secured 41. For the first time in provincial history, the Greens expanded their seat count from one to three, which gives the third party the balance of power.

Many swing ridings were won with small margins, so the final seat count could shift after absentee ballots are tallied and judicial recounts are conducted.

“Voters always know best. And they reminded us tonight that we are far from perfect,” Clark said, adding that she was willing to work with the other parties to govern.

“They reminded us that we need to be humble. But it’s also our job to always remember who it is that we serve and that we need to stay focused on the things that matter to ordinary British Columbians.”

A party official said Clark had spoken with Green Leader Andrew Weaver and that the two party heads have a proven track record of working together.

This election was Clark’s second as premier. She was chosen as leader of the Liberals in 2011 and staged a come-from-behind victory in 2013, the Liberals fourth consecutive majority.

Clark was first elected to the legislature in 1996 and became deputy premier and education minister after the Liberals’ landslide victory in 2001.

In 2005, she left politics to spend more time with her family, but still made a failed bid to run for Vancouver mayor the following year. She also hosted a radio talk show on Vancouver station CKNW.

The Liberals ran a campaign during this election that focused on economic growth and job creation, billing themselves as the stable hand on the tiller and the most responsible stewards of the provincial economy.


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PostPosted: Wed May 10, 2017 9:25 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Well, I don't like the chances of the Morgan Kinder pipeline expansion.

BC is going to put a tax on anything Albertans produce that is for export. It will have an impact on federal politics.

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PostPosted: Thu May 11, 2017 8:25 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

John Ivison: Trudeau’s B.C. election intervention may come at a price

John Ivison | May 10, 2017 6:29 PM ET
More from John Ivison
B.C. Premier Christy Clark and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau during a meeting in March.

Did Justin Trudeau just hand the B.C. election to Christy Clark? In trying to do so, has he risked the wrath of Donald Trump?

Those are just two of the questions unanswered after an election in which all three major B.C. parties were able to claim a victory of sorts.

Clark’s Liberals were reduced to a minority, but the NDP could soon form government, in coalition with the Greens, who now hold the balance of power.

This convoluted scenario is provisional on recounts that could take two weeks and may yet deliver Clark an additional seat, allowing her to regain her majority.

The tightest of margins separates the Liberals and the NDP – just 17,827 in the popular vote, with thousands of absentee votes still to come in.

But the narrow nature of the victory emphasizes how important Trudeau’s intervention may have been.

After the U.S. government announced its 20 per cent tariff on Canadian softwood lumber in late April, Clark wrote to Trudeau asking him to impose a ban on exports of thermal coal from B.C. ports — an unusual request given those ports employ British Columbians and pay taxes to the province.

The prime minister signalled his preferred outcome when he said he would “carefully and seriously” consider Clark’s suggestion.

Justin Trudeau doesnt weigh in on results of B.C.... 0:58

Did the premier’s bellicose response to the softwood tariff, and the prime minister’s tacit endorsement, shift votes? It can’t have hurt. Trudeau is likely the most popular politician in the province, where he is viewed as a native son.

The request from Clark allowed the prime minister to send a message to noisy senators like Oregon’s Ron Wyden, who pushed for the softwood tariff, but also represents a state that exports thermal coal through B.C.

It also provided potentially pivotal support for a B.C. Liberal campaign that was then trailing in the polls.

A provincial Liberal victory was key to the survival of Trudeau’s grand design — the twin-track policy on the economy and the environment, which combines the approval of pipelines, such as Kinder Morgan’s $6.8 billion Trans Mountain link, with the imposition of a carbon tax.

This is Trudeau’s signature policy: a fine balance between expanding Canada’s pipeline capacity and putting a price on carbon, in order to encourage greater use of clean energy.

It’s a strategy that has popular support in every region of the country and is perhaps one of the few genuine successes of the federal government’s first 18 months in power.

The cancellation of a project that would triple to 890,000 barrels a day the capacity of the existing pipeline to Kinder Morgan’s Westridge terminal would have put a significant crimp in Trudeau’s own plans for reelection, and ended any hopes Alberta’s Rachel Notley might have had of a second term.

The narrow nature of the victory emphasizes how important Trudeau’s intervention may have been
But the intervention may have stored up trouble — Trudeau’s provocative move has been noticed south of the border and may enrage a president already bouncing around the White House like a brick in a washing machine.

U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross told a conference in Washington this week that Canadian “threats of retaliation are inappropriate.”

There remains the prospect that Trudeau’s gamble backfires in another way, and that the NDP’s John Horgan and Green Party’s Andrew Weaver combine to defeat the Clark government.

If the NDP had won under its own steam, it may not have killed the Trans Mountain pipeline automatically. Horgan has pledged to use “every tool in the toolbox” to stop it, but it’s fair to say the toolbox is not bulging.

With a final investment decision due any day now, and shovels expected to break ground by the fall, a Horgan majority government might simply have provided token resistance and blamed its predecessor, particularly given the support for the project from many B.C. unions.

But the Greens would surely make blocking Trans Mountain a price of their support. Weaver, the climate-change scientist turned politician, has said the pipeline has “no place on our coast.”

Any government opposed to the Kinder Morgan pipeline could yet raise new environmental barriers, even though B.C. has already granted the pipeline an environmental assessment certificate.

It might also file for intervener status in any of the court cases that appear to be pending.

In that case, Ottawa does have one ace up its sleeve — the “work and undertakings” section of the Constitution Act that allows the federal government to push through projects Parliament judges to be “for the general advantage of Canada” — a provision used hundreds of times since Confederation to drive through railways, canals and oil refineries that fell foul of provincial judgments. Provincial governments do not have the power to block the construction of pipelines, if Parliament chooses to exercises the powers at its disposal.

Whether a Trudeau government so dependent on its support in B.C. would remove the project from provincial jurisdiction is debatable. But there can be no doubt about its importance to his record of achievement.

When the coal dust settles, Trudeau may find he has helped engineer his desired outcome. But it may come at a price.

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BC provincial election to be held May 9th

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