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PostPosted: Thu Sep 22, 2016 8:52 am    Post subject: Brad Wall is still canada's most popular premier new poll Reply with quote

( new low for Kathleen wynne of 20 % , maybe time for her to look for a new job ? , most popular premiers are Wall and Pallister , no liberal premier is above 40% approval , 4 are below 30 % approval Couillard Que 28% , Gallant NB 24% , Ball NFL 21 % , Wynne Ont 20% , anything below 30% I'd say is pretty low when considering you'd typically need 40% of the vote to win an election , so there all well below what would be needed to get re-elected )

Premiers’ Performance: Pallister and Clark climb; Wynne loses ground

Saskatchewan’s Brad Wall drops nine points to new low; but is still Canada’s most approved-of premier

September 22 – In what had been the country’s most overheated housing market, BC Premier Christy Clark’s imposition of a 15% tax on foreign buyers of Metro Vancouver homes was among other things, a political gamble, one that for now, appears to be paying off.

premiers september
Click to enlarge to full size

Not only was this policy change unequivocally popular with people living in the region when it was enacted, it has also given Clark the most drastic quarterly increase in her job performance approval since winning re-election in 2013, up 7 points (34%) since the spring.

Despite this bounce, Clark’s ratio of disapproval to approval is still nearly two-to-one. A provincial leader enjoying not only a jump in approval but a positive view of his job performance from more than half of his provincial constituency is Manitoba Premier Brian Pallister.

A narrow majority (53%) say they approve of the way Pallister is running the province, up seven points from the last wave of this survey. While he says his relatively new Conservative government is bringing a “change in attitude” on issues of spending and accountability – it’s unclear whether his administration will continue to build goodwill over the short term as it gets down to the business of implementing promised spending cuts.

Nonetheless, Pallister is now Canada’s second-most-approved-of premier. The most-approved of remains Sasktachewan’s Brad Wall.

But while six-in-ten or more in that province have consistently – for almost five years – favoured his job performance – a notable and significant decline emerges this quarter. Wall’s approval slides nine points since the spring. It has been a politically turbulent summer in that province, as a potential sale of Saskatchewan’s telecommunications company, SaskTel, draws protests, a once-trusted cabinet minister pleaded guilty to drunk driving charges, and the shooting death of Colton Boushie – an Indigenous man – ignited a debate about racism in Saskatchewan.

Brad Wall remains Canada's most popular Premier
Saskatchewan’s Brad Wall remains Canada’s most popular Premier with a 57% approval rating (Image credit – Olivier Ferapie/CBC)

In Quebec, where income taxes are reported to be among the highest in Canada, Premier Phillippe Couillard has seen his approval rating drop five points since May (33% then, 28% now). It will be worthwhile to note whether considered tax cuts will have an impact on this decline next quarter.

The situation is relatively more stable for several other premiers, though that may not necessarily be good news. In Alberta, Rachel Notley’s job approval stands at 31 per cent, essentially unchanged since the spring (32%). The Premiers of Nova Scotia and New Brunswick also note small, statistically insignificant declines: 38 per cent of Nova Scotians endorse Stephen McNeil’s job performance, down three points since the spring. In New Brunswick Brian Gallant finds his approval rating off two points over last quarter, to 24 per cent.

Newfoundland and Labarador’s Dwight Ball continues to wrestle with the fallout of an austerity budget tabled in the spring, a gloomy provincial economic outlook, and a nearly $2 billion-dollar deficit. That said, Ball is promising no more major cuts in a fall budget update, and sees his own approval rating tick upward four points from an alarming 17 per cent last quarter (21% now).

Newfoundland & Labrador Premier Dwight Ball up 4 points to 21% approval (Image credit – CBC)

Ball is not Canada’s least-approved of Premier, however. That designation rests with Ontario’s Kathleen Wynne. Disapproval among people in that province of her job performance most recently manifested itself in the premier being booed at a plowing competition in rural Ontario. Wynne’s biggest problem at the moment? Rising hydro rates stemming from the majority sale of Hydro One.

While her government moved to ease some of the backlash by promising to scrap provincial sales tax on electricity bills, this measure is being met with skepticism in many corners, while others complain it will cost too much – $1 billion a year – at a time when the province’s net debt stands at more than $20,000 per capita.

Against this backdrop, Wynne’s approval slides another four points to 20 per cent, part of a steady decline from 41 per cent in June 2014.


Joined: 02 Mar 2009
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Location: Ontario

PostPosted: Fri Oct 21, 2016 7:51 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

( another poll on premier approval ratings , least popular is wynne , only 8% of Ontario voters strongly approval and 11 % somewhat approve , 52 % somewhat disapprove and 18% strongly disapprove . which are pretty dismal numbers )

65% Approve of Trudeau, Coulliard Most Popular Premier Nationally

October 21, 2016|Mainstreet|Featured, National, Public Polling

October 21, 2016 (Ottawa, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll takes a close look at approval ratings for Canada’s Premiers – both in their home provinces and across the country. With 5,525 Canadians surveyed from October 5-6, the Mainstreet/Postmedia Poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.33, 19 times out of 20.

“With no permanent opposition leaders for the NDP and Conservatives, and with several provincial-federal conflicts, it’s the Premiers who are currently holding Justin Trudeau to account. Regardless, Justin Trudeau, leads the way in national approvals with a 65% approval rating,” said Quito Maggi, president of Mainstreet Research. “Other first Ministers did not fare well, leading a tight pack of five Minister’s with net positive scores is Quebec’s Phillipe Coulliard with 45% national approval, followed by Alberta Premier Rachel Notley (44%), Brad Wall of Saskatchewan (42%), Ontario’s Kathleen Wynne (41%) and BC Premier Christy Clark.(39%).”

”In their own respective provinces, some Premiers fared better, notably Manitoba Premier Brian Pallister (54%), Saskatchewan’s Brad Wall (52%) and Wade McLaughlan leading the way with 55%. At the other end of the spectrum are Newfoundland and Labrador Premier Dwight Ball (24%) and Ontario Premier Kathleen Wynne (19%).”

“Atlantic provincial First Ministers are less widely known then their counterparts from central and western Canada. When asked to rate the approval of the job performance of Eastern Canada’s Premiers, a majority of Canadians were not sure about Newfoundland’s Dwight Ball (56%), PEI Premier Wade MacLauchlan (69%), Nova Scotia’s Stephen McNeil (68%) and New Brunswick Premier Brian Gallant (67%).”

On the national stage, Brad Wall, a leading critic of Trudeau, scores quite well with 42% approval and just 30% disapproval. His approval is highest in neighbouring Manitoba where he outpaces even the popular Pallister with 65% approval. His lowest approval score comes out of PEI where just 21% approve but that is tempered by just 12% disapproval, followed closely by Quebec where only 24% approve compared to 39% disapproval. His approval rating is 47% in Alberta where he is often referenced by the Wildrose Party.”


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PostPosted: Fri Oct 21, 2016 8:31 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

( another poll confirms wynne's dismal approval numbers , this one only at 14 % , and has pc's at 43 % , lib 24 , ndp 23 province wide )

Almost half of Ontarians do not believe Wynne will lead Liberals into 2018 vote: poll

Survey finds Grits continue to lag behind Conservatives, and 49 per cent think “someone else will lead the Liberals” by the next campaign.

Premier Kathleen Wynne's personal popularity rating was far lower than her rivals; Wynne was at 14 per cent approval, 77 per cent disapproval, with 9 per cent having no opinion.
. (Adrian Wyld / THE CANADIAN PRESS)

By Robert BenzieQueen's Park Bureau Chief

Fri., Oct. 21, 2016

About half of Ontarians do not believe Premier Kathleen Wynne will stick around to lead the Liberals into the 2018 election, a new poll suggests.

The Forum Research survey, which found Wynne’s Grits continuing to lag well behind Patrick Brown’s Progressive Conservatives, revealed 49 per cent think “someone else will lead the Liberals” by the next campaign.

About a quarter — 27 per cent — feel the 63-year-old premier will remain at the helm with a similar number, 25 per cent, unsure.

“I don’t know if it’s wishful thinking or just realistic thinking,” Forum president Lorne Bozinoff said Thursday.

“They’ve really turned on her, that’s for sure.”

Using interactive voice-response telephone calls, Forum surveyed 1,124 Ontarians on Monday and Tuesday with results considered accurate, plus or minus three percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

The survey, which asked about a “fall 2018” campaign, was conducted before the government’s announcement Wednesday that the next election would in fact be held June 7, 2018.

But Bozinoff said that change in timing is unlikely to affect the results.

Wynne, who has been premier since February 2013, has always maintained she has no plans to step down before the election.

In its monthly tracking poll, Forum found the Progressive Conservatives still boast a massive lead over the governing Liberals — 43 per cent to 24 per cent, with Andrea Horwath’s NDP at 23 per cent and Mike Schreiner’s Green Party at 8 per cent.

The premier’s personal popularity rating was far lower than her rivals; Wynne was at 14 per cent approval, 77 per cent disapproval, with 9 per cent having no opinion.

Brown was at 27 per cent approval, 24 per cent disapproval, and 49 per cent didn’t know.

Horwath remains the best-liked of the major party leaders with 36 per cent approval, 24 per cent disapproval, and 39 per cent unsure.

“The problem here is that none of the three parties has an especially popular leader,” noted Bozinoff.

“Kathleen Wynne has her own troubles, but neither Patrick Brown nor Andrea Horwath can get their approvals higher than about a third,” said Bozinoff, pointing out none of the three is as popular as Prime Minister Justin Trudeau or Toronto Mayor John Tory.

Asked which leader would make the best premier, just 11 per cent of those polled said Wynne.

That’s behind Horwath’s 19 per cent, Brown’s 29 per cent, the 25 per cent who replied “none of these,” and the 16 per cent who weren’t sure.

Wynne will face a different kind of poll Nov. 17 with key byelections in the Liberal stronghold of Ottawa-Vanier and the Conservative seat of Niagara West-Glanbrook.

If the Grits fail to hold the Ottawa seat, the premier could face internal pressure to consider her political future.

Where appropriate, results of the survey have been statistically weighted by age, region and other variables to ensure the sample reflects the actual population according to the latest census data.

Forum houses its complete results in the data library of the University of Toronto’s political science department.

Joined: 02 Mar 2009
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Location: Ontario

PostPosted: Fri Oct 21, 2016 2:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

also saw this article in the Toronto star today when I was at McDonalds , it must be really bad when the liberal friendly star is willing to admit she is this unpopular a premier .

what gets me is the level of caucus discipline or support , I cannot recall one single MPP this year come out and say it was time for her to go publicly , no one is willing to say that to the press or for public to hear . for her to have this dismal of approval ratings yet have the caucus seemingly behind her is rather shocking to me

and it also appears she doesn't plan to quit , this hydro deal with quebec is intended to boost her fortunes and she has been in Ottawa several times in hopes of winning the Ottawa Vanier by-election , she wants to stay even though the numbers are horrible

Joined: 02 Mar 2009
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Reputation: 280.1
votes: 3
Location: Ontario

PostPosted: Fri Oct 21, 2016 7:49 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

if you look thru the details of this poll its even worse for wynne than you would believe , some interesting things I noticed and its really dismal

- in northern Ontario her approval is only 9% , a full 82 % disapprove

- of the people who said they'd vote liberal 40 % of them disapprove of her

- her approval among women is only 17% , 73 % disapprove

- the region with her highest approval is Toronto but even there its only 21 %

- 42 % of liberals think someone else will lead the party into election

- 81 % of male voters disapprove of her

- only 56 % of liberal voters from 2014 still plan to vote liberal , 19% > pc , 17% > ndp , 7% > green

- Ontario liberals only get 22 % in 905 and 26% in the GTA in this poll , with those numbers they lose pretty much every riding around Toronto

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Brad Wall is still canada's most popular premier new poll

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