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cosmostein





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PostPosted: Fri Apr 27, 2012 12:54 pm    Post subject: Interesting Nanos Poll: April 2012+ Reply with quote

The folks at the CBC seem to be focusing on the national numbers of the latest Nanos poll;

National:
CPC: 34.7
NDP: 32.4
LPC: 23.3
BQ: 3.9
GPC: 4.2

But within the poll itself you find some interesting figures.

What I found interesting was that the strength of the NDP comes almost exclusively Quebec and East and they appear to be trailing everywhere west of Quebec.

In Ontario the Tories lead 36.9 to 29.3
The Prairies find the Tories leading 46.7 to 30.4
And in an very odd situation the Tories leading the NDP 39 to 31.9 in BC

In Quebec the NDP enjoy 37.4 to the CPC's 19.7 (which is actually up over May 2011 for the Tories) and Atlantic Canada with a sample size of 99 with the NDP @ 35%

http://www.nanosresearch.com/l.....allotE.pdf
tpsdoodle





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PostPosted: Mon May 14, 2012 1:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ya not a surprise. This Conservative gov't is not Conservative as we start to see what has happened with spending mis-management, misleading Canadians, dictating what ministers or anyone in the can say, the list goes on..... At the end of the day when Harper was in opposition complaining what the Liberals did they turn around and do the same shit and line their pockets at the same time...... Same old same old........... Unfortunately, he was not the "accountability" type who many voted for.......
cosmostein





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PostPosted: Mon May 14, 2012 1:45 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The thing is that Harper's biggest loss of support isn't coming from the areas that voted for him to begin with (save for the odd poll that has the NDP ahead in BC)

Even with the CPC trailing (as is the case with some of the latest polls) the NDP is still in second or third West of Quebec in most polls, and this is straight off the heels of a leadership convention with the benefit of a new leader bounce.

If the NDP can't make inroads into Ontario and Westward they can win Quebec with 100% of the popular vote and still not have the most seats in the Commons.

The biggest issue for the opposition is that Ontario for the most part was always a wildcard, and now most polls since election day have had the Tories in front (within the MoE or otherwise) and that is a huge problem for the Liberals and a big problem for the NDP.
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Interesting Nanos Poll: April 2012+

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