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PostPosted: Tue Feb 21, 2017 2:11 pm    Post subject: Alberta turns against the left new poll Reply with quote

( a new mainstreet poll paints a dismal future for the left in alberta who had been making some gains federally and hold a majority provincially , support for the NDP provincially is down to 23 % , with pc's at 29 % and wildrose at 38% , alberta liberals only poll 4 % , only area the ndp leads is Edmonton .

federally is not much better for the left , cpc leads province wide at 67% , liberals at 24 % and ndp 6% federally , Edmonton is also the only city where numbers are even close federally

Notley and trudeau also have strong disapproval numbers in the province , notley at 57 % disapprove and trudeau at 58 % disapprove

you can't help but think these polling numbers are a result of a province fed up with a carbon tax being imposed on them by the ndp and a government in Ottawa who mostly ignores them and even a plan to allow some pipelines has failed to generate much support )

Polls show majority support for merging Alberta's conservative parties

James Wood, Calgary Herald
More from James Wood, Calgary Herald

Published on: February 21, 2017 | Last Updated: February 21, 2017 10:13 AM MST

On the left, ALberta PC leadership candidate Jason Kenney. On the right, Wildrose Party leader Brian Jean

Most Albertans are in favour of the Wildrose and Progressive Conservative parties joining together, according to a new poll that also shows both of those parties more popular than the governing NDP.

The Mainstreet Research survey conducted for Postmedia shows 54 per cent support among respondents for merging the two parties, with 37 per cent opposed.

The support is highest among PC voters, at 72 per cent, while 65 per cent of Wildrose supporters were in favour of bringing the two parties together.

Mainstreet poll on merger graphic

Mainstreet president Quito Maggi said that with former federal cabinet minister Jason Kenney pushing the idea of uniting the right as a PC leadership candidate and Wildrose Leader Brian Jean declaring himself open to the idea, conservative unification is seen as increasingly desirable.

“The longer that goes on, the more the general population becomes comfortable with that notion,” he said in an interview.

Maggi said the slightly lesser amount of support for unity among Wildrose supporters compared to Tories may spring from Wildrose’s anti-establishment roots.

“I think the PC supporters are more establishment, they’ve been in government a long time and they’re looking forward to getting back there,” he said.

“It’s more of a pragmatic opinion.”

The poll shows Wildrose as the most popular party in the province, with 38 per cent support among leaning and decided voters, followed by the PCs at 29 per cent and the NDP at 23 per cent.

The Liberals and Alberta Party each have five per cent support provincewide.

But the major variance at the regional level scrambles the picture of what would happen in an election.

In Calgary, the Tories are ahead at 38 per cent support, followed by the NDP at 26 per cent and Wildrose at 22 per cent. In Edmonton, the NDP has a wide lead at 43 per cent, compared to 26 per cent for the Wildrose and 21 per cent for the PCs.

Wildrose dominates in the rest of Alberta, with 48 per cent support, while the Tories come in at 27 per cent and the NDP at a mere 16 per cent support.

“Wildrose have a lead, but it’s largely based on a huge lead outside the two major urban centres,” said Maggi.

“It’s really three Albertas . . . how that plays out in terms of seats, it’s really, really hard to say.”

Maggi noted there will be a redistribution of the province’s 87 legislature seats before the next election in 2019, likely furthering the power shift to urban centres.

In more sour news for the NDP, Premier Rachel Notley’s performance was disapproved of by 57 per cent of respondents, compared to 37 per cent approval.

Jean, in contrast, had an approval rating of 64 per cent, with only 22 per cent disapproving of his performance as Opposition leader.

The Wildrose leader recently came out in favour of forming a single conservative party if it was approved by members and said he would step down to contest the leadership of the new party if it goes ahead.

Jean could end up squaring off against Kenney, who has pushed conservative unity on to the provincial agenda in his run for the PCs’ top job.

The poll shows Kenney as the favourite for the PC crown among Albertans, with 32 per cent support compared to rivals Richard Starke at six per cent and Byron Nelson at three per cent. The tally among PC voters has Kenney at 61 per cent, with 11 per cent for Starke and six per cent for Nelson.

Kenney was viewed favourably by 41 per cent of those surveyed, while 32 per cent had an unfavourable opinion of the former federal cabinet minister.

Most Albertans don’t know the other two candidates, with 81 per cent of respondents saying they were unfamiliar with Nelson, a Calgary lawyer, and 63 per cent unfamiliar with Starke, the MLA for Vermilion-Lloydminster.

Mount Royal University political scientist Duane Bratt said there is little in the poll that is surprising.

He noted that while there are obstacles to unification — provincial law doesn’t allow official party mergers, so Kenney wants a new party while Jean wants unification to occur with Wildrose as the legal mechanism — but the prospect of a united party is looking likely.

“I thought this was going to be much more difficult before Kenney launched it, but every indication that I’ve seen now is that it’s going to happen,” said Bratt.

The poll also shows strong support for the federal Conservatives in Alberta, with 67 per cent support among leading and decided voters, compared with 24 per cent for the Liberals, six per cent for the NDP and four per cent for the Greens.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has a disapproval rate of 58 per cent, while 38 per cent of Albertans approve of his job performance.

Mainstream polled a random sample of 2,589 Albertans using automated phone calls on Feb. 9 and 10.

The margin of error is plus or minus 1.9 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The margin for Calgary-specific results is 3.28 percentage points and for Edmonton is 3.56 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.


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PostPosted: Tue Feb 21, 2017 2:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The worst thing the NDP can do is get elected and then try to do what they said they'd do.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 21, 2017 3:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bugs wrote:
The worst thing the NDP can do is get elected and then try to do what they said they'd do.

the thing is the alberta ndp never even campaigned on the carbon tax , it was not something that Notley even campaigned on last election , then all of a sudden its government policy and imposed on the province

I don't even know exactly what the ndp campaigned on last election , mostly they saw a sudden rise in the polls as voters in the cities were cool to the wildrose and tired of the pc's

I've read previous articles that seemed to indicate the ndp knows they won't win another majority already and that there agenda is to try and impose ndp policy on alberta that will be difficult to undo
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Alberta turns against the left new poll

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